Final Regular Season Rankings
And Voila! Once again, that's how you design a computer ranking system to work. Oklahoma & Florida, #1 & #2. When it comes to straight achievement, these two did the most this season. USC jumps to #3 after easily holding down UCLA, while Utah & Texas round out the top five. Toughest SoS this year belongs to Virginia by far. 11-1 Pac10 Champ USC, 9-4 CUSA Champ East Carolina, and 7-5 UConn plus their ACC schedule - brutal. In fact, the ACC holds down most of the "toughest SoS" spots - 8 of their teams are in the top 13. As a conference they went 37-11 and were by far the most balanced conference this season. But more on that later... I'll be posting more frequently with a bunch of end-of-the-regular-season statistics, bowl matchups, and essays in the upcoming month, so stop by.
A few quick other thoughts...
With all the bitching and moaning of the last few weeks about the BCS, you can't deny that the two teams playing for the championship, Oklahoma & Florida, are extremely deserving. It's not like 2001 when people thought Nebraska was undeserving, or 2003 when they felt Oklahoma was undeserving - both the Sooners & Gators won their conference championships and have been playing the best football in the country the last few weeks. Are other teams deserving of a shot at the title? Sure, some of them - Texas, USC, and Penn State could all make arguments. But is Oklahoma or Florida undeserving? No, of course not. So take that to heart.
In the whole Texas-Oklahoma debacle of the last week, there's been a lot of talk that the Big12 should change their tiebreaker rules, and they've even indicated that they're going to look at the process in the offseason. They've said that the BCS tiebreak was designed to put the team in that had the best chance to play in the national championship game, and this year it worked. In fact, it worked so well that had Oklahoma lost to Missouri, Texas probably would have slid into the #2 spot. So in reality, the rule, while unfair to some of the teams involved, is of great benefit to the conference as a whole. They should really think about that when deciding whether or not to change it.
The BCS honchos should be sending thank you cards and flowers to Oregon right now. Try this one on for size - if the Ducks hadn't beaten the Beavers last week, then Oregon State would've gone to the Rose Bowl to play Penn State, and the Fiesta probably would've matched up Texas with USC. That would've been huge because with a win over the powerful Trojans (combined with a win by Oklahoma over Florida), Mack Brown would have been able to push their banner of the 45-35 win over Oklahoma even harder, probably convincing some pollsters that Texas deserved a piece of a split title. And they might have gotten it too. As it is, Texas is probably going to play Utah or Ohio State, and a win over the Utes or Buckeyes won't impress people nearly as much as a win over USC would. So the Ducks saved a lot more BCS headaches.
Onto the rankings!
Week 15 Achievement Rankings | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Conf | Team | Pts | W | L | W% | oPts | oW | oL | oW% | rank∆ |
1 | Big12 | Oklahoma | 669.95 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 1361.99 | 101 | 60 | 62.7% | 00 |
2 | SEC | Florida | 608.65 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 1282.57 | 99 | 62 | 61.5% | 03 |
3 | Pac10 | USC | 524.54 | 11 | 1 | 91.7% | 291.05 | 80 | 77 | 51.0% | 07 |
4 | MtnWest | Utah | 518.79 | 12 | 0 | 100.0% | -387.74 | 75 | 72 | 51.0% | -01 |
5 | Big12 | Texas | 514.27 | 11 | 1 | 91.7% | 1403.08 | 96 | 62 | 60.8% | -03 |
6 | Big10 | Penn State | 512.56 | 11 | 1 | 91.7% | 99.41 | 76 | 69 | 52.4% | 02 |
7 | WAC | Boise State | 473.29 | 12 | 0 | 100.0% | -772.56 | 73 | 74 | 49.7% | 00 |
8 | SEC | Alabama | 455.34 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 392.59 | 90 | 79 | 53.3% | -04 |
9 | Big12 | Texas Tech | 453.21 | 11 | 1 | 91.7% | 52.60 | 76 | 60 | 55.9% | -03 |
10 | BigEast | Cincinnati | 407.70 | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 213.29 | 85 | 76 | 52.8% | 02 |
11 | Big10 | Ohio State | 382.91 | 10 | 2 | 83.3% | 817.35 | 89 | 56 | 61.4% | 00 |
12 | ACC | Virginia Tech | 362.97 | 9 | 4 | 69.2% | 1383.09 | 96 | 65 | 59.6% | 07 |
13 | MAC | Ball State | 336.86 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | -1549.12 | 71 | 89 | 44.4% | -04 |
14 | ACC | Georgia Tech | 284.50 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 549.08 | 77 | 59 | 56.6% | -01 |
