Tuesday, July 11, 2006

2005: the Setup

Using the 2005 season as a template, here is an example of how the Modified Season would work...

August, September, and October are used for conference play. Each team plays 8 or 9 games - listed below are conferences, teams, teams' non-conference opponent(s), the result of that non-conference game, and their overall W-L record. The conference records and non-conference opponents are consistent with the actual 2005 season. For this exercise, non-conference opponents were chosen with the goal of minimizing the number of I-AA teams included. (I kept as many games as possible between Division I-A teams, but some I-AA games had to be added to complete schedules.) For those conferences with less than 8 teams (BigEast, SunBelt, etc.), I've listed all of their non-conference games. In addition, the Indy's (Notre Dame, Navy, etc.) have all of their games listed.

ConfTeamNon-Conf Opp.Res.WL
ACCMiami (FL)TempleW72
ACCVA TechWest VirginiaW72
ACCBoston CollegeArmyW63
ACCClemsonTempleW54
ACCFlorida StateFloridaL54
ACCGA TechGeorgiaL54
ACCNorth CarolinaUtahW54
ACCMarylandNavyW45
ACCNC StateMiddle TN StateW45
ACCVirginiaTempleW45
ACCWake ForestVanderbiltL36
ACCDukeNavyL09
Big10Ohio StateSan Diego StateW81
Big10Penn StateSouth FloridaW81
Big10NorthwesternOhioW63
Big10WisconsinTempleW63
Big10IowaIowa StateL54
Big10MichiganNotre DameL54
Big10MinnesotaTulsaW54
Big10Michigan StateNotre DameW36
Big10PurdueNotre DameL36
Big10IndianaNicholls StateW27
Big10IllinoisRutgersW18
Big12TexasLA-LafayetteW90
Big12Texas TechFlorida Intl.W72
Big12ColoradoColorado StateW63
Big12OklahomaUCLAL63
Big12Iowa StateIowaW54
Big12MissouriArkansas StateW54
Big12NebraskaPittsburghW54
Big12BaylorArmyW45
Big12KansasFlorida AtlanticW45
Big12Texas A&MSMUW45
Big12Kansas StateFlorida Intl.W36
Big12Oklahoma StateFlorida AtlanticW27
BigEastWest VirginiaVA TechL81
East CarolinaW
BigEastLouisvilleKentuckyW72
Oregon StateW
BigEastRutgersIllinoisL54
NavyW
BigEastSouth FloridaPenn StateL54
UCFW
BigEastConnecticutArmyW46
LibertyW
BigEastPittsburghNotre DameL45
NebraskaL
BigEastCincinnatiMiami (OH)L36
Eastern MichiganW
BigEastSyracuseNotre DameL18
BuffaloW
CUSAUCFSouth FloridaL72
CUSASouthern MissMcNeese StateW63
CUSATulsaMinnesotaL63
CUSAUTEPNew MexicoW63
