Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Florida - Oklahoma

the BCS National Championship Bowl
Thursday, January 8th, 8:00pm
Miami, Florida
Florida
(12-1)______SEC______472.96
Wk Opp oPts Score
1 Hawaii -15.42 W, 56-10
2 Miami (FL) 131.62 W, 26-3
4 Tennessee -61.15 W, 30-6
5 Mississippi 280.66 L, 30-31
6 Arkansas -15.82 W, 38-7
7 LSU 139.25 W, 51-21
9 Kentucky 45.53 W, 63-5
10 Georgia 317.30 W, 49-10
11 Vanderbilt 122.23 W, 42-14
12 South Carolina 97.72 W, 56-6
13 The Citadel -421.88 W, 70-19
14 Florida State 277.97 W, 45-15
15 Alabama 416.58 W, 31-20
Oklahoma
(12-1)______Big12_____528.65
Wk Opp oPts Score
1 Chattanooga -412.61 W, 57-2
2 Cincinnati 341.35 W, 52-26
3 Washington -398.88 W, 55-14
5 TCU 354.60 W, 35-10
6 Baylor -102.09 W, 49-17
7 Texas 475.73 L, 35-45
8 Kansas 125.15 W, 45-31
9 Kansas State -83.47 W, 58-35
10 Nebraska 203.09 W, 62-28
11 Texas A&M -145.41 W, 66-28
13 Texas Tech 380.44 W, 65-21
14 Oklahoma State 209.76 W, 61-41
15 Missouri 243.75 W, 62-21

Tough schedules for both, big wins for both.

Stats Matchup
Team Florida Oklahoma
Points (rank) 472.96 (#2) 528.65 (#1)
Record 12-1 12-1
Opp. Points (rank) 745.33 (#21) 871.39 (#14)
Opp. Record 87-61 89-59
Points (% of Opp. Avg) 45.2 (219%) 54.0 (224%)
dPoints (% of Opp. Avg) 12.8 (54%) 24.5 (75%)
Rush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 229.8 (190%) 205.5 (147%)
dRush Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 105.3 (78%) 106.0 (66%)
Pass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 212.6 (114%) 356.5 (158%)
dPass Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 174.0 (88%) 253.1 (98%)
Tot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 442.4 (142%) 562.1 (156%)
dTot Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 279.3 (83%) 359.1 (87%)
ST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 146.6 (121%) 137.8 (110%)
dST Yds (% of Opp. Avg) 148.8 (119%) 188.6 (159%)
Penalties / Pen. Yds 7.2 / 58.3 7.5 / 67.2
TO's / TO Margin 0.8 / +22 0.7 / +23

Florida's D averages under two TD's per game, while Oklahoma's is over three plus a FG. But Oklahoma played in the Big12 against good offenses, while Florida was in the SEC blah blah blah. Advantage - Florida. The Sooners' D gives up over 250 passing yards per game, so Tebow might be better off throwing. If Harvin can run well, he can burn their special teams too. Turnovers are equal, as are penalties, but both get flagged quite a lot. This might come down to whoever is the most disciplined. The Sooners are powerful when their offense is clicking, which it nearly always is, but the Gators just find a way. Tebow.

The Line: Oklahoma +5

The Call: Florida by 7

The Result: Florida 24-14

Lots of stories going on with this one, but I think the biggest is that we didn't really see the high-scoring affair we thought we would. It was a little messier than I thought it'd be too, but maybe that was just me. As usual the questions pops up - did the Oklahoma offense play poorly, or was the Florida D that good? Probably both - the Gators stepped up big time, but Bradford had some errant passes, and drops by the receivers didn't help. By the same token, the Sooner D stepped up too and held Florida to a lower total than they were used to, but Tebow was off a bit too. Overall it was an entertaining game, one that will send shockwaves of hyperbole around the college football world.

No comments: