Monday, November 23, 2009

Week 12 Power Rankings

Alright, let's power up.

• Offense: Lotsa lower-ranked team are tops in the O. 4-loss Texas Tech, Stanford, & Arkansas, Houston, 5-loss Florida State, Nevada... All gain over 130% of what their opponents usually allow...

• Defense: But as they say, defense wins championships. It's no coincidence that all of the undefeated teams are in the top 12 in defense. Other stellar D's belong to Nebraska, Oklahoma (yes, even after allowing 44 to Texas Tech), North Carolina, Air Force, and Clemson - all allow less than 75% of what their opponents usually gain. Solid.

• Underrated: Everyone's been saying the Big12 is in a down year, and that might be the case when you look at wins & losses, but for overall ability, they've got 4 of the top 10 teams - Texas, Texas Tech, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Virginia Tech is in the mix too.

• Overrated: Cal at 8-3 is on the plus side, but just barely. Same with Boston College. Temple is at just about average, but for being 9-2 they're obviously walking a fine line (but hey, it's still a great story). Houston's D is still holding them back, as are North Carolina's & LSU's offenses.

Offense vs Defense
W L Conf Team YPG YPG% PPG PPG% dYPG dYPG% dPPG dPPG% Offense Defense Total
11 0 SEC Florida 424.7 114% 33.9 135% 220.5 060% 10.5 040% 125% 050% a126%
11 0 MtnWest TCU 467.5 132% 38.1 161% 237.8 066% 11.8 046% 146% 056% aa125%
11 0 Big12 Texas 438.4 121% 42.5 173% 238.7 062% 13.3 052% 147% 057% aaa122%
11 0 SEC Alabama 417.7 119% 30.9 138% 240.5 064% 10.9 039% 128% 052% aaaa122%
10 2 Big10 Ohio St 364.8 100% 29.3 124% 262.5 071% 12.2 045% 112% 058% aaaaa85%
11 0 WAC Boise St 463.3 117% 45.4 160% 309.6 077% 17.4 066% 138% 072% b78%
7 4 Big12 Texas Tech 472.7 137% 38.2 188% 363.6 091% 23.5 084% 163% 087% bb77%
8 3 Big12 Nebraska 345.5 091% 25.4 097% 280.4 074% 10.3 038% 094% 056% bbb73%
8 3 ACC Virginia Tech 379.6 110% 30.5 154% 300.9 083% 16.0 061% 132% 072% bbbb71%
6 5 Big12 Oklahoma 410.2 116% 28.2 112% 312.9 077% 16.2 055% 114% 066% bbbbb66%
10 2 Big10 Penn St 399.7 113% 27.6 112% 283.5 081% 12.6 053% 113% 067% c63%
9 2 Pac10 Oregon 418.6 116% 37.7 161% 324.3 083% 22.7 081% 139% 082% cc61%
10 0 BigEast Cincinnati 467.9 134% 34.9 151% 353.6 097% 18.4 075% 142% 086% ccc59%
8 3 ACC Clemson 367.8 104% 31.5 126% 309.6 079% 19.7 071% 115% 075% cccc48%
10 2 Big10 Iowa 330.8 093% 23.6 110% 280.3 076% 15.5 061% 102% 068% ccccc48%
8 3 SEC Mississippi 396.9 111% 27.3 115% 308.8 081% 18.0 068% 113% 074% d47%
9 1 BigEast Pittsburgh 412.8 116% 33.3 138% 331.8 091% 19.2 078% 127% 085% dd45%
10 1 ACC Georgia Tech 444.9 129% 35.9 157% 352.1 099% 24.2 104% 143% 102% ddd41%
9 2 MtnWest BYU 452.3 122% 35.5 131% 333.6 091% 21.5 085% 126% 088% dddd40%
8 3 ACC Miami (FL) 408.3 122% 30.1 140% 337.3 092% 24.2 092% 131% 092% ddddd40%