15 | BigEast | Pittsburgh | 281.46 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 1066.85 | 92 | 66 | 58.2% | 07 |
16 | MtnWest | TCU | 273.97 | 10 | 2 | 83.3% | 74.17 | 81 | 65 | 55.5% | -02 |
17 | ACC | Boston College | 257.57 | 9 | 4 | 69.2% | 1040.47 | 90 | 69 | 56.6% | -02 |
18 | ACC | North Carolina | 240.79 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 1109.02 | 84 | 63 | 57.1% | -02 |
19 | SEC | Georgia | 235.18 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 953.90 | 91 | 56 | 61.9% | -02 |
20 | MtnWest | Brigham Young | 225.22 | 10 | 2 | 83.3% | -1069.94 | 65 | 80 | 44.8% | -02 |
21 | CUSA | East Carolina | 222.90 | 9 | 4 | 69.2% | -187.22 | 82 | 88 | 48.2% | 16 |
22 | Big10 | Michigan State | 222.16 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 648.85 | 87 | 69 | 55.8% | -02 |
23 | ACC | Florida State | 221.95 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 1057.37 | 85 | 53 | 61.6% | 00 |
24 | Big12 | Oklahoma State | 217.31 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 542.31 | 84 | 64 | 56.8% | -03 |
25 | Pac10 | Oregon | 207.82 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 52.16 | 78 | 79 | 49.7% | -01 |
26 | Big12 | Missouri | 196.73 | 9 | 4 | 69.2% | 694.35 | 92 | 67 | 57.9% | 00 |
27 | Pac10 | Oregon State | 189.58 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 855.92 | 90 | 68 | 57.0% | 00 |
28 | CUSA | Tulsa | 181.33 | 10 | 3 | 76.9% | -1510.87 | 67 | 92 | 42.1% | -03 |
29 | SEC | Mississippi | 180.39 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 594.34 | 86 | 61 | 58.5% | -01 |
30 | MAC | Western Michigan | 164.19 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | -742.29 | 73 | 75 | 49.3% | 01 |
31 | Big10 | Northwestern | 161.75 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | -479.49 | 69 | 77 | 47.3% | -02 |
32 | CUSA | Rice | 160.87 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | -825.06 | 71 | 86 | 45.2% | -02 |
33 | Pac10 | California | 159.96 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 271.74 | 80 | 77 | 51.0% | 01 |
34 | Big10 | Iowa | 155.93 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 11.63 | 78 | 67 | 53.8% | -02 |
35 | Big12 | Nebraska | 154.48 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 906.44 | 89 | 70 | 56.0% | -02 |
36 | BigEast | West Virginia | 150.24 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 408.96 | 80 | 67 | 54.4% | 08 |
37 | ACC | Wake Forest | 146.07 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 1311.27 | 87 | 70 | 55.4% | -02 |
38 | Indy | Navy | 143.97 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | -125.78 | 75 | 71 | 51.4% | 03 |
39 | ACC | Maryland | 134.97 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 825.03 | 82 | 65 | 55.8% | -03 |
40 | ACC | Clemson | 129.31 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 822.09 | 82 | 56 | 59.4% | -01 |
41 | ACC | Miami (FL) | 126.30 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 1065.29 | 84 | 64 | 56.8% | 01 |
42 | MtnWest | Air Force | 121.37 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | -240.17 | 78 | 67 | 53.8% | -02 |
43 | BigEast | Rutgers | 120.45 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 547.98 | 82 | 64 | 56.2% | 04 |
44 | MAC | Buffalo | 119.49 | 8 | 5 | 61.5% | -148.26 | 88 | 82 | 51.8% | 16 |
45 | BigEast | Connecticut | 109.93 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 476.70 | 80 | 67 | 54.4% | -07 |
46 | SunBelt | Troy | 100.65 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | -1317.50 | 67 | 79 | 45.9% | 07 |
47 | MAC | Central Michigan | 100.61 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | -741.02 | 72 | 76 | 48.6% | -02 |
48 | ACC | NC State | 94.06 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | 1245.13 | 87 | 60 | 59.2% | 00 |
49 | SEC | South Carolina | 93.72 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 609.59 | 83 | 63 | 56.8% | -03 |
50 | BigEast | South Florida | 86.30 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 80.85 | 78 | 69 | 53.1% | -07 |
51 | Big12 | Kansas | 83.90 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 826.17 | 89 | 58 | 60.5% | -02 |
52 | CUSA | Houston | 72.29 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -533.54 | 75 | 72 | 51.0% | -02 |
53 | SEC | LSU | 64.15 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 333.94 | 82 | 65 | 55.8% | -01 |
54 | WAC | Fresno State | 63.34 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -579.32 | 74 | 83 | 47.1% | -03 |
