Colorado St - Fresno St

the New Mexico Bowl Saturday, December 20th, 2:30pm Albuquerque, New Mexico

Colorado State (6-6)______MtnWest______-1.56 Wk Opp oPts Score 1 Colorado -63.26 L, 17-38 2 Sacramento State -430.29 W, 23-20 4 Houston 68.00 W, 28-25 5 California 160.52 L, 7-42 6 UNLV -108.41 W, 41-28 7 TCU 272.51 L, 7-13 8 Utah 423.50 L, 16-49 9 San Diego State -330.21 W, 38-34 10 Brigham Young 220.45 L, 42-45 11 Air Force 116.54 L, 17-38 12 New Mexico -142.13 W, 20-6 13 Wyoming -173.43 W, 31-20

Fresno State (7-5)______WAC_____63.06 Wk Opp oPts Score 1 Rutgers 118.18 W, 24-7 3 Wisconsin 43.18 L, 10-13 4 Toledo -230.71 W, 55-54 5 UCLA -139.33 W, 36-31 6 Hawaii 12.83 L, 29-32 7 Idaho -316.44 W, 45-32 9 Utah State -184.14 W, 30-28 10 Louisiana Tech 13.10 L, 35-38 11 Nevada 34.12 L, 28-41 12 New Mexico State -269.98 W, 24-17 13 San Jose State -37.52 W, 24-10 14 Boise State 376.20 L, 10-61

Colorado State and Fresno State were both pretty even par this year. They each beat a team in the blue, but not a good one, losing to the rest of the blues and beating the reds. The Rams get a bit of an edge because they played in the decent MtnWest instead of the terrible WAC like the Bulldogs. Nothing too exciting about either of their schedules.

New Mexico Bowl Matchup
Team	Colorado State	Fresno State
Points (rank)	-1.56 (#63)	63.06 (#52)
Record	6-6	7-5
Opp. Points (rank)	13.78 (#56)	-580.51 (#87)
Opp. Record	75-58	68-77
Points (% of Opp. Avg)	23.9 (93%)	29.2 (107%)
dPoints (% of Opp. Avg)	29.8 (123%)	30.3 (126%)
Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	129.8 (84%)	176.8 (122%)
dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	185.3 (136%)	197.3 (141%)
Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	247.5 (121%)	206.5 (98%)
dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	222.8 (120%)	196.2 (91%)
Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	377.3 (105%)	383.3 (107%)
dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	408.1 (113%)	393.5 (111%)
ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	99.8 (92%)	145.3 (114%)
dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	129.7 (106%)	171.0 (145%)
Penalties / Pen. Yds	4.5 / 40.6	5.1 / 43.2
TO's / TO Margin	1.6 / +2	1.9 / -11

Neither of these two have done very well on the D this year. They usually allow more than their opponent's average in all areas, while their offenses don't quite keep pace. Both teams should have an easier time running the ball than they're used to, but the Bulldogs have already put up good rushing yards against good rush D's this year. Fresno State usually turns the ball over twice per game, and while Colorado State is a shade better in turnovers per game, they take the ball away a lot more than Pat Hill's boys. I can see this one coming down to the end.

The Line: Colorado State +2.5

The Call: Colorado State by 3

The Result: Colorado State 40-35

Yup - over 600 yards rushing between these two. Exciting game, nice back-and-forth.