Monday, June 1, 2009

Boise State - TCU

Fiesta Bowl
January 4, 8:00pm
Glendale, AZ
Boise State
(13-0) ___________ WAC _________ 441.42
____
YPG = 467.0 (116%)
PPG = 45.0 (155%)
dYPG = 305.8 (77%)
dPPG = 17.8 (64%)
____
Wk Opponent oPts Score
1 Oregon 385.85 W, 19-8
2 Miami (OH) -332.47 W, 48-0
3 Fresno St 116.89 W, 51-34
4 Bowling Green 66.61 W, 49-14
5 UC Davis -526.55 W, 34-16
7 Tulsa -112.30 W, 28-21
8 Hawaii -68.79 W, 54-9
9 San Jose St -289.14 W, 45-7
10 Louisiana Tech -137.56 W, 45-35
11 Idaho 19.61 W, 63-25
12 Utah St -163.79 W, 52-21
13 Nevada 98.86 W, 44-33
14 New Mexico State -332.96 W, 42-7
TCU
(12-0) ________ MtnWest ______ 419.26
____
+13% ← YPG = 464.1 (129%)___________
+3% ← PPG = 39.3 (158%)__________
-12% ← dYPG = 231.8 (65%)__________
-16% ← dPPG = 11.6 (48%)_________
____
Wk Opponent oPts Score
2 Virginia -207.42 W, 30-14
3 Texas St -501.89 W, 56-21
4 Clemson 149.95 W, 14-10
5 SMU 22.67 W, 39-14
6 Air Force 44.52 W, 20-17
7 Colorado St -255.31 W, 44-6
8 Brigham Young 253.27 W, 38-7
9 UNLV -83.31 W, 41-0
10 San Diego St -155.82 W, 55-12
11 Utah 174.96 W, 55-28
12 Wyoming -36.24 W, 45-10
13 New Mexico -391.30 W, 51-10
___

The only other matchup between undefeated teams this bowl season - let's hope it's a good one. The Horned Frogs have the edge in most statistical departments, but it's not a big one. Both are better than average offensively, especially when it comes to putting up points, and solid defensively. Both have played some decent teams, the biggest win being the Broncos' opening week defeat of Oregon. Most of their games haven't even been close either.

I think this one's going to come down to whoever can sustain momentum when it swings their way. If Boise State gets on a roll offensively, and TCU has to play a bit on their heels, the Broncos could squeeze it out. I think the more plausible scenario is that the Horned Frogs defense stymies the Bronco offense while taking advantage of some big plays of their own.

The Line: Boise State +7

The Call: TCU by 9

The Result: Boise State 17-10

Quite the game, huh? I'll have more about these two in my yearly wrap-up, but let's just enjoy the game for what it was - a highly entertaining matchup between two fantastic teams.

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