55 | ACC | Virginia | 46.98 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 1543.53 | 85 | 50 | 63.0% | 01 |
56 | Big10 | Wisconsin | 45.55 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | 294.30 | 81 | 65 | 55.5% | -02 |
57 | WAC | Nevada | 37.98 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -161.65 | 79 | 68 | 53.7% | -02 |
58 | Pac10 | Arizona | 34.52 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -545.61 | 71 | 86 | 45.2% | 04 |
59 | SEC | Vanderbilt | 22.02 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | 776.71 | 87 | 71 | 55.1% | 00 |
60 | Big10 | Minnesota | 21.06 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -372.79 | 74 | 72 | 50.7% | -02 |
61 | WAC | Louisiana Tech | 10.00 | 7 | 5 | 58.3% | -1155.52 | 67 | 80 | 45.6% | 00 |
62 | WAC | Hawaii | 9.42 | 7 | 6 | 53.8% | -95.92 | 86 | 75 | 53.4% | -05 |
63 | MtnWest | Colorado State | -4.82 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | 98.16 | 82 | 63 | 56.6% | 00 |
64 | Indy | Notre Dame | -8.16 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | 260.11 | 78 | 80 | 49.4% | 00 |
65 | SEC | Kentucky | -19.71 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | 120.09 | 81 | 67 | 54.7% | 00 |
66 | CUSA | Southern Miss | -30.61 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -409.68 | 79 | 78 | 50.3% | 06 |
67 | MAC | Northern Illinois | -34.47 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -917.42 | 74 | 73 | 50.3% | 02 |
68 | SunBelt | Florida Atlantic | -37.06 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -655.42 | 76 | 80 | 48.7% | -02 |
69 | WAC | San Jose State | -37.57 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -931.04 | 63 | 71 | 47.0% | -02 |
70 | Big10 | Illinois | -37.69 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 516.70 | 82 | 53 | 60.7% | 00 |
71 | SEC | Arkansas | -39.89 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 945.77 | 86 | 50 | 63.2% | 00 |
72 | MAC | Bowling Green | -50.72 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -754.75 | 67 | 78 | 46.2% | 04 |
73 | Pac10 | Stanford | -55.90 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 237.23 | 76 | 69 | 52.4% | 00 |
74 | SunBelt | Arkansas State | -56.64 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -1201.85 | 63 | 71 | 47.0% | -06 |
75 | SunBelt | LA-Lafayette | -60.35 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -1351.05 | 60 | 84 | 41.7% | 05 |
76 | Big12 | Colorado | -62.53 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 463.88 | 77 | 58 | 57.0% | 01 |
77 | SEC | Auburn | -74.39 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 56.66 | 74 | 61 | 54.8% | 01 |
78 | ACC | Duke | -80.55 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 1251.44 | 81 | 53 | 60.4% | 04 |
79 | CUSA | Memphis | -81.31 | 6 | 6 | 50.0% | -1165.19 | 65 | 81 | 44.5% | 00 |
80 | MAC | Temple | -85.30 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -371.69 | 72 | 73 | 49.7% | 03 |
81 | BigEast | Louisville | -85.44 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 123.92 | 74 | 61 | 54.8% | -07 |
82 | SEC | Tennessee | -90.94 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | 465.73 | 79 | 67 | 54.1% | 02 |
83 | Pac10 | Arizona State | -91.07 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -269.93 | 68 | 66 | 50.7% | -08 |
84 | CUSA | UTEP | -92.62 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -73.04 | 76 | 71 | 51.7% | 02 |
85 | Big12 | Kansas State | -93.15 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -180.71 | 70 | 66 | 51.5% | 00 |
86 | MAC | Akron | -101.03 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -628.93 | 69 | 78 | 46.9% | 02 |
87 | Big10 | Purdue | -106.27 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 712.27 | 83 | 50 | 62.4% | 02 |
88 | MtnWest | UNLV | -107.00 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -147.89 | 73 | 71 | 50.7% | -01 |
89 | Big12 | Baylor | -109.68 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 967.19 | 82 | 54 | 60.3% | 01 |
90 | SunBelt | FL International | -121.82 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -1102.37 | 63 | 81 | 43.8% | 02 |
91 | SunBelt | Middle TN State | -126.90 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% | -1304.36 | 60 | 84 | 41.7% | -10 |
92 | Pac10 | UCLA | -139.00 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 289.72 | 77 | 68 | 53.1% | -01 |
93 | MtnWest | New Mexico | -141.72 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 227.52 | 81 | 64 | 55.9% | 01 |
