the Meineke Car Care Bowl
Saturday, December 27th, 1:00pm
Both of these two played a lot of solid teams throughout the year, going 8-4 against them. But UNC had the harder SoS and one of the toughest in the nation, so they get the edge.
|Team||North Carolina||West Virginia|
|Points (rank)||231.66 (#18)||144.18 (#38)|
|Opp. Points (rank)||838.47 (#16)||144.56 (#48)|
|Points (% of Opp. Avg)||27.5 (135%)||24.0 (101%)|
|dPoints (% of Opp. Avg)||20.3 (100%)||15.9 (74%)|
|Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||125.1 (94%)||217.2 (166%)|
|dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||140.8 (100%)||134.8 (99%)|
|Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||192.3 (102%)||135.3 (65%)|
|dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||217.2 (120%)||190.7 (102%)|
|Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||317.3 (97%)||352.5 (102%)|
|dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||357.9 (111%)||325.5 (99%)|
|ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||140.0 (119%)||111.4 (90%)|
|dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg)||114.3 (95%)||122.9 (96%)|
|Penalties / Pen. Yds||4.9 / 42.8||4.8 / 43.8|
|TO's / TO Margin||1.8 / +6||1.2 / +12|
I was all set to go with the Tar Heels here, but then I looked closer at the D stats - not too good. The only area they allow under their opponent's average is dST at 95% - everything else is over 100%. The Mountaineers D isn't stellar, but it's better than that. They're pretty disciplined teams too, which bodes well for a clean game. I don't like this pick much at all...
The Line: West Virginia -1.5
The Call: West Virginia by 4
The Result: West Virginia 31-30
The whole game I was wondering why Butch Davis wasn't ever going for the 2-pt conversion. You score a TD to go up 22-21 - what good is an extra point going to do for you? You score again to go up 29-24 - same situation, same bad decision. Argh. At any rate, you can't take anything away from West Virginia. What a way for Pat White to end his career. Solid.