Air Force - Houston

Armed Forces Bowl December 31, 12:00pm Fort Worth, TX

Air Force (7-5) ___________ MtnWest _________ 44.52 ____ YPG = 335.9 (94%) PPG = 24.3 (97%) __________dYPG = 296.9 (84%) → -41% _________dPPG = 16.7 (65%) → -55% ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Nicholls St -554.57 W, 72-0 2 Minnesota 7.50 L, 13-20 3 New Mexico -391.30 W, 37-13 4 San Diego St -155.82 W, 26-14 5 Navy 127.84 L, 13-16 6 TCU 419.26 L, 17-20 7 Wyoming -36.24 W, 10-0 8 Utah 174.96 L, 16-23 9 Colorado St -255.31 W, 34-16 10 Army -162.43 W, 35-7 11 UNLV -83.31 W, 45-17 12 Brigham Young 253.27 L, 21-38 0 X1234 XXX X,XX

Houston (10-3) ______________ CUSA __________ 213.71 ____ +58% ← YPG = 584.7 (152%)__________ +58% ← PPG = 43 (155%)__________ dYPG = 457.7 (125%) dPPG = 30.6 (120%) ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Northwestern St -547.33 W, 55-7 2 Oklahoma St 211.94 W, 45-35 4 Texas Tech 131.04 W, 29-28 5 UTEP -225.83 L, 41-58 6 Mississippi St 14.07 W, 31-24 7 Tulane -246.99 W, 44-16 8 SMU 22.67 W, 38-15 9 Southern Miss 18.75 W, 50-43 10 Tulsa -112.30 W, 46-45 11 UCF 122.39 L, 32-37 12 Memphis -278.07 W, 55-14 13 Rice -295.50 W, 73-14 14 East Carolina 177.10 L, 32-38

As far as disparity between offense ability and defensive ability goes, these two are at the extremes. Not only is Houston's offense at the top of most stat categories this year, their defense is pretty close to the bottom - the opposite is true of Air Force. When the Falcon's are on defense, it's going to be the two immovable objects scenario, and when the Cougars are on defense, it's going to be the two objects that couldn't move if they had a tank & a GPS scenario. We could see a blowout, or a really close one - there's no telling.

The Cougars have the better record and have played slightly tougher competition, but they've also lost games whey shouldn't have. Air Force hasn't taken a bad loss this season, but they haven't beaten anyone with a pulse either. The edge goes to the Cougars who are able to put up the points even when they lose.

The Line: Air Force +4.5

The Call: Houston by 10

The Result: Air Force 47-20

Yep, went the wrong way on that one. Another big W for the MtnWest, and another disappointing loss for Houston. Still, the Cougars made strides this year and should be set up nicely for next year. The Falcons are waiting for their turn atop the MtnWest, and might get it next year.