6 4 Pac10 Arizona 416.4 115% 31.2 133% 330.8 086% 25.2 090% 124% 088% e37%
6 5 SEC Tennessee 391.0 112% 30.6 125% 313.2 086% 20.7 087% 118% 087% ee34%
7 4 SEC Arkansas 430.2 130% 37.0 156% 429.3 113% 26.6 106% 143% 109% eee33%
9 2 Big12 Oklahoma St 381.9 100% 30.6 114% 333.0 084% 22.8 077% 107% 081% eeee31%
7 5 MtnWest Air Force 335.9 092% 24.3 096% 296.9 083% 16.7 063% 094% 073% eeeee31%
8 3 ACC N Carolina 288.0 078% 20.3 089% 283.9 074% 17.4 059% 084% 067% f31%
7 3 Pac10 USC 400.2 106% 27.5 111% 346.7 091% 21.7 073% 109% 082% ff31%
8 3 Pac10 Oregon St 421.1 111% 32.2 129% 339.5 090% 23.7 090% 120% 090% fff31%
9 2 MtnWest Utah 397.9 103% 29.8 119% 318.6 089% 19.1 079% 111% 084% ffff30%
8 3 SEC LSU 308.2 087% 24.8 098% 322.2 088% 14.7 058% 093% 073% fffff29%
7 4 Pac10 Stanford 436.5 121% 35.4 146% 394.1 109% 25.1 101% 134% 105% g29%
8 3 Big10 Wisconsin 400.7 114% 29.8 123% 325.2 088% 24.5 095% 119% 092% gg28%
9 2 CUSA Houston 577.5 154% 41.1 153% 470.2 128% 31.5 126% 153% 127% ggg27%
7 4 SEC Auburn 420.5 121% 31.1 136% 368.6 102% 26.6 103% 128% 102% gggg26%
8 3 WAC Nevada 533.9 131% 41.3 137% 396.3 105% 25.6 114% 134% 110% ggggg24%
8 3 Indy Navy 356.7 095% 28.8 118% 335.2 092% 21.4 079% 106% 085% h24%
7 3 BigEast West Virginia 388.3 107% 27.0 115% 346.9 095% 21.3 084% 111% 089% hh22%
9 2 MAC C Michigan 421.8 108% 31.8 103% 350.4 097% 18.3 075% 106% 086% hhh22%
6 5 SEC S Carolina 354.6 104% 18.9 083% 307.0 080% 21.4 076% 093% 078% hhhh22%
4 7 SEC MissSt 364.1 105% 22.1 110% 381.3 092% 28.7 091% 108% 092% hhhhh17%
6 5 Indy Notre Dame 452.2 119% 29.4 113% 388.8 105% 24.2 094% 116% 100% i16%
7 4 Big12 Missouri 392.8 107% 27.1 116% 335.1 090% 24.4 102% 112% 096% ii16%
5 5 BigEast Connecticut 396.0 112% 27.6 132% 399.9 110% 25.8 105% 122% 108% iii14%
6 5 ACC Florida St 438.2 131% 32.9 146% 446.7 124% 32.3 125% 138% 124% iiii14%
7 4 CUSA UCF 345.8 086% 25.4 082% 336.9 085% 19.7 066% 084% 076% iiiii13%
6 6 Big10 Michigan St 399.3 112% 28.3 121% 382.9 103% 27.1 106% 117% 105% j12%
5 6 Big12 Kansas 397.5 112% 26.5 123% 380.0 102% 29.7 110% 118% 106% jj12%
6 5 SEC Georgia 345.9 103% 26.4 129% 355.0 097% 29.3 113% 116% 105% jjj11%
7 4 WAC Fresno St 430.4 114% 30.8 117% 416.3 108% 28.2 101% 115% 104% jjjj11%
5 7 Big10 Purdue 391.3 109% 27.8 116% 376.6 100% 29.1 109% 113% 104% jjjjj8%
7 4 MAC N Illinois 353.3 089% 29.7 096% 318.5 087% 20.2 086% 093% 086% k8%
8 3 Pac10 California 398.3 109% 28.2 111% 382.6 109% 24.5 096% 110% 103% kk7%
9 2 MAC Temple 321.9 086% 32.2 117% 317.7 093% 19.8 097% 101% 095% kkk7%
6 5 Pac10 UCLA 340.9 089% 22.6 082% 338.5 090% 20.6 074% 086% 082% kkkk5%
7 4 SEC Kentucky 333.3 099% 26.5 113% 365.5 101% 23.2 101% 106% 101% kkkkk5%
8 3 SunBelt Troy 475.4 117% 31.7 105% 404.7 106% 28.4 109% 111% 107% l4%
7 4 ACC Boston Coll 310.5 084% 23.6 096% 341.3 092% 21.6 082% 090% 087% ll4%
