Northern Illinois - South Florida

International Bowl January 2, 12:00pm Toronto, Canada

N. Illinois (7-5) ______________ MAC _____________ 0.53 ____ YPG = 351.4 (91%) ____________PPG = 29.8 (105%) → +24% __________dYPG = 336.1 (89%) → -7% _________dPPG = 22.5 (90%) → -4% ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Wisconsin 189.12 L, 20-28 2 Western Illinois -511.06 W, 41-7 3 Purdue -27.94 W, 28-21 4 Idaho 19.61 L, 31-34 5 Western Michigan -188.83 W, 38-3 7 Toledo -151.64 L, 19-20 8 Miami (OH) -332.47 W, 27-22 9 Akron -247.05 W, 27-10 10 Eastern Michigan -520.92 W, 50-6 11 Ball St -385.62 W, 26-20 12 Ohio 116.67 L, 31-38 13 Central Michigan 257.98 L, 31-45

South Florida (7-5) _____________ BigEast _________ 79.25 ____ YPG = 344.1 (91%) PPG = 21.8 (81%) dYPG = 354.6 (96%) dPPG = 24.7 (94%) ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Wofford -532.82 W, 40-7 2 Western Kentucky -540.84 W, 35-13 3 Charleston Southern -526.79 W, 59-0 4 Florida St 71.14 W, 17-7 5 Syracuse -108.38 W, 34-20 7 Cincinnati 473.38 L, 17-34 8 Pittsburgh 224.38 L, 14-41 9 West Virginia 240.94 W, 30-19 11 Rutgers 102.84 L, 0-31 12 Louisville -108.86 W, 34-22 13 Miami (FL) 274.34 L, 10-31 14 Connecticut 100.28 L, 27-29

The Huskies actually have the edge in the stats department, having a better offense and defense than the Bulls. But South Florida played a tougher schedule and didn't lose to any teams it shouldn't have, even managing to knock off a good West Virginia squad. Northern Illinois' best win was over Purdue, then a bunch of average MAC teams. Scoring might be a bit tricky for the Bulls, but if their D can prop them up, they should be okay.

The Line: Northern Illinois +7

The Call: South Florida by 9

The Result: South Florida 27-3

Consider the propping up successful. Nice W for the Bulls.