Friday, December 26, 2008

Wisconsin - Florida St

the Champs Sports Bowl
Saturday, December 27th, 4:30pm
Orlando, Florida
Florida State
(8-4)______ACC______210.67
Wk Opp oPts Score
2 Western Carolina -425.86 W, 69-0
3 Chattanooga -437.89 W, 46-7
4 Wake Forest 218.86 L, 3-12
5 Colorado -63.26 W, 39-21
6 Miami (FL) 126.74 W, 41-39
8 NC State 102.87 W, 26-17
9 Virginia Tech 274.79 W, 30-20
10 Georgia Tech 276.75 L, 28-31
11 Clemson 128.12 W, 41-27
12 Boston College 253.65 L, 17-27
13 Maryland 52.23 W, 37-3
14 Florida 472.96 L, 15-45
Wisconsin
(7-5)______Big10_____43.18
Wk Opp oPts Score
1 Akron -99.62 W, 38-17
2 Marshall -148.36 W, 51-14
3 Fresno State 63.06 W, 13-10
5 Michigan -203.81 L, 25-27
6 Ohio State 310.08 L, 17-20
7 Penn State 373.36 L, 7-48
8 Iowa 150.39 L, 16-38
9 Illinois -34.66 W, 27-17
10 Michigan State 220.54 L, 24-25
11 Indiana -210.04 W, 55-20
12 Minnesota 19.39 W, 35-32
13 Cal Poly SLO -403.62 W, 36-35

The only real blip on the screen here is Wisconsin's loss to Michigan. Other than that, both the Badgers & Seminoles beat who they should've and lost to who they should've.

Stats Matchup
Team Florida State Wisconsin
Points (rank) 210.67 (#24) 43.18 (#55)
Record 8-4 7-5
Opp. Points (rank) 979.96 (#8) 36.69 (#55)
Opp. Record 78-48 73-61
Points (% of Opp. Avg) 32.7 (142%) 28.7 (115%)
dPoints (% of Opp. Avg) 20.8 (81%) 25.3 (109%)
Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 182.8 (133%) 212.0 (150%)
dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 126.8 (81%) 133.3 (93%)
Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 185.8 (92%) 192.8 (90%)
dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 164.9 (91%) 189.1 (95%)
Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 368.7 (109%) 404.8 (113%)
dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 291.8 (88%) 322.3 (92%)
ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 122.6 (110%) 116.4 (95%)
dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 149.3 (125%) 143.5 (117%)
Penalties / Pen. Yds 7.9 / 71.0 5.6 / 49.3
TO's / TO Margin 2.2 / -3 2.3 / -5

The weather should be fine in Orlando, but expect these two to run a lot more than they'll pass. With the penalties & TO's, it might be exciting/ugly.

The Line: Wisconsin +5.5

The Call: Florida State by 7

The Result: Florida State 42-13

Total effort from the Seminoles here, and they're a young team - they'll be able to build on this and the expectation of an ACC title next year is going to be a hard one to fight. But we'll see... Wisconsin still has a long way to go, and this was an especially rough finish to the season that saw them fall the last few months. Things arent't looking good for the Big10.

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