Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Week 9 Rankings

Week 9 Conference Achievement Rankings
Rank Avg Points Conference non-conf W non-conf L non-conf W% non-conf oPts non-conf oW non-conf oL non-conf oW%
1 65.83 Big12 36 8 81.8% -2404.03 149 163 47.8%
2 59.31 Big10 35 8 81.4% -4467.25 123 167 42.4%
3 51.10 SEC 29 5 85.3% -2950.16 102 132 43.6%
4 38.95 Pac10 21 9 70.0% -1005.85 112 87 56.3%
5 21.96 ACC 27 15 64.3% -2657.73 139 110 55.8%
6 15.98 BigEast 23 15 60.5% -2992.49 112 129 46.5%
7 1.54 WAC 21 17 55.3% -2160.54 129 126 50.6%
8 -6.51 MtnWest 16 18 47.1% 116.71 146 106 57.9%
9 -18.63 CUSA 20 24 45.5% -1398.89 167 152 52.4%
10 -57.95 MAC 15 35 30.0% -1561.33 189 151 55.6%
11 -79.72 SunBelt 4 26 13.3% 436.80 133 100 57.1%

Conf v Conf page here.

Alrighty, let's talk about these rankings a bit.

TCU at #2 ahead of Oregon? Yeah, Oregon has played one less game. Once they get to the same amount, they'll be pretty equal, considering they both still have solid opponents to play.

Boise State all the way at #8? Same reason - they've only played 7 games so far, so they'll be able to make up a lot of ground in the next five weeks. (As long as their SoS doesn't hold them down like a rock.) That's why Michigan State is still at #4 - already played 9.

LSU ahead of Bama... interesting. That'll be put to be this week, but it goes to show that losses matter - the Tigers loss to Auburn is looking better and better (objectively), while the Tide's loss to South Carolina is looking worse and worse.

(legend)

