Memphis - South Florida

the magicJack St. Petersburg Bowl Saturday, December 20th, 4:30pm St. Petersberg, Florida

Memphis (6-6)______CUSA______-78.38 Wk Opp oPts Score 1 Mississippi 180.41 L, 24-41 2 Rice 160.13 L, 35-42 3 Marshall -148.36 L, 16-17 4 Nicholls State -440.82 W, 31-10 5 Arkansas State -51.75 W, 29-17 6 UAB -166.76 W, 33-30 7 Louisville -82.22 L, 28-35 8 East Carolina 198.86 L, 10-30 9 Southern Miss -33.64 W, 36-30 11 SMU -377.91 W, 31-26 13 Central Florida -175.59 L, 21-28 14 Tulane -317.47 W, 45-6

South Florida (7-5)______BigEast_____82.51 Wk Opp oPts Score 1 Tennessee-Martin -462.60 W, 56-7 2 Central Florida -175.59 W, 31-24 3 Kansas 81.58 W, 37-34 4 FL International -116.85 W, 17-9 5 NC State 102.87 W, 41-10 6 Pittsburgh 277.72 L, 21-26 8 Syracuse -173.35 W, 45-13 9 Louisville -82.22 L, 20-24 10 Cincinnati 331.88 L, 10-24 12 Rutgers 118.18 L, 16-49 13 Connecticut 103.31 W, 17-13 15 West Virginia 144.18 L, 7-13

Not a lot of blue on the Tigers' board - it says something that Southern Miss was the 4th hardest team you played this year. The Bulls do better, and actually won some of their matchups with above-average teams. Edge South Florida. On the other hand, Memphis is 3-1 in their last 4 games, winning at Tulane in the last week of November to become bowl eligible. South Florida is 1-4 going down the stretch, albeit against tough(er) BigEast competition. Edge Memphis.

magicJack St. Petersburg Bowl Matchup
Team	Memphis	South Florida
Points (rank)	-78.38 (#78)	82.51 (#48)
Record	6-6	7-5
Opp. Points (rank)	-1,255.12 (#114)	149.11 (#47)
Opp. Record	58-76	72-63
Points (% of Opp. Avg)	28.3 (100%)	26.5 (98%)
dPoints (% of Opp. Avg)	26.0 (108%)	20.5 (85%)
Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	205.6 (137%)	159.8 (113%)
dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	146.3 (102%)	97.7 (69%)
Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	226.6 (98%)	237.6 (112%)
dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	195.7 (92%)	194.1 (98%)
Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	432.2 (114%)	397.4 (112%)
dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	341.9 (95%)	291.8 (85%)
ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	101.6 (85%)	130.3 (102%)
dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)	137.5 (112%)	128.7 (99%)
Penalties / Pen. Yds	4.7 / 41.2	8.7 / 67.7
TO's / TO Margin	1.4 / 0	2.0 / -7

The Memphis rush vs the South Florida D might play a big role here - the Tigers are used to running for over 200 yds a game, 137% of their opponent's average, while the Bulls allow less than 100 yds a game, just 69% of their opponent's average. In general, both teams average about 100 yards a game more than they allow, which is good. South Florida's nearly 9 penalties a game might come back to bite them, but they should be strong enough to hold off the Memphis team.

The Line: South Florida -11.5

The Call: South Florida wins, but Memphis covers the spread

The Result: South Florida 41-14

Only 66 yards rushing for the Tigers, though it is tough to stick with the run when you're behind all game. The Bulls offense was clicking, and they've got a solid win to start to build next year on.