3 8 WAC LA Tech 348.5 089% 24.7 099% 382.0 092% 27.6 091% 094% 092% lll3%
6 5 Big12 Texas A&M 459.3 117% 33.5 129% 416.3 112% 31.2 131% 123% 121% llll2%
8 3 SunBelt Mid Tenn St 429.6 102% 30.5 093% 349.9 096% 23.4 099% 098% 098% lllll0%
6 5 MAC Bowl Green 401.5 110% 26.4 101% 385.7 108% 26.4 109% 106% 108% m-3%
7 4 CUSA E Carolina 361.0 093% 26.9 097% 378.0 108% 21.1 088% 095% 098% mm-3%
4 7 MAC Buffalo 403.7 111% 24.0 094% 373.8 105% 27.6 108% 102% 106% mmm-4%
3 7 Pac10 Washington 358.2 103% 24.1 105% 421.5 109% 31.0 108% 104% 108% mmmm-4%
7 3 BigEast S Florida 358.5 094% 22.6 088% 349.1 096% 23.4 094% 091% 095% mmmmm-4%
7 4 CUSA Sou. Miss 395.9 098% 32.4 116% 405.6 110% 26.9 113% 107% 112% n-5%
7 3 BigEast Rutgers 294.6 079% 23.5 094% 348.0 097% 20.5 083% 086% 090% nn-5%
4 7 Pac10 Arizona St 331.4 087% 20.1 073% 326.9 086% 23.0 084% 080% 085% nnn-7%
8 3 MAC Ohio 303.9 081% 25.7 098% 360.5 099% 23.0 093% 090% 096% nnnn-7%
4 7 ACC Wake Forest 391.6 107% 23.6 086% 387.9 104% 27.4 105% 097% 105% nnnnn-8%
8 4 Big10 Northwestern 377.0 107% 23.2 092% 356.9 104% 24.2 112% 099% 108% o-8%
6 6 Big12 Kansas St 333.7 092% 20.6 087% 376.0 098% 25.6 096% 090% 097% oo-9%
7 4 WAC Idaho 443.7 116% 30.3 114% 414.4 115% 34.0 133% 115% 124% ooo-9%
3 8 ACC Virginia 267.2 076% 20.5 087% 350.9 094% 24.8 085% 082% 090% oooo-11%
4 7 CUSA Tulsa 400.3 100% 26.2 088% 417.0 106% 29.5 107% 094% 107% ooooo-13%
6 6 Big10 Minnesota 301.7 090% 22.1 093% 376.5 102% 25.6 107% 092% 104% p-13%
5 7 Big10 Michigan 353.4 098% 26.5 109% 409.5 112% 29.5 125% 104% 118% pp-15%
4 7 BigEast Syracuse 309.1 087% 18.2 080% 323.7 087% 25.5 104% 083% 095% ppp-15%
5 6 ACC Duke 342.9 098% 22.6 092% 384.1 110% 28.6 113% 095% 112% pppp-17%
6 6 Big12 Iowa St 350.2 100% 19.9 081% 418.0 121% 23.1 094% 090% 107% ppppp-18%
3 8 WAC Utah St 412.2 107% 24.4 092% 455.9 114% 32.5 122% 100% 118% q-18%
6 5 CUSA Marshall 338.2 085% 21.0 075% 381.0 104% 21.9 084% 080% 094% qq-18%
6 5 CUSA SMU 375.9 092% 27.8 107% 404.3 108% 30.5 128% 100% 118% qqq-19%
4 8 Big10 Indiana 361.9 103% 23.9 108% 402.9 120% 31.0 135% 106% 128% qqqq-22%
3 8 Big12 Colorado 306.1 080% 22.5 085% 376.1 098% 28.9 105% 083% 101% qqqqq-22%
3 7 Big10 Illinois 350.0 099% 17.4 072% 400.6 109% 27.0 105% 086% 107% r-24%
6 5 SunBelt LA-Monroe 374.6 094% 23.0 080% 377.5 103% 29.0 115% 087% 109% rr-24%
4 7 ACC NC State 380.9 108% 25.1 105% 400.6 112% 36.2 149% 107% 131% rrr-24%
4 7 Big12 Baylor 320.6 093% 16.8 079% 425.0 110% 29.4 105% 086% 108% rrrr-24%
5 6 CUSA UAB 416.7 103% 27.8 090% 455.0 119% 32.2 126% 097% 122% rrrrr-26%
5 6 WAC Hawaii 463.0 108% 23.7 073% 407.9 115% 29.5 117% 091% 116% s-26%
4 7 BigEast Louisville 328.8 090% 17.3 073% 395.0 107% 27.1 100% 081% 103% ss-26%
3 8 MtnWest Colorado St 355.0 097% 22.0 085% 410.4 109% 31.8 124% 091% 117% sss-27%
