Alright, so now that the final BCS standings are out, let's see how some of the other proposed playoff systems would fare. We'll be looking at 1) a plus-one with bowl results, 2) a plus-one from the BCS results, 3) an eight-team playoff with BCS conference champions automatically included, and 4) an eight-team playoff with just the top 8 teams.
Here's the rundown from the past eleven years. As you can see, no system comes out that well at all, even when compared to the much-hated BCS. Let's see if they'd do any better this year...
|2009 Final BCS Standings||Conference Champs||Relevant Bowls|
|1. Alabama (13-0)
2. Texas (13-0)
3. Cincinnati (12-0)
4. TCU (12-0)
5. Florida (12-1)
6. Boise State (13-0)
7. Oregon (10-2)
8. Ohio State (10-2)
9. Georgia Tech (11-1)
10. Iowa (10-2)
11. Penn State (10-2)
12. Virginia Tech (9-3)
|ACC: Georgia Tech
Big10: Ohio State
|National Champ: #1 Alabama v #2 Texas
Fiesta: #4 TCU v #6 Boise State
Rose: #8 Ohio State v #7 Oregon
Sugar: #5 Florida v #3 Cincinnati
Orange: #9 Georgia Tech vs #10 Iowa
Plus-One Possibilities - w/ Bowl Results:
Alabama/Texas winner, TCU/Boise State winner, Cincinnati/Florida winner
We're going to have at least two undefeated teams at the end of the season, the winners of the title game & the Fiesta bowl. But the winner of the Sugar bowl also will have a case, especially if it's Cincinnati who will also be undefeated. It's also possible (I'd even say probable) that Florida could squeak into the plus-one title game with a Sugar Bowl win, probably jumping the Fiesta Bowl winner and setting up a rematch with Alabama. That would be uuuuuugly.
Plus-One Possibilities - Top 4:
#1 Alabama v #4 TCU, #2 Texas v #3 Cincinnati
The obvious problem here is that undefeated Boise State is still left out.
Eight-Team Playoff Possibilities - Conf Champs:
If you take the conf champs, you've got #1 Alabama, #2 Texas, #3 Cincinnati, #7 Oregon, #8 Ohio State, and #9 Georgia Tech. The two at-large would be between #4 TCU, #5 Florida, and #6 Boise State. One of those teams is getting left out.
Eight-Team Playoff Possibilities - Top 8:
If you just take the top eight in the BCS rankings, #9 Georgia Tech, the champion of the ACC would be left out and up in arms.
So while both of the eight-team setups are better than in years past, in both situations at least one conference champion or undefeated team is going to be left out. The Plus-ones don't work that well either, leaving out deserving teams as well.
This edition of the BCS is a lot like two previous editions - a lot of people thought in September that the matchup would be Texas & Alabama/Florida, ala USC & Texas 2005, and that's the way it worked out. But you also have three other undefeated teams in there, ala 2004. I'd say this one falls somewhere in between those two - of course it's not as perfect as the Trojan-Longhorn matchup, but it's not nearly as bad as the 2004 debacle. It's also much less controversial than the last three years too. So at least that's something.