December 31st - 6 games
Still on a roll - I'm 13 of 15 straight up and 9 of 15 against the spread.
the Armed Forces Bowl Monday, December 31st, 12:30pm Fort Worth, Texas | ||||||||
California (6-6)______Pac 10_____87.95 | Air Force (9-3)_____Mtn West____233.04 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tennessee | 349.37 | W, 45-31 | 2 | @ Utah | 213.09 | W, 20-12 | |
5 | @ Oregon | 251.78 | W, 31-24 | 3 | Texas Christian | 152.78 | W, 20-17 | |
4 | Arizona | 69.56 | W, 45-27 | 8 | Wyoming | -10.46 | W, 20-12 | |
10 | Washington State | 31.17 | W, 20-17 | 12 | San Diego State | -84.17 | W, 55-23 | |
3 | Louisiana Tech | -48.56 | W, 42-12 | 7 | @ Colorado State | -109.69 | W, 45-21 | |
2 | @ Colorado State | -109.69 | W, 34-28 | 11 | @ Notre Dame | -135.92 | W, 41-24 | |
11 | Southern California | 321.57 | L, 17-24 | 10 | Army | -176.10 | W, 30-10 | |
9 | @ Arizona State | 241.74 | L, 20-31 | 6 | Nevada-Las Vegas | -178.30 | W, 31-14 | |
7 | Oregon State | 209.72 | L, 28-31 | 1 | South Carolina State | - | W, 34-3 | |
8 | @ UCLA | 117.96 | L, 21-30 | 4 | @ Brigham Young | 341.36 | L, 6-31 | |
12 | @ Washington | -9.10 | L, 23-37 | 9 | @ New Mexico | 154.27 | L, 31-34 | |
14 | @ Stanford | -46.40 | L, 13-20 | 5 | @ Navy | 111.26 | L, 20-31 | |
The Bears have played the tougher schedule, but the won 3 less games than the Falcons did.
Cal's season tanked in October just when they were on the verge of being ranked #1, while Air Force has gone up after a rough start. Definite edge to the Falcons.
The Line: Air Force +4.5
The Story: Giving points to the Falcons? That makes this choice easy...
The Call: Air Force by 10
The Result: California 42-36 = ...it also makes that choice very wrong. Looks like Cal has found themselves a QB for next year.
the Sun Bowl Monday, December 31st, 2:00pm El Paso, Texas | ||||||||
South Florida (9-3)_____Big East____316.42 | Oregon (8-4)_____Pac 10____251.78 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | West Virginia | 364.93 | W, 21-13 | 9 | Southern California | 321.57 | W, 24-17 | |
2 | @ Auburn | 294.68 | W, 26-23 | 10 | @ Arizona State | 241.74 | W, 35-23 | |
7 | Central Florida | 266.42 | W, 64-12 | 2 | @ Michigan | 235.72 | W, 39-7 | |
12 | Louisville | 106.21 | W, 55-17 | 3 | Fresno State | 151.92 | W, 52-21 | |
13 | @ Pittsburgh | 76.94 | W, 48-37 | 1 | Houston | 111.86 | W, 48-27 | |
6 | @ Florida Atlantic | 42.86 | W, 35-23 | 7 | Washington State | 31.17 | W, 53-7 | |
4 | North Carolina | 7.58 | W, 37-10 | 8 | @ Washington | -9.10 | W, 55-34 | |
11 | @ Syracuse | -156.53 | W, 41-10 | 4 | @ Stanford | -46.40 | W, 55-31 | |
1 | Elon | - | W, 28-13 | 14 | Oregon State | 209.72 | L, 31-38 | |
10 | Cincinnati | 298.97 | L, 33-38 | 13 | @ UCLA | 117.96 | L, 0-16 | |
9 | @ Connecticut | 232.43 | L, 15-22 | 5 | California | 87.95 | L, 24-31 | |
8 | @ Rutgers | 146.23 | L, 27-30 | 12 | @ Arizona | 69.56 | L, 24-34 | |
Credit to both of these schools for playing two tough schedules - only 2 teams each that were in the red. Some major victories here for both too - West Virginia, Auburn, USC, Michigan. Even though they've lost some of their luster, these two were powerful this year.
Both of these teams had major ups and downs, but the Bulls are the only ones on their way up.
The Line: Oregon +6
The Story: It was a shame that the Ducks lost Dennis Dixon, and they'll put up a fight, but the Bulls might as well be playing regon.