5 6 MAC Toledo 433.6 116% 30.2 111% 418.2 124% 37.6 166% 114% 145% ssss-31%
2 9 SunBelt North Texas 421.5 109% 26.6 090% 405.8 111% 36.1 157% 099% 134% sssss-35%
5 6 MAC W Michigan 368.7 097% 25.5 085% 448.1 125% 29.8 125% 091% 125% t-36%
4 7 MtnWest San Diego St 322.2 091% 22.1 087% 390.8 110% 31.9 139% 089% 124% tt-37%
3 7 SunBelt Florida Atl 435.1 119% 27.2 098% 462.5 128% 36.1 166% 108% 147% ttt-39%
4 7 MtnWest UNLV 335.2 093% 23.2 089% 480.2 121% 36.2 137% 091% 129% tttt-39%
2 9 ACC Maryland 315.0 085% 20.1 078% 398.4 108% 32.1 126% 082% 117% ttttt-39%
1 10 MAC Ball St 319.1 087% 19.2 071% 385.5 105% 29.8 119% 079% 112% u-39%
2 8 SunBelt Arkansas St 302.1 079% 17.4 071% 391.7 107% 25.9 106% 075% 107% uu-41%
1 11 MAC Miami (OH) 343.5 095% 15.6 063% 377.3 101% 34.2 126% 079% 114% uuu-41%
2 9 CUSA Memphis 367.0 096% 19.1 077% 466.8 118% 37.1 132% 086% 125% uuuu-41%
2 10 SEC Vanderbilt 278.7 083% 13.7 055% 385.3 108% 25.5 097% 069% 103% uuuuu-48%
5 6 MAC Kent St 344.4 087% 20.7 072% 375.4 116% 26.0 127% 080% 122% v-48%
5 6 MtnWest Wyoming 291.7 081% 15.7 057% 396.8 104% 28.9 101% 069% 103% vv-48%
3 8 CUSA UTEP 412.1 098% 27.8 088% 442.7 119% 34.6 164% 093% 142% vvv-49%
2 9 MAC Akron 286.5 080% 16.2 069% 396.5 111% 32.4 128% 074% 119% vvvv-54%
3 8 SunBelt Florida Intl 310.5 083% 23.1 084% 499.4 135% 36.0 142% 083% 139% vvvvv-59%
6 5 SunBelt LA-Lafayette 324.5 080% 19.3 060% 395.9 111% 29.7 126% 070% 118% w-61%
5 6 Indy Army 275.3 071% 15.9 054% 303.7 094% 22.9 113% 063% 103% ww-63%
1 10 MtnWest New Mexico 328.4 086% 16.9 063% 417.3 115% 34.5 153% 075% 134% www-68%
0 10 SunBelt W Kentucky 330.0 085% 21.7 076% 517.6 142% 43.8 180% 081% 161% wwww-85%
2 9 CUSA Rice 298.8 077% 18.6 065% 443.8 125% 40.4 175% 071% 150% wwwww-91%
1 9 WAC San Jose St 266.1 067% 12.6 046% 484.0 112% 37.8 121% 057% 116% x-93%
0 11 MAC E Michigan 274.8 072% 16.0 059% 437.5 124% 39.2 157% 065% 140% xx-93%
3 8 CUSA Tulane 297.8 074% 13.0 042% 415.6 112% 38.2 151% 058% 131% xxx-103%
1 10 Pac10 Wash St 254.4 067% 13.1 049% 516.6 132% 39.3 145% 058% 139% xxxx-111%
3 8 WAC New Mex St 227.1 053% 11.1 034% 438.9 110% 33.8 128% 044% 119% xxxxx-147%

2 comments:

dethwing said...

So you're telling me that Nebraska has the defense to keep it close against Texas, but doesn't have the offense to win.

...Thanks for telling me nothing I didn't already know :)

Just kidding, I love these ratings.

Ed Gunther said...

That's what the numbers sez. But take 'em with a grain of salt - they definitely are facing backward & aren't predictive. But if you're watching the same Huskers I am, the offensive is definitely worrisome. The only way I can see them pulling the major upset of Texas is if their D plays lights out and the offense doesn't screw it up. Do I think it could happen? I think I'd give them a better shot than most...