94 | SEC | Mississippi State | -142.58 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 124.60 | 75 | 60 | 55.6% | -01 |
95 | CUSA | Marshall | -142.99 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 245.24 | 81 | 55 | 59.6% | 00 |
96 | Big12 | Texas A&M | -151.38 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 672.45 | 79 | 66 | 54.5% | 00 |
97 | MAC | Ohio | -164.10 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -598.96 | 70 | 64 | 52.2% | 01 |
98 | CUSA | UAB | -167.09 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -777.99 | 66 | 69 | 48.9% | -01 |
99 | CUSA | Central Florida | -170.80 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -520.97 | 68 | 69 | 49.6% | 00 |
100 | MtnWest | Wyoming | -172.38 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -291.77 | 72 | 61 | 54.1% | 00 |
101 | BigEast | Syracuse | -175.52 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | 960.23 | 85 | 50 | 63.0% | 00 |
102 | WAC | Utah State | -184.16 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | 626.15 | 87 | 58 | 60.0% | 00 |
103 | Big10 | Indiana | -194.90 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | 383.42 | 82 | 53 | 60.7% | 00 |
104 | Big10 | Michigan | -204.14 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | 819.69 | 85 | 59 | 59.0% | 00 |
105 | MAC | Kent State | -210.16 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -935.67 | 65 | 71 | 47.8% | 01 |
106 | SunBelt | LA-Monroe | -219.67 | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | -1435.05 | 57 | 76 | 42.9% | -01 |
107 | MAC | Toledo | -231.84 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | -428.55 | 73 | 72 | 50.3% | 00 |
108 | MAC | Eastern Michigan | -252.88 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | -310.24 | 73 | 62 | 54.1% | 01 |
109 | WAC | New Mexico State | -269.47 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | -604.68 | 68 | 67 | 50.4% | 01 |
110 | Indy | Army | -271.09 | 3 | 9 | 25.0% | -635.15 | 67 | 67 | 50.0% | -02 |
111 | Big12 | Iowa State | -308.45 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -387.60 | 68 | 66 | 50.7% | 00 |
112 | WAC | Idaho | -315.85 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -604.53 | 70 | 65 | 51.9% | 00 |
113 | CUSA | Tulane | -317.32 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -143.63 | 77 | 70 | 52.4% | 00 |
114 | Pac10 | Washington State | -325.47 | 2 | 11 | 15.4% | -72.73 | 77 | 69 | 52.7% | 00 |
115 | MtnWest | San Diego State | -326.09 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -147.98 | 74 | 60 | 55.2% | 01 |
116 | MAC | Miami (OH) | -363.00 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -682.27 | 68 | 69 | 49.6% | 01 |
117 | Indy | Western Kentucky | -371.32 | 2 | 10 | 16.7% | -833.56 | 67 | 60 | 52.8% | -02 |
118 | CUSA | SMU | -377.01 | 1 | 11 | 8.3% | 54.25 | 78 | 56 | 58.2% | 00 |
119 | SunBelt | North Texas | -401.22 | 1 | 11 | 8.3% | -604.07 | 73 | 72 | 50.3% | 01 |
120 | Pac10 | Washington | -422.10 | 0 | 12 | 0.0% | 1126.86 | 87 | 59 | 59.6% | -01 |
The ACC takes the regular season crown by a landslide. Sure they had the same basic record as the Big12 & SEC at 37-11, but their conference SoS was much tougher than those two. The BigEast slides into the #3 spot, while the Big10, MtnWest, and Pac10 round out the top seven. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out in the bowls. I'll have a bigger breakdown of each conference's non-conf schedule later this week.
Week 15 Conference Achievement Rankings | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Avg Points | Conference | non-conf W | non-conf L | non-conf W% | non-conf oPts | non-conf oW | non-conf oL | non-conf oW% |
1 | 152.70 | ACC | 37 | 11 | 77.1% | -3724.64 | 237 | 195 | 54.9% |
2 | 106.67 | Big12 | 38 | 10 | 79.2% | -5253.93 | 225 | 250 | 47.4% |
3 | 100.28 | BigEast | 29 | 12 | 70.7% | -2766.00 | 212 | 211 | 50.1% |
4 | 91.04 | SEC | 38 | 11 | 77.6% | -4886.74 | 236 | 259 | 47.7% |
5 | 65.79 | Big10 | 32 | 12 | 72.7% | -4290.84 | 216 | 219 | 49.7% |
6 | 30.81 | MtnWest | 25 | 11 | 69.4% | -5180.97 | 148 | 211 | 41.2% |
7 | -4.22 | Pac10 | 14 | 17 | 45.2% | 1313.84 | 206 | 147 | 58.4% |
8 | -34.31 | WAC | 18 | 19 | 48.6% | -2223.65 | 200 | 176 | 53.2% |
9 | -62.15 | MAC | 22 | 30 | 42.3% | -3436.32 | 275 | 271 | 50.4% |
10 | -65.42 | CUSA | 18 | 30 | 37.5% | -878.47 | 280 | 225 | 55.4% |
11 | -116.65 | SunBelt | 13 | 27 | 32.5% | -2512.66 | 217 | 233 | 48.2% |
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