The Call: South Florida by 10
The Result: Oregon 56-21 = Another Pac 10 team proving me wrong. The Ducks looked dominant not only on offense but also on defense. That's just what they needed going into the offseason.
the Humanitarian Bowl Monday, December 31st, 2:00pm Boise, Idaho | ||||||||
Fresno State (8-4)______WAC_____151.92 | Georgia Tech (7-5)______ACC_____154.13 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | @ Nevada | 54.01 | W, 49-41 | 5 | Clemson | 293.25 | W, 13-3 | |
13 | Kansas State | 43.11 | W, 45-29 | 7 | @ Miami (Florida) | 46.59 | W, 17-14 | |
5 | Louisiana Tech | -48.56 | W, 17-6 | 12 | North Carolina | 7.58 | W, 27-25 | |
8 | San Jose State | -53.89 | W, 30-0 | 1 | @ Notre Dame | -135.92 | W, 33-3 | |
14 | @ New Mexico State | -156.16 | W, 30-23 | 8 | Army | -176.10 | W, 34-10 | |
10 | Utah State | -209.20 | W, 38-27 | 11 | @ Duke | -205.27 | W, 41-24 | |
7 | @ Idaho | -335.67 | W, 37-24 | 2 | Samford | - | W, 69-14 | |
1 | Sacramento State | - | W, 24-3 | 10 | Virginia Tech | 439.86 | L, 3-27 | |
11 | @ Hawaii | 395.58 | L, 30-37 | 13 | Georgia | 412.72 | L, 17-31 | |
3 | @ Oregon | 251.78 | L, 21-52 | 3 | Boston College | 313.79 | L, 10-24 | |
9 | Boise State | 229.42 | L, 21-34 | 4 | @ Virginia | 254.75 | L, 23-28 | |
2 | @ Texas A&M | 130.38 | L, 45-47 | 6 | @ Maryland | 134.68 | L, 26-28 | |
The Yellowjackets beat Clemson, but that's about the only decent win between these two. No real bad losses though, so I guess that counts for something.
Pretty even when it comes to seasonal progress too.
The Line: Fresno State +6
The Story: The temperature isn't supposed to get above freezing all day long - the turf isn't the only thing that's gonna be blue. Fresno State has some players suspended for this game, including their All-American kick returner (though he's appealing). I still like the Bulldog's chances though.
The Call: Fresno State by 3
The Result: Fresno State 40-28 = Great win for Pat Hill & the Bulldogs.
the Music City Bowl Monday, December 31st, 4:00pm Nashville, Tennessee | ||||||||
Florida State (7-5)_____ACC____200.76 | Kentucky (7-5)_____SEC____208.61 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | @ Boston College | 313.79 | W, 27-17 | 7 | Louisiana State | 460.13 | W, 43-37 | |
5 | Alabama | 183.77 | W, 21-14 | 4 | @ Arkansas | 294.50 | W, 42-29 | |
12 | Maryland | 134.68 | W, 24-16 | 3 | Louisville | 106.21 | W, 40-34 | |
3 | @ Colorado | 93.37 | W, 16-6 | 11 | @ Vanderbilt | 81.36 | W, 27-20 | |
6 | North Carolina State | 34.24 | W, 27-10 | 5 | Florida Atlantic | 42.86 | W, 45-17 | |
9 | Duke | -205.27 | W, 25-6 | 2 | Kent | -226.51 | W, 56-20 | |
2 | Alabama-Birmingham | -232.53 | W, 34-24 | 1 | Eastern Kentucky | - | W, 50-10 | |
11 | @ Virginia Tech | 439.86 | L, 21-40 | 12 | @ Georgia | 412.72 | L, 13-24 | |
13 | @ Florida | 377.83 | L, 12-45 | 8 | Florida | 377.83 | L, 37-45 | |
1 | @ Clemson | 293.25 | L, 18-24 | 13 | Tennessee | 349.37 | L, 50-52 | |
7 | @ Wake Forest | 245.34 | L, 21-24 | 9 | Mississippi State | 191.93 | L, 14-31 | |
8 | Miami (Florida) | 46.59 | L, 29-37 | 6 | @ South Carolina | 163.22 | L, 23-38 | |
Very similar schedules, these two. A couple big victories over BC and LSU, some wins over bottom-dwellers, no real bad losses.
Their progress comes together at the end - two very evenly matched teams.
The Line: Florida State +9
The Story: +9? I guess that must be because the Seminoles are leaving half their team at home, huh? Yeah. Ridiculous.
