Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Akron non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Akron 1998-2007
Average Rank = 44.2
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
33 9 23 1 27.3% 20 10 3 60.6% 5.1 9 27.3% 7 21.2% 16 48.5%
NCAA Ranks 6 23 60 63 41 72

Analysis: The Zips preferences when it comes to non-conf scheduling are hard to decipher, mainly because they’re all over the place. It could be that they don’t have many preferences and just take whatever comes along. More recently they’ve scheduled three BCS teams per season, but more than once they’ve scheduled just one or two. Same basic thing with non-BCS and I-AA schools. Their opponents’ average wins has peaked at 7.5 and bottomed out at 2.6. Most of the time they play on the road – that’s about as predictable as they get.

Fact: Even though they’ve played all their games against just four conferences (plus independents & I-AA teams), Akron has played 22 different teams in their 33 games. The only teams they’ve played more than twice are Connecticut and Penn State (three times each).

Fact: On the road, Akron’s opponents are more often than not BCS teams with an average wins over 6 – 14 of their 23 opponents.

2008 Outlook: We’re starting to get more of a patterns for these past few years, shading towards the Goldilocks+1 strategy – a good BCS team on the road (@ Wisconsin), an average BCS team (Cincinnati), and a below average BCS team (@ Syracuse) plus one below average extra (@ Army). One of the tougher schedules for 2008.

[Legend]

Akron Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 @ Big10 Wisconsin BCS 9.4 12 -,18,15,5,21
9/6/08 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/20/08 @ Indy Army non 2.4 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/27/08 vs BigEast Cincinnati BCS 6.8 10 -,-,-,-,20
9/1/07 v Indy Army non 2 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/07 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 11 14 1,4,19,4,2
9/15/07 @ Big10 Indiana BCS 3.4 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/29/07 @ BigEast Connecticut BCS 6.4 9 -,41,36,-,-
9/2/06 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 6.4 11 -,15,-,-,3
9/9/06 @ ACC NC State BCS 7.6 11 -,11,30,-,38
9/23/06 vs SunBelt North Texas non 6.2 9 -,37,41,-,-
10/7/06 @ BigEast Cincinnati BCS 6 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/10/05 @ Big10 Purdue BCS 7.4 9 13,-,-,19,35
9/17/05 @ SunBelt Middle Tenn St non 5.4 8 -,-,-,-,-
10/22/05 vs Indy Army non 1.4 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/04 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 6.4 10 11,-,-,15,-
9/11/04 vs SunBelt Middle Tenn St non 5 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/04 @ ACC Virginia BCS 7 9 -,-,-,25,38
9/6/03 @ Big10 Wisconsin BCS 8.6 11 5,4,24,-,35
9/20/03 vs zAA Howard zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/11/03 vs zAA Cal Poly SLO zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/25/03 @ Indy Connecticut non 2.2 6 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/02 @ Big10 Iowa BCS 4.2 7 28,-,-,-,37
9/7/02 @ ACC Maryland BCS 5 10 -,-,-,-,10
9/21/02 @ ACC Virginia BCS 6.8 9 38,18,-,-,-
10/12/02 vs zAA Liberty zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/01 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 9.2 11 2,12,2,35,28
9/22/01 @ Big10 Purdue BCS 7.2 9 -,15,23,27,13
11/3/01 @ Indy UCF non 6 9 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/00 @ BigEast Virginia Tech BCS 9.4 11 9,12,-,19,3
9/16/00 vs Indy UCF non 4.6 9 -,-,-,-,-
10/21/00 vs Indy Connecticut non 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/99 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 10 12 2,12,7,17,15
9/18/99 vs BigEast Temple BCS 1.8 3 -,-,-,-,-
10/23/99 @ Indy Navy non 5.4 9 -,-,27,-,-
9/12/98 @ BigEast Temple BCS 1.6 3 -,-,-,-,-
10/3/98 @ BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 3.6 6 -,-,-,-,-

No comments: