Fresno State - Wyoming

New Mexico Bowl December 19, 4:30pm Albuquerque, NM

Fresno State (8-4) ______________ WAC ____________ 116.89 ____ ____________YPG = 429.1 (113%) → +35% ____________PPG = 32.8 (120%) → +64% dYPG = 428.3 (111%) dPPG = 30.4 (112%) ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 UC Davis -526.55 W, 51-0 2 Wisconsin 189.12 L, 31-34 3 Boise St 441.42 L, 34-51 4 Cincinnati 473.38 L, 20-28 6 Hawaii -68.79 W, 42-17 7 San Jose St -289.14 W, 41-21 8 New Mexico St -332.96 W, 34-3 9 Utah St -163.79 W, 31-27 10 Idaho 19.61 W, 31-21 11 Nevada 98.86 L, 14-52 12 Louisiana Tech -137.56 W, 30-28 14 Illinois -190.53 W, 53-52

Wyoming (6-6) ___________ MtnWest _______ -36.24 ____ YPG = 286.4 (78%) PPG = 15.8 (56%) -7% ← dYPG = 392.7 (104%)_________ -13% ← dPPG = 27.7 (99%)__________ ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Weber St -571.00 W, 29-22 2 Texas 487.27 L, 10-41 3 Colorado -216.73 L, 0-24 4 UNLV -83.31 W, 30-27 5 Florida Atl -101.06 W, 30-28 6 New Mexico -391.30 W, 37-13 7 Air Force 44.52 L, 0-10 9 Utah 174.96 L, 10-22 10 Brigham Young 253.27 L, 0-52 11 San Diego St -155.82 W, 30-27 12 TCU 419.26 L, 10-45 13 Colorado St -255.31 W, 17-16

Upon first glance, the Bulldogs have the upper hand here, if only because they're not in the red like the Cowboys are. Their offense is solid, having gone over 30 points in 10 of 12 games this year, as opposed to the Cowboy offense being significantly worse than average - they're only scoring 56% of the points their opponents normally allow. Terrible. The Bulldogs don't have as good of a D, not only percentage-wise but straight yards and points too, but it's nowhere near the offensive difference.

Neither team has a really good win on their resume, losing to all of the teams better than them. But Wyoming's loss to Colorado stands out as pretty bad. Other than that, they didn't put more than 10 points on the board against their other opponents in the blue.

Unless the Cowboys can pull something out of their sleeve, expect the Bulldogs to run away with it.

The Line: Wyoming +10.5

The Call: Fresno State by 17

The Result: Wyoming 35-28 OT

That's some magic there. Damn good way to start the bowl season.