The Call: Kentucky by 17
The Result: Kentucky 35-28 = Not the prettiest of games from either team, but it's a good cap to a solid year by Kentucky.
the Insight Bowl Monday, December 31st, 5:30pm Tempe, Arizona | ||||||||
Indiana (7-5)______Big 10_____133.65 | Oklahoma State (6-6)_____Big 12____112.55 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Purdue | 126.73 | W, 27-24 | 4 | Texas Tech | 195.22 | W, 49-45 | |
5 | @ Iowa | 72.08 | W, 38-20 | 8 | Kansas State | 43.11 | W, 41-39 | |
10 | Ball State | 70.73 | W, 38-20 | 2 | Florida Atlantic | 42.86 | W, 42-6 | |
2 | @ Western Michigan | -65.04 | W, 37-27 | 7 | @ Nebraska | 29.14 | W, 45-14 | |
3 | Akron | -140.28 | W, 41-24 | 12 | @ Baylor | -139.20 | W, 45-14 | |
6 | Minnesota | -195.44 | W, 40-20 | 5 | Sam Houston State | - | W, 39-3 | |
1 | Indiana State | - | W, 55-7 | 1 | @ Georgia | 412.72 | L, 14-35 | |
4 | Illinois | 331.14 | L, 14-27 | 13 | @ Oklahoma | 409.00 | L, 17-49 | |
8 | Penn State | 238.54 | L, 31-36 | 11 | Kansas | 322.17 | L, 28-43 | |
9 | @ Wisconsin | 234.68 | L, 3-33 | 10 | Texas | 275.96 | L, 35-38 | |
7 | @ Michigan State | 196.40 | L, 27-52 | 3 | @ Troy | 134.45 | L, 23-41 | |
11 | @ Northwestern | 30.45 | L, 28-31 | 6 | @ Texas A&M | 130.38 | L, 23-24 | |
Similar schedules for these two too. It's a solid matchup of middle-of-the-roaders who are just happy to be at a bowl.
The Cowboys have worked their way back up from a tough start, while the Hoosiers have been up and down all year.
The Line: Indiana +5
The Story: The Coaches - you know that Indiana is going to be pumped for this one, playing it for Hep, while Gundy certainly knows how to start a fire, sometimes under his team.
The Call: Oklahoma State by 7
The Result: Oklahoma State 49-33 = The Cowboys had this one in the bag pretty early. Things aren't going so well for the Big 10...
the Chick-Fil-A Bowl Monday, December 31st, 7:30pm Atlanta, Georgia | ||||||||
Clemson (9-3)______ACC_____293.25 | Auburn (8-4)_____SEC____294.68 | |||||||
Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | Week | Opponent | oPts | Res, Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Wake Forest | 245.34 | W, 44-10 | 5 | @ Florida | 377.83 | W, 20-17 | |
1 | Florida State | 200.76 | W, 24-18 | 7 | @ Arkansas | 294.50 | W, 9-7 | |
13 | @ South Carolina | 163.22 | W, 23-21 | 13 | Alabama | 183.77 | W, 17-10 | |
9 | @ Maryland | 134.68 | W, 30-17 | 6 | Vanderbilt | 81.36 | W, 35-7 | |
8 | Central Michigan | 67.05 | W, 70-14 | 1 | Kansas State | 43.11 | W, 23-13 | |
4 | @ North Carolina State | 34.24 | W, 42-20 | 9 | Mississippi | -39.22 | W, 17-3 | |
2 | Louisiana-Monroe | -29.37 | W, 49-26 | 4 | New Mexico State | -156.16 | W, 55-20 | |
10 | @ Duke | -205.27 | W, 47-10 | 10 | Tennessee Tech | - | W, 35-3 | |
3 | Furman | - | W, 38-10 | 8 | @ Louisiana State | 460.13 | L, 24-30 | |
6 | Virginia Tech | 439.86 | L, 23-41 | 11 | @ Georgia | 412.72 | L, 20-45 | |
12 | Boston College | 313.79 | L, 17-20 | 2 | South Florida | 316.42 | L, 23-26 | |
5 | @ Georgia Tech | 154.13 | L, 3-13 | 3 | Mississippi State | 191.93 | L, 14-19 | |
Some solid, if not great wins for both of these teams. No bad losses at all.
Again, similar paths of progress.
The Line: Auburn +2.5
The Story: All my money's on Tommy to win this one. He's been through a lot these last few years, all the rumors of changing schools, those tough losses to mediocre teams. I think he'll come through in this game and really prove that he's the best fit for his school right now.
The Call: Auburn by 10
The Result: Great slugfest between two solid teams. The SEC is winning some close ones...
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