CUSAHoustonMississippi StateW54
CUSAMemphisTennesseeL54
CUSAEast CarolinaWest VirginiaL45
CUSAMarshallWilliam & MaryW45
CUSASMUTexas A&ML45
CUSAUABTroyW45
CUSARice17
CUSATulaneNavyL18
IndyNotre DameMichigan StateL72
USCL
PittsburghW
MichiganW
WashingtonW
PurdueW
BYUW
SyracuseW
NavyW
IndyNavyNotre DameL54
MarylandL
StanfordL
RutgersL
ArmyW
DukeW
Kent StateW
TempleW
TulaneW
IndyArmyBoston CollegeL36
BaylorL
ConnecticutL
Central MichiganL
TCUL
NavyL
Air ForceW
AkronW
Arkansas StateW
IndyTempleNavyL09
Arizona StateL
WisconsinL
ToledoL
Western MichiganL
Bowling GreenL
Miami (FL)L
ClemsonL
VirginiaL
MACNorthern IllinoisTennessee TechW72
MACToledoTempleW72
MACBowling GreenTempleW63
MACCentral MichiganArmyW63
MACMiami (OH)CincinnatiW63
MACWestern MichiganTempleW63
MACAkronArmyL54
MACBall StateAuburnL45
MACEastern MichiganCincinnatiL36
MACOhioNorthwesternL36
MACBuffaloSyracuseL18
MACKent StateNavyL09
MtnWestTCUArmyW90
MtnWestBYUNotre DameL54
MtnWestColorado StateColoradoL54
MtnWestNew MexicoUTEPL45
MtnWestSan Diego StateOhio StateL45
MtnWestUtahNorth CarolinaL45
MtnWestAir ForceArmyL36
MtnWestWyomingLA-MonroeW36
MtnWestUNLVUtah StateL18
Pac10USCNotre DameW90
Pac10OregonFresno StateW81
Pac10UCLAOklahomaW72
Pac10Arizona StateTempleW54
Pac10CaliforniaNew Mexico StateW54
Pac10StanfordNavyW54
Pac10ArizonaNorthern ArizonaW36
Pac10Oregon StateLouisvilleL36
Pac10Washington StateNevadaW27
Pac10WashingtonNotre DameL18
SECAuburnBall StateW81
SECLSUNorth TexasW81
SECAlabamaMiddle TN StateW72
SECGeorgiaGA TechW72
SECFloridaFlorida StateW63
SECSouth CarolinaTroyW63
SECTennesseeMemphisW45
SECVanderbiltWake ForestW45
SECArkansasLA-MonroeW36
SECKentuckyLouisvilleL27
SECMississippiCitadelW27
SECMississippi StateHoustonL18
SunBeltLA-LafayetteTexasL63
Northwestern StateW
SunBeltArkansas StateArmyL54
MissouriL
SunBeltLA-MonroeWyomingL54
ArkansasL
SunBeltFlorida Intl.Kansas StateL36
Texas TechL
SunBeltMiddle TN StateAlabamaL36
NC StateL
SunBeltTroyUABL36
South CarolinaL
SunBeltFlorida AtlanticKansasL27
Oklahoma StateL
SunBeltNorth TexasLSUL27
Louisiana TechL
WACBoise StatePortland StateW81
WACLouisiana TechNorth TexasW72
WACNevadaWashington StateL72
WACFresno StateOregonL63
WACHawaii44
WACSan Jose StateEastern WashingtonW36
WACUtah StateUNLVW36
WACIdaho26
WACNew Mexico StateCaliforniaL09

So those are the standings. Below is my guess at what the Official Rankings published at the end of October might be, determined by combining the above results with other final polls from 2005.

RankTeamW-L
#1Texas (h)(9-0)
#2USC (H)(9-0)
#3Penn State (H)(8-1)
#4Ohio State (H)(8-1)
#5Oregon(8-1)
#6Auburn (H)(8-1)
#7LSU (H)(8-1)
#8Virginia Tech (h)(7-2)
#9West Virginia(8-1)
#10Georgia (H)(7-2)
#11Miami (FL)(7-2)
#12Notre Dame (h)(7-2)
#13TCU(9-0)
#14Alabama (h)(7-2)
#15Texas Tech(7-2)
#16Louisville(7-2)
#17UCLA (h)(7-2)
#18Boise State(8-1)
#19Boston College(6-3)
#20Florida (H)(6-3)
#21Wisconsin (h)(6-3)
#22Oklahoma (H)(6-3)
#23Toledo(7-2)
#24Northern Illinois(7-2)
#25South Carolina (h)(6-3)
#26Nevada(7-2)
#27Louisiana Tech(7-2)
#28UCF(7-2)
#29GA Tech(5-4)
#30California(5-4)
#31Michigan (H)(5-4)
#32Minnesota(5-4)
#33Colorado(6-3)
#34Fresno State(6-3)
#35Clemson (h)(5-4)
#36Florida State (h)(5-4)
#37Iowa (h)(5-4)
#38Northwestern(6-3)
#39Iowa State(5-4)
#40Nebraska (h)(5-4)
#41Arizona State(5-4)
#42South Florida(5-4)
#43Bowling Green(6-3)
#44Miami (OH)(6-3)
#45Tulsa(6-3)
#46North Carolina(5-4)
#47Missouri(5-4)
#48Stanford(5-4)
#49Colorado State(5-4)
#50Central Michigan(6-3)
#51Southern Miss(6-3)
#52Virginia(4-5)
#53Kansas(4-5)
#54LA-Lafayette(6-3)
#55UTEP(6-3)
#56Western Michigan(6-3)
#57Tennessee (H)(4-5)
#58Maryland(4-5)
#59NC State(4-5)
#60Akron(5-4)
#61BYU(5-4)
#62Texas A&M (h)(4-5)
#63Purdue(3-6)
#64Michigan State (h)(3-6)
#65Rutgers(5-4)
#66Baylor(4-5)
#67Pittsburgh(4-5)
#68Oregon State(3-6)
#69Houston(5-4)
#70Memphis(5-4)
#71Arkansas State(5-4)
#72Navy(5-4)
#73Vanderbilt(4-5)
#74LA-Monroe(5-4)
#75Kansas State(3-6)
#76Arkansas (h)(3-6)
#77Utah(4-5)
#78Wake Forest(3-6)
#79Hawaii(4-4)
#80Connecticut(4-5)
#81San Diego State(4-5)
#82Arizona(3-6)
#83Ball State(4-5)
#84East Carolina(4-5)
#85New Mexico(4-5)
#86UAB(4-5)
#87Marshall(4-5)
#88SMU(4-5)
#89Air Force(3-6)
#90Washington State(2-7)
#91Indiana(2-7)
#92Army(3-6)
#93Oklahoma State(2-7)
#94Cincinnati(3-6)
#95Eastern Michigan(3-6)
#96Florida Intl.(3-6)
#97Wyoming(3-6)
#98Ohio(3-6)
#99Washington (h)(1-8)
#100Middle TN State(3-6)
#101San Jose State(3-6)
#102Kentucky(2-7)
#103Troy(3-6)
#104Illinois(1-8)
#105Utah State(3-6)
#106Idaho(2-6)
#107Mississippi State(1-8)
#108Mississippi(2-7)
#109Syracuse(1-8)
#110Florida Atlantic(2-7)
#111North Texas(2-7)
#112Rice(1-7)
#113Buffalo(1-8)
#114UNLV(1-8)
#115Tulane(1-8)
#116Duke(0-9)
#117Kent State(0-9)
#118New Mexico State(0-9)
#119Temple(0-9)

If you're wondering what the upper-case and lower-case H's next to some of the team names represent, it's just a quick guide to note the high attendance teams. Teams with an "H" next to them were in the top 10 in average attendance over the course of the Part I of the season, earning them home-field advantage any time they're in Group B. Teams with the "h" next to them were ranked 11-25, earning them no more than one away game when they play in Group B. Here's the breakdown of the actual Top 25 in average attendance in 2005.

RankTeamAvg. Attendance
1Michigan110,915
2Tennessee107,593
3Ohio State105,017
4Penn State104,859
5Georgia92,701
6LSU91580
7USC90,812
8Florida90,406
9Oklahoma84,331
10Auburn84,161
11Texas83,333
12Florida State82,724
13Wisconsin82,551
14Alabama81,018
15Notre Dame80,795
16South Carolina79,867
17Texas A&M79,732
18Clemson78,232
19Nebraska77,485
20Michigan State75,183
21Iowa70,585
22Virginia Tech65,115
23Washington64,326
24UCLA64,218
25Arkansas63,678

Now that we have everything set, let's take a look at the first two weeks of November.

the Modified Season < Top > Weeks 1 & 2

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