Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Air Force - Houston

the Armed Forces Bowl
Wednesday, December 31st, 12:00pm
Fort Worth, Texas
Air Force
(8-4)______MtnWest______116.54
Wk Opp oPts Score
1 Southern Utah -416.15 W, 41-7
2 Wyoming -165.37 W, 23-3
3 Houston 78.17 W, 31-28
4 Utah 439.63 L, 23-30
6 Navy 146.36 L, 27-33
7 San Diego State -316.46 W, 35-10
8 UNLV -100.68 W, 29-28
9 New Mexico -128.09 W, 23-10
10 Army -266.12 W, 16-7
11 Colorado State 34.54 W, 38-17
12 Brigham Young 209.37 L, 24-38
13 TCU 350.14 L, 10-44
Houston
(7-5)______CUSA_____68.00
Wk Opp oPts Score
1 Southern U. -419.51 W, 55-3
2 Oklahoma State 222.81 L, 37-56
3 Air Force 131.54 L, 28-31
4 Colorado State 34.54 L, 25-28
5 East Carolina 209.48 W, 41-24
7 UAB -158.62 W, 45-20
8 SMU -370.81 W, 44-38
9 Marshall -136.98 L, 23-37
11 Tulane -316.49 W, 42-14
12 Tulsa 184.02 W, 70-30
13 UTEP -90.18 W, 42-37
14 Rice 164.11 L, 42-56

The Falcons have the edge here, barely playing a tougher schedule but beating better teams while not losing to mediocre ones like the Cougars did. The story here though is that this is a repeat game - Air Force beat Houston 31-28 back in week 3. Are they gonna be pumped to have to do it again?

Stats Matchup
Team Air Force Houston
Points (rank) 116.54 (#42) 68.00 (#51)
Record 8-4 7-5
Opp. Points (rank) -325.19 (#78) -664.13 (#94)
Opp. Record 71-62 67-68
Points (% of Opp. Avg) 26.7 (103%) 41.2 (141%)
dPoints (% of Opp. Avg) 21.3 (74%) 31.2 (114%)
Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 268.9 (193%) 161.0 (95%)
dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 139.8 (81%) 169.5 (105%)
Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 79.9 (37%) 414.1 (187%)
dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 195.6 (104%) 249.1 (102%)
Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 348.8 (93%) 575.1 (145%)
dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 335.3 (88%) 418.6 (109%)
ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 96.5 (81%) 135.1 (104%)
dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 75.5 (65%) 155.1 (125%)
Penalties / Pen. Yds 5.8 / 49.3 6.5 / 61.0
TO's / TO Margin 1.3 / +12 2.1 / -5

The Falcons will probably try to run the ball, since it's their strength, so if the Cougars can stop them or slow them down a bit, they'll have a good chance to win. Air Force has better takeaway stats though, so that might derail Houston's plans... I think we might see some revenge here.

The Line: Houston -3.5

The Call: Houston by 7

The Result: Houston 34-28

Yup. Well done, Cougars. Better luck next year, Falcons.

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