Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Non-Conference Scheduling: Data & Tables

Category 1: Home Field Advantage
Year # of Games Home Team Wins Home Team Win%
1998 674 414 61.4%
1999 686 427 62.2%
2000 702 440 62.7%
2001 709 432 60.9%
2002 772 490 63.5%
2003 771 482 62.5%
2004 707 458 64.8%
2005 718 430 59.9%
2006 792 497 62.8%
2007 792 494 62.4%
Totals 7,323 4,564 62.3%

Category 2: BCS Conference Advantage
Year non vs I-AA Games non Wins non Win% BCS vs I-AA Games BCS Wins BCS Win% BCS vs non Games BCS Wins BCS Win%
1998 32 28 87.5% 15 13 86.7% 112 94 83.9%
1999 38 32 84.2% 15 14 93.3% 113 85 75.2%
2000 44 30 68.2% 12 11 91.7% 124 103 83.1%
2001 37 29 78.4% 20 20 100% 116 97 83.6%
2002 37 30 81.1% 28 27 96.4% 143 119 83.2%
2003 50 41 82.0% 22 21 95.5% 134 99 73.9%
2004 32 28 87.5% 24 22 91.7% 116 88 75.9%
2005 22 21 95.5% 32 31 96.9% 109 96 88.1%
2006 31 28 90.3% 47 43 91.5% 137 114 83.2%
2007 39 32 82.1% 41 38 92.7% 142 117 82.4%
Totals 362 299 82.6% 256 240 93.8% 1,246 1,102 81.2%

In this next table, the first column in each pair is the number of games played between two opponents with an average win total difference greater than the number indicated. For instance, >10 would be like Florida (11.2 avg wins) vs Florida International (.8 avg wins). The second column is the winning percentage of the team with the higher average wins.

Category 3: Higher Average Win Advantage
Year >10 >10 W% >8 >8 W% >6 >6 W% >4 >4 W% >2 >2 W% >0 >0 W%
1998 3 100% 9 100% 53 96.2% 183 82.0% 416 75.2% 663 67.4%
1999 0 - 10 90.0% 56 92.9% 175 81.7% 407 72.7% 662 67.2%
2000 1 100% 12 100% 57 89.5% 161 80.7% 395 70.1% 667 65.4%
2001 1 100% 11 100% 52 94.2% 158 78.5% 405 72.1% 686 67.5%
2002 6 100% 17 100% 62 93.5% 173 86.1% 437 76.7% 747 67.6%
2003 4 75.0% 18 94.4% 56 94.6% 195 86.2% 452 75.2% 755 68.9%
2004 2 100% 14 85.7% 56 92.9% 173 83.8% 408 77.7% 697 68.3%
2005 1 100% 18 100% 76 96.1% 181 85.6% 418 75.6% 700 67.3%
2006 5 100% 23 100% 95 93.7% 239 84.1% 478 77.2% 779 67.1%
2007 4 100% 28 85.7% 99 85.9% 252 80.2% 492 74.2% 777 67.3%
Totals 27 96.3% 160 95.0% 662 92.6% 1,890 82.9% 4,308 74.7% 7,133 67.4%

In this second table for Category 3, an example of a >10 game would be BYU (whose five year high was a 14 win season) vs San Jose State (whose five year high was a 4 win season). The second column is the winning percentage of the team with the higher winning season.

Category 3: Higher Winning Season Advantage
Year >12 >12 W% >10 >10 W% >8 >8 W% >6 >6 W% >4 >4 W% >2 >2 W%
1998 2 100% 11 100% 31 98.6% 94 89.4% 241 81.3% 472 73.3%
1999 4 100% 14 92.9% 48 93.8% 101 88.1% 240 75.0% 485 69.1%
2000 3 100% 14 100% 51 90.2% 108 78.7% 248 72.2% 487 66.5%
2001 5 100% 16 87.5% 50 90.0% 98 86.7% 235 77.9% 480 71.9%
2002 7 100% 22 100% 60 93.3% 117 88.9% 261 81.6% 531 73.8%
2003 4 100% 19 100% 53 90.6% 117 89.7% 273 83.2% 545 74.5%
2004 3 100% 18 88.9% 46 91.3% 110 88.2% 246 84.1% 476 74.6%
2005 4 100% 24 100% 63 92.1% 134 88.8% 270 82.2% 490 71.4%
2006 6 100% 39 97.4% 81 93.8% 167 83.8% 319 79.6% 568 73.1%
2007 8 100% 36 80.6% 86 86.0% 171 81.9% 328 79.0% 574 72.1%
Totals 46 100% 213 93.9% 569 91.4% 1,217 86.1% 2,120 79.7% 5,108 72.1%

In this final table, the first column in each pair is the number of games played between two opponents with a 5-year votes total difference greater than the number indicated. For instance, >6K would be like USC (6,500 votes) vs Idaho (0 votes). The second column is the winning percentage of the team with the higher number of votes.

Category 4: Higher Votes Advantage
Year >6,000 >6K W% >4,500 >4.5K W% >3,000 >3K W% >1,500 >1.5K W% >0 >0 W%
1998 21 85.7% 50 90.0% 96 86.5% 181 81.2% 574 71.3%
1999 15 93.3% 49 87.8% 82 82.9% 197 74.1% 572 67.8%
2000 21 90.5% 51 82.4% 88 79.5% 172 76.2% 569 64.9%
2001 7 85.7% 37 91.9% 77 79.2% 162 74.1% 595 69.6%
2002 3 66.7% 32 75.0% 75 76.0% 194 76.3% 635 68.8%
2003 0 - 10 100% 92 85.9% 178 78.1% 627 70.0%
2004 5 80.0% 18 88.9% 82 86.6% 183 74.9% 575 68.7%
2005 14 78.6% 25 84.0% 87 85.1% 203 76.4% 599 67.4%
2006 7 85.7% 51 86.3% 93 82.8% 233 79.0% 659 70.0%
2007 17 82.4% 56 87.5% 120 78.3% 238 74.4% 662 66.3%
Totals 110 85.5% 379 86.5% 892 82.3% 1,941 76.5% 6,067 68.5%

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