Week 9 Achievement Rankings
Rank Conf Team Pts W L W% oPts oW oL oW% rank∆
1 SEC Auburn 339.35 9 0 100.0% 306.92 55 36 60.4% 0
2 MtnWest TCU 291.04 9 0 100.0% -439.91 44 50 46.8% 1
3 Pac10 Oregon 257.29 8 0 100.0% -490.11 40 50 44.4% 3
4 Big10 Michigan St 254.49 8 1 88.9% -63.67 48 42 53.3% -2
5 MtnWest Utah 246.07 8 0 100.0% -479.18 44 59 42.7% 3
6 Big12 Nebraska 234.06 7 1 87.5% -101.33 46 44 51.1% 7
7 Big12 Missouri 231.89 7 1 87.5% 364.22 54 38 58.7% -3
8 WAC Boise St 229.67 7 0 100.0% -115.85 49 49 50.0% 2
9 Big10 Ohio St 228.44 8 1 88.9% 90.47 51 48 51.5% -2
10 SEC LSU 217.59 7 1 87.5% 344.25 55 37 59.8% -5
11 SEC Alabama 208.71 7 1 87.5% 252.31 53 38 58.2% 0
12 Big10 Wisconsin 208.25 7 1 87.5% -232.54 48 46 51.1% -3
13 Big12 Oklahoma 205.49 7 1 87.5% 707.94 58 41 58.6% -1
14 Big12 Oklahoma St 205.31 7 1 87.5% 313.54 53 44 54.6% 0
15 Pac10 Arizona 196.13 7 1 87.5% 264.15 51 39 56.7% 1
16 Pac10 Stanford 180.93 7 1 87.5% -111.96 45 45 50.0% -1
17 Big10 Iowa 168.36 6 2 75.0% 382.60 58 36 61.7% 12
18 WAC Hawaii 167.63 7 2 77.8% -562.09 45 51 46.9% 0
19 WAC Nevada 160.02 7 1 87.5% -790.73 42 56 42.9% 0
20 SEC Mississippi St 156.74 7 2 77.8% 274.47 54 38 58.7% 0
21 Big12 Baylor 156.50 7 2 77.8% 153.83 50 40 55.6% 0
22 ACC NC State 151.12 6 2 75.0% 134.77 51 38 57.3% 8
23 MAC Northern Illinois 140.16 7 2 77.8% -1430.93 34 64 34.7% 3
24 SEC South Carolina 136.95 6 2 75.0% 168.68 52 39 57.1% -2
25 ACC Florida St 131.59 6 2 75.0% 136.99 50 39 56.2% -8
26 MAC Temple 129.85 7 2 77.8% -822.12 42 53 44.2% 1
27 ACC Virginia Tech 118.52 6 2 75.0% -93.36 47 42 52.8% -3
28 SEC Arkansas 115.14 6 2 75.0% 493.05 59 35 62.8% 6
29 CUSA UCF 114.86 6 2 75.0% -625.35 40 50 44.4% 10
30 BigEast Syracuse 111.34 6 2 75.0% -947.09 35 46 43.2% 5
31 MtnWest San Diego St 104.90 6 2 75.0% -578.49 42 52 44.7% 7
32 ACC Maryland 102.10 6 2 75.0% -252.86 44 44 50.0% 4
33 Big10 Northwestern 97.98 6 2 75.0% -220.04 46 46 50.0% 8
34 Big10 Illinois 93.17 5 3 62.5% 580.24 60 32 65.2% 11
35 ACC Miami (FL) 90.58 5 3 62.5% 358.62 55 34 61.8% -12
36 CUSA East Carolina 85.31 5 3 62.5% 93.90 51 46 52.6% -8
37 Pac10 USC 80.71 5 3 62.5% 306.58 57 50 53.3% -12
38 MAC Toledo 79.09 6 3 66.7% -509.49 47 55 46.1% 9
39 ACC North Carolina 77.94 5 3 62.5% 419.86 54 34 61.4% 4
40 Big10 Penn St 72.35 5 3 62.5% 656.58 61 32 65.6% 16
41 Big12 Kansas St 70.84 5 3 62.5% 322.89 53 38 58.2% -10
42 BigEast Pittsburgh 69.26 5 3 62.5% 19.02 49 38 56.3% 7
43 Pac10 Oregon St 68.66 4 3 57.1% 920.29 62 35 63.9% 10
44 SEC Florida 65.17 5 3 62.5% 298.26 54 37 59.3% 10
45 BigEast West Virginia 63.34 5 3 62.5% -182.83 46 41 52.9% -12
46 Big12 Iowa St 57.54 5 4 55.6% 876.37 60 30 66.7% 9
47 WAC Fresno St 57.01 5 2 71.4% -413.61 44 46 48.9% -3
48 Big12 Texas A&M 56.59 5 3 62.5% 590.44 56 33 62.9% 10
49 CUSA Tulsa 55.63 5 3 62.5% -530.34 44 49 47.3% 13
50 MAC Ohio 54.24 6 3 66.7% -1039.89 39 57 40.6% 9
51 Big10 Michigan 52.48 5 3 62.5% 511.17 57 36 61.3% -14
52 ACC Georgia Tech 45.06 5 3 62.5% -390.75 43 46 48.3% -4
53 Indy Army 43.07 5 3 62.5% -643.17 44 50 46.8% 7
54 Indy Navy 40.03 5 3 62.5% -622.43 42 51 45.2% -22
55 MtnWest Air Force 38.23 5 4 55.6% -132.95 49 43 53.3% -13
56 CUSA Houston 35.20 5 3 62.5% -355.83 46 46 50.0% 12
57 Big12 Texas 30.53 4 4 50.0% 579.18 56 42 57.1% -11
58 CUSA SMU 28.87 5 4 55.6% -119.61 49 50 49.5% 15
59 CUSA Southern Miss 26.60 5 3 62.5% -548.73 41 48 46.1% -19
60 Big12 Texas Tech 21.48 4 4 50.0% 380.05 55 37 59.8% -10
61 BigEast South Florida 14.57 4 3 57.1% -331.72 44 43 50.6% 2
62 SunBelt Troy 12.29 4 3 57.1% -937.77 37 57 39.4% -2
63 MAC Miami (OH) 11.70 5 4 55.6% -775.43 42 61 40.8% 14
64 BigEast Rutgers 8.45 4 3 57.1% -193.68 46 41 52.9% 2
65 ACC Clemson 5.69 4 4 50.0% 346.04 55 36 60.4% -13
66 Pac10 California 2.55 4 4 50.0% 352.00 53 37 58.9% -9
67 Big10 Purdue -4.40 4 4 50.0% 202.42 56 39 58.9% -6
68 Pac10 Arizona St -8.59 4 4 50.0% 106.59 49 34 59.0% 10
69 BigEast Connecticut -8.99 4 4 50.0% -193.28 47 41 53.4% 11
