Monday, November 5, 2007

Prediction Outcomes, Week 10

Virginia Tech (+3) @ Georgia Tech: Virginia Tech 27-3 Another Thursday night game for the Hokies, but they're getting points this week... They're on the road, sure, but the Yellow Jackets? This one feels funny, but I've gotta think Virginia Tech is going to rebound.
Virginia Tech by 7 = That's the way to pick yourselves up, Hokies.

Cincinnati (+5) @ South Florida: Cincinnati 38-33 Both these teams started the season 6-0 but have lost their last 2. Which one can rebound and get their momentum back? The Bulls have bigger wins, are playing at home, and have more weapons.
South Florida by 10 = Ouch. South Florida is falling hard, while Cincy is regaining some of their season.

South Carolina (+4.5) @ Arkansas: Arkansas 48-36 The Gamecocks need this one to have any chance in the SEC East, while the Razorbacks need to keep their season (and McFadden's Heisman hopes) from taking another major hit.
South Carolina by 7 = A tough loss for the old ball coach. The Gamecocks had a solid start to their SEC East quest, but after a few stumbles they’re out of it.

Nebraska (+18.5) @ Kansas: Kansas 76-39 Ah, Kansas. The Jayhawks can pile up the points, though they haven't in the past two weeks. The Huskers can't, especially now that their QB is out for the season. It's a big spread, but I can see the Jayhawks covering.
Kansas by 21 = Damn, that was a whuppin’.

LSU (-7.5) @ Alabama: LSU 41-34 This is a big one in the south - if Alabama can somehow pull out the win, they've got the inside track to the SEC West. Not gonna happen though.
LSU by 10 = LSU seems to be having some problems…

Arizona State (+7.5) @ Oregon: Oregon 35-23 Even though Carpenter says he's going to play, he's not going to be 100% this week. The Ducks showed a solid defense against USC last week and should be able to contain the Sun Devils.
Oregon by 10 = …while Oregon is just steamrolling good teams right and left.

Texas A&M (+21.5) @ Oklahoma: Oklahoma 42-14 This would be a huge win for embattled Coach Fran - expect the Aggies to throw everything they've got at the Sooners. If Lane goes for 100 yards, the upset could happen. But it won't.
Oklahoma wins, but Texas A&M covers the spread = C’mon, Aggies. You’re getting over 20 points, the least you can do is keep it close. Argh.

Wisconsin (+16) @ Ohio State: Ohio State 38-17The Buckeyes have played big this year, but they're not immune to the down week. This one could be close.
Ohio State wins, but Wisconsin covers the spread = Well, it was close for 3 quarters. The Buckeyes know how to finish, I’ll give them that.

Washington (-3.5) @ Stanford: Washington 27-9 Oh, a tricky one. The bottom of the Pac 10 isn't a fun place to be, as both these teams know. They both really need this one, and I've got a feeling the battle-tested Huskies are going to get a break.
Washington by 7 = Nice win for Willingham at his old stomping grounds.

Michigan (-4) @ Michigan State: Michigan 28-24 The Wolverines are on a major roll, with or without their starters. If Hart runs well, this could be a blowout.
Michigan by 10 = The Wolverines continue to just get it done. As usual, the battle with Ohio State will decide a lot, both in the Big 10 and nationally.

Troy State (+16.5) @ Georgia: Georgia 44-34 I know, I know. But the Dawgs are the picking equivalent of crack. Giving up only 16.5 to Troy? At home? After pasting the Gators last week? I just can't stay away! Help!
Georgia by 24 = (Curled up in the corner, quietly whimpering.)

Florida Intl (+17.5) @ Arkansas State: Arkansas State 27-24This last one's a tossup. Some weeks it's easy to find 12 or more games to pick, some it's really tough to find the good matchups. Since that's the case, why not give a little love to the Sun Belt? They could use it, I'm sure. I have the Golden Panthers dead last in my rankings, while the Indians sit at #96. 17.5 seems like a lot of points to give up, but Florida Intl can't put points on the board. This is a gut pick - I'll go with it.
Arkansas State by 21 = Ah, well. The gut isn’t always right.

An odd weekend – as good as I was straight up (10 for 12, 83.33%), I was that bad against the spread (4.5 for 12, 37.5% including the Michigan push). The spread is just hurting, jeez.
Season Totals = 86 of 120 (71.67%) straight up, 60.5 of 120 (50.42%) against the spread).

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