Missouri - Navy

Texas Bowl December 31, 3:30pm Houston, TX

Missouri (8-4) ____________ Big12 __________ 116.64 ____ ____________YPG = 407.4 (110%) → +18% ____________PPG = 28.4 (114%) → +7% dYPG = 354.4 (95%) dPPG = 25.7 (107%) ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Illinois -190.53 W, 37-9 2 Bowling Green 66.61 W, 27-20 3 Furman -533.47 W, 52-12 4 Nevada 98.86 W, 31-21 6 Nebraska 177.80 L, 12-27 7 Oklahoma St 211.94 L, 17-33 8 Texas 487.27 L, 7-41 9 Colorado -216.73 W, 36-17 10 Baylor -105.91 L, 32-40 11 Kansas St -32.33 W, 38-12 12 Iowa St -19.16 W, 34-24 13 Kansas -89.35 W, 41-39 ___

Navy (9-4) ______________ Indy __________ 127.84 ____ YPG = 345.8 (92%) PPG = 26.8 (107%) -5% ← dYPG = 330.6 (90%)_________ -31% ← dPPG = 20.1 (76%)__________ ____ Wk Opponent oPts Score 1 Ohio St 335.31 L, 27-31 2 Louisiana Tech -137.56 W, 32-14 3 Pittsburgh 224.38 L, 14-27 4 Western Kentucky -540.84 W, 38-22 5 Air Force 44.52 W, 16-13 6 Rice -295.50 W, 63-14 7 SMU 22.67 W, 38-35 8 Wake Forest -53.61 W, 13-10 9 Temple 102.29 L, 24-27 10 Notre Dame 23.90 W, 23-21 11 Delaware -508.20 W, 35-18 13 Hawaii -68.79 L, 17-24 15 Army -162.43 W, 17-3

The Tigers & Midshipmen are pretty evenly balanced, statistics-wise. No advantages jump out, even though Navy's D seems much better at giving up fewer points than Mizzou's D. And being in the Big12 didn't really help steel the Tigers either, since the conference had a down year - the Midshipmen's slate was a tougher road overall. Both lost to the best teams they played, along with one bad team they shouldn't have. No spectacular wins for either one, but Navy might have an advantage in a close one - their four best wins were all by 3 or less points. Not sure why, but something tells me the Midshipmen have it in them...

The Line: Navy +6.5

The Call: Navy by 4

The Result: Navy 35-13

Solid W by the Midshipmen. The Big12 has been a bit down this year, and I'll be curious to see what happens the rest of the way for them.