70 ACC Virginia -18.27 4 4 50.0% -428.93 44 40 52.4% 14
71 Big10 Indiana -20.57 4 4 50.0% -9.07 50 41 54.9% -6
72 Indy Notre Dame -21.29 4 5 44.4% 856.25 63 34 64.9% -8
73 WAC Idaho -23.83 4 4 50.0% -436.69 48 51 48.5% -3
74 MAC Kent St -26.28 4 4 50.0% -789.63 44 52 45.8% 11
75 SEC Georgia -29.59 4 5 44.4% 55.96 51 41 55.4% -4
76 SunBelt LA-Monroe -30.95 4 4 50.0% -652.42 41 46 47.1% -11
77 BigEast Louisville -31.43 4 4 50.0% -339.66 43 44 49.4% -8
78 Pac10 Washington -32.42 3 5 37.5% 820.66 59 37 61.5% -4
79 CUSA UTEP -34.42 5 4 55.6% -1109.83 34 56 37.8% -12
80 Big12 Colorado -34.45 3 5 37.5% 877.81 62 39 61.4% -4
81 SEC Kentucky -34.81 4 5 44.4% -538.44 43 50 46.2% -9
82 Pac10 UCLA -38.55 3 5 37.5% 674.79 57 39 59.4% -7
83 MtnWest Brigham Young -56.85 3 5 37.5% 96.57 52 48 52.0% 4
84 BigEast Cincinnati -60.75 3 5 37.5% 352.28 55 32 63.2% -5
85 WAC Louisiana Tech -68.67 3 5 37.5% -116.26 50 39 56.2% -3
86 CUSA UAB -73.43 3 5 37.5% -298.23 46 51 47.4% 12
87 ACC Boston College -75.47 3 5 37.5% 4.02 50 40 55.6% 9
88 CUSA Tulane -77.78 3 5 37.5% -398.34 47 44 51.6% -7
89 SunBelt Arkansas St -84.56 3 5 37.5% -613.03 42 51 45.2% 1
90 MAC Western Michigan -86.55 3 5 37.5% -1110.16 40 59 40.4% -7
91 SEC Mississippi -90.51 3 5 37.5% 316.53 55 36 60.4% -5
92 MtnWest Colorado St -92.46 3 6 33.3% 112.95 53 47 53.0% 7
93 SunBelt Mid Tenn St -99.04 3 4 42.9% -1638.80 27 61 30.7% -2
94 SunBelt Florida Intl -103.20 2 5 28.6% -685.37 41 51 44.6% -5
95 SunBelt Florida Atl -118.00 2 5 28.6% -680.81 40 53 43.0% 9
96 ACC Wake Forest -122.24 2 6 25.0% 111.10 52 38 57.8% -4
97 SEC Tennessee -124.25 2 6 25.0% 32.78 50 41 54.9% -4
98 WAC Utah St -126.52 2 6 25.0% 64.74 52 37 58.4% -3
99 ACC Duke -127.09 2 6 25.0% 204.00 53 36 59.6% 10
100 CUSA Marshall -127.41 2 6 25.0% 56.08 54 47 53.5% 8
101 SEC Vanderbilt -127.46 2 6 25.0% -33.68 50 49 50.5% -4
102 CUSA Rice -128.21 2 6 25.0% 222.22 56 43 56.6% 0
103 MAC Buffalo -128.93 2 6 25.0% -686.90 47 51 48.0% -9
104 MtnWest Wyoming -143.88 2 7 22.2% 27.88 52 41 55.9% -4
105 Big12 Kansas -148.14 2 6 25.0% 651.25 59 32 64.8% -4
106 WAC New Mexico St -158.23 2 6 25.0% -220.25 49 48 50.5% 5
107 MAC Bowling Green -169.33 2 7 22.2% -180.42 51 49 51.0% 7
108 SunBelt LA-Lafayette -174.72 2 6 25.0% -710.80 41 53 43.6% 6
109 MtnWest UNLV -187.75 1 7 12.5% 670.22 66 43 60.6% -2
110 CUSA Memphis -190.62 1 7 12.5% -15.65 52 45 53.6% -4
111 SunBelt North Texas -197.03 2 6 25.0% -836.55 37 55 40.2% 12
112 MAC Central Michigan -206.53 2 7 22.2% -446.89 50 46 52.1% -7
113 Pac10 Washington St -207.03 1 8 11.1% 626.98 57 32 64.0% -1
114 SunBelt Western Kentucky -229.76 1 7 12.5% -601.96 41 51 44.6% -4
115 MAC Ball St -236.57 2 7 22.2% -1199.14 36 51 41.4% -2
116 Big10 Minnesota -240.46 1 8 11.1% 972.45 65 27 70.7% 0
117 WAC San Jose St -245.67 1 8 11.1% 267.11 60 31 65.9% -2
118 MAC Eastern Michigan -256.12 1 8 11.1% -247.61 52 51 50.5% 0
119 MtnWest New Mexico -292.25 0 8 0.0% 285.42 56 45 55.4% 0
120 MAC Akron -316.17 0 9 0.0% -331.22 51 44 53.7% 0

2 comments:

Steve said...

"TCU at #2 ahead of Oregon? Yeah, Oregon has played one less game. Once they get to the same amount, they'll be pretty equal, considering they both still have solid opponents to play.

Boise State all the way at #8? Same reason - they've only played 7 games so far, so they'll be able to make up a lot of ground in the next five weeks."

This is why I have suggested that you do your rankings by average points/game. Then we would get a direct comparison each week.

Otherwise I think that your rankings are some of the most believable, and your analyses are some of the most insightful that I have read.

Steve

Ed Gunther said...

Hey there Steve, thanks for the note. Yeah, every few years I go back and completely rehash my rankings to make sure they work, and I think it might be time to start working on a new version. If not that, perhaps at least another column that shows the average you're talking about, just as a different perspective.