Factors of Dropping in the Polls, 1998-2008

0 - Base Numbers	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
Losses by Top 25 teams	1,028	-07.9	1,041	-07.7

1 - Upset?	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
U	656	-09.1	671	-08.6
notU	372	-05.7	370	-05.9

2 - Margin of Loss	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
-3 or less	241	-07.0	244	-06.8
-4 to -8	252	-07.2	258	-07.0
-9 to -16	212	-07.5	215	-07.6
-17 or more	323	-09.3	324	-08.9

3 - Month	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
Sept	252	-10.6	250	-10.3
Oct	317	-08.2	327	-07.9
Nov	329	-06.6	330	-06.6
Bowl	130	-04.9	134	-04.9

4 - Location	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
vs	325	-08.5	322	-08.1
v	187	-05.4	192	-05.4
@	516	-08.3	527	-08.2

5 - Number of Losses	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
1	367	-08.2	364	-08.0
2	319	-08.4	331	-08.2
3	211	-07.1	220	-06.9
4	111	-06.9	106	-06.5
5	20	-07.9	20	-06.5

6 - Overtime	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
no OT	957	-07.9	969	-07.7
OT	71	-07.3	72	-07.0

7 - in BCS Conf?	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
BCS	948	-07.8	954	-07.6
non	80	-09.3	87	-08.5

8 - Opp. in BCS Conf?	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
BCS	937	-07.6	945	-07.5
non	91	-10.4	96	-09.6

9 - Conference	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
ACC	149	-08.2	149	-07.7
Big10	176	-07.9	186	-07.8
Big12	166	-06.9	168	-06.9
BigEast	88	-08.7	89	-08.2
Pac10	126	-07.9	125	-07.7
SEC	219	-07.3	216	-07.4
CUSA	22	-10.1	21	-08.1
Indy	25	-08.8	21	-08.1
MAC	10	-09.2	14	-09.4
MtnWest	24	-09.5	28	-08.9
WAC	23	-08.3	24	-08.0

10 - Opp. Conference	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
ACC	144	-08.7	141	-08.1
Big10	175	-08.0	180	-07.9
Big12	150	-06.6	153	-06.7
BigEast	86	-07.5	88	-07.5
Pac10	143	-07.7	142	-07.3
SEC	224	-07.1	225	-07.1
BigWest	1	-11.0	1	-10.0
CUSA	24	-10.4	23	-08.5
Indy	17	-10.9	20	-10.9
MAC	15	-11.1	17	-09.4
MtnWest	26	-10.8	28	-10.5
SunBelt	1	-11.0	1	-14.0
WAC	22	-09.5	22	-09.2

11 - Conference Game?	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
conf	698	-07.8	710	-07.5
nonconf	330	-08.0	331	-07.9

12 - Team Rank	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
1 thru 5	147	-05.7	148	-05.8
6 thru 10	183	-06.8	176	-06.8
11 thru 15	204	-07.4	224	-07.3
16 thru 20	240	-08.0	233	-07.9
21 thru 25	254	-10.2	260	-09.4

13 - Opp. Rank	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
1 thru 5	180	-04.6	182	-05.0
6 thru 10	136	-05.6	137	-06.1
11 thru 15	102	-06.6	102	-06.4
16 thru 20	96	-07.2	97	-07.3
21 thru 25	63	-07.7	66	-07.4
25 plus	186	-09.9	213	-09.3
Not Ranked	265	-10.6	244	-09.8

14 - Preseason Rank	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
1 thru 5	119	-06.4	128	-06.7
6 thru 10	153	-08.0	141	-07.7
11 thru 15	134	-07.4	154	-07.3
16 thru 20	129	-09.0	117	-09.2
21 thru 25	114	-09.2	123	-08.7
25 plus	265	-07.5	293	-07.4
Not Ranked	114	-08.1	85	-06.8

15 - # Wins Prev. Year	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
0-6	186	-07.4	176	-07.0
7	149	-07.7	149	-07.4
8	158	-08.2	170	-07.8
9	202	-08.4	208	-08.4
10	134	-07.7	139	-07.6
11	129	-08.2	126	-07.9
12+	70	-06.9	73	-06.8

16 - # Wins Prev. 3 Yrs	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
0-9	11	-06.9	9	-07.0
10-14	40	-08.4	38	-07.8
15-19	148	-07.5	147	-07.0
20-24	343	-08.5	346	-08.1
25-29	297	-07.9	309	-07.9
30-34	169	-07.0	172	-07.0
35+	20	-06.5	20	-07.1

17 - Opp. # Wins Prev. Year	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
0-6	266	-10.0	266	-09.2
7	138	-08.6	142	-08.3
8	141	-08.2	138	-07.8
9	156	-06.8	158	-07.2
10	124	-06.7	130	-06.9
11	130	-06.0	135	-06.0
12+	73	-05.8	72	-05.6

18 - Opp. # Wins Prev. 3 Yrs	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
0-9	32	-11.8	32	-09.5
10-14	69	-09.8	73	-09.1
15-19	165	-09.1	165	-08.4
20-24	305	-08.4	299	-08.3
25-29	233	-07.4	244	-07.4
30-34	193	-05.7	200	-05.8
35+	31	-04.3	28	-04.9

19 - # Weeks Ranked in Spot	AP games	avg. drop	Co games	avg. drop
1	474	-08.9	490	-08.6
2	249	-07.7	258	-07.5
3	129	-07.3	121	-07.1
4	73	-06.3	67	-06.5
5	33	-05.8	35	-05.7
6+	46	-06.3	43	-05.5
11+	24	-03.5	27	-04.4