Rankings: Week 3

Definitely have a lot more data for the conference race, but...

Week 3 Conference Achievement Rankings
Rank	Avg Points	Conference	non-conf W	non-conf L	non-conf W%	non-conf oPts	non-conf oW	non-conf oL	non-conf oW%
1	40.20	SEC	19	2	90.5%	-842.72	20	31	39.2%
2	38.95	Big10	24	8	75.0%	-886.24	37	47	44.0%
3	38.42	BigEast	16	5	76.2%	-725.86	23	25	47.9%
4	37.78	Pac10	19	6	76.0%	-238.66	36	32	52.9%
5	30.83	Big12	23	9	71.9%	-875.92	35	45	43.8%
6	13.79	ACC	17	10	63.0%	-574.45	37	24	60.7%
7	9.29	MtnWest	14	10	58.3%	-786.15	26	33	44.1%
8	-3.46	CUSA	13	13	50.0%	-822.56	30	34	46.9%
9	-17.49	WAC	8	13	38.1%	-179.38	32	24	57.1%
10	-28.25	SunBelt	8	16	33.3%	-38.35	39	25	60.9%
11	-34.60	MAC	11	25	30.6%	76.64	62	32	66.0%

Hmmm... four conferences bunched at the top, all within 2.5 points of each other. But this is still week 3 - let's examine these to see if those points are gonna get higher or lower.

#1 SEC: A perfect weekend for the SEC - 6-0 in nonconf play. But there was probably only one decent win among them, Auburn over West Virginia. The rest were another win over the BigEast, 3 wins over the SunBelt, and a win over a I-AA cupcake. Their BCS opponents (West Virginia, Louisville, UCLA, NC State, Virginia Tech, & Washington) will probably cancel each other out, while their nonconf opponents and I-AA cupcakes will probably drag them down a bit as the season goes on.

#2 Big10: They took a bit of a hit this week, going 6-4 against so-so competition. Some of their losses don't look to bad, Cal & Notre Dame, but none of their wins look like they'll help in the long run. Overall, they're 5-6 against BCS teams, which isn't great. The only decent wins were over Notre Dame and proably Air Force, though some of their losses (USC, Oregon, Cal) aren't too bad. The cupcakes & losses to Northern Illinois and Central Michigan are gonna hurt.

#3 BigEast: A solid 6-2 this week with wins over Baylor & Oregon State which may help. The loss to Auburn won't be too bad, but losing to Kentucky could bring them down. The conference is perfect against the cupcakes & non-BCS teams, going 13-0 (of which only the win over East Carolina might be good), but they're only 3-5 against BCS teams. Their losses to Penn State, Auburn, & North Carolina won't be too bad, but Minnesota could hurt.

#4 Pac10: USC's loss to Washington doesn't play into nonconference games, but it's a huge boost to the other 9 teams. A solid 6-2 this week, notching what should be a good win over Utah. They're 6-4 against BCS teams, and overall their losses shouldn't hurt much (LSU, Iowa, Wake Forest, Cincinnati). The Ohio State win is looking good, but that's about it. Of their 2 non-BCS losses, Boise State won't hurt while Hawaii probably will. No real great non-BCS wins besides Utah, but only 3 I-AA cupcakes will hurt them later. Overall, they're SoS is the best of the BCS confs.

#5 Big12: 7-3 this weekend, which is okay but not going to help them make up any ground. They're 4-4 against BCS teams, but just 13-5 against non-BCS teams, losing to Toledo (ouch), LA-Lafayette (double-ouch), BYU (won't hurt), Colorado St (eh), and Houston (we'll see). Wins over Georgia & probably Wake Forest are solid, but that's about it. They need to notch some upsets to get back towards the top.

#6 ACC: The dropoff starts with the ACC. Against BCS, non-BCS, and I-AA teams they're 3-5, 6-3, 8-2, respectively. Not good. Only North Carolina and Miami are undefeated still, and Florida State notched a good win over BYU, but that's about it.

#7 MtnWest: Sorry guys, you're not doing your cause any good this year. 3-8 against the BCS teams is the best of the non-BCS conferences, but it's still way below where you need to be. The win over Oklahoma is looking great, but that's your only decent one this year. Losses to Idaho and Tulsa hurt, the 5 I-AA cupcake wins will drag you down, and some of the BCS losses (Texas A&M, Colorado, Oregon State) are looking to sink you a bit too.

#8 CUSA: 13-13 is .500, but 2-9 against the BCS teams hurts. 7-0 against the cupcakes... at least you haven't lost to any.

#9 WAC, #10 SunBelt, #11 MAC: Sorry, gents - you're at the bottom and will probably stay there.

Overall, the I-AA cupcakes are just 5-61 against I-A teams, going 1-11 this weekend, while the non-BCS teams are 12-57 against BCS teams (17.4%). Home-field advantage is at 73.1%, which is still normal.

Looking at the teams, Cincinnati is on top with a couple of good wins over Rutgers & Oregon State. Toughest schedules reside in the Pacific northwest, with Washington, Washington State, and Oregon holding down the fort.

Week 3 Achievement Rankings
Rank	Conf	Team	Pts	W	L	W%	oPts	oW	oL	oW%	rank∆
1	BigEast	Cincinnati	101.38	3	0	100.0%	-5.10	18	14	56.3%	10
2	SEC	LSU	98.26	3	0	100.0%	293.01	22	11	66.7%	2
3	Big10	Iowa	95.20	3	0	100.0%	300.14	24	9	72.7%	7
4	SEC	Auburn	91.73	3	0	100.0%	89.88	19	12	61.3%	23
5	Big12	Texas	91.67	3	0	100.0%	175.97	21	13	61.8%	-3
6	WAC	Boise St	91.25	3	0	100.0%	-423.84	12	23	34.3%	16
7	Pac10	California	89.62	3	0	100.0%	168.58	21	12	63.6%	22
8	ACC	North Carolina	88.78	3	0	100.0%	-130.83	16	14	53.3%	5
9	Pac10	UCLA	86.65	3	0	100.0%	206.22	21	14	60.0%	-6
10	SEC	Alabama	86.39	3	0	100.0%	193.14	19	10	65.5%	9
11	BigEast	Pittsburgh	84.02	3	0	100.0%	99.37	20	13	60.6%	-2
12	Big10	Indiana	83.67	3	0	100.0%	66.94	20	13	60.6%	25
13	Big12	Kansas	83.64	3	0	100.0%	99.81	21	13	61.8%	5
14	Big10	Michigan	83.36	3	0	100.0%	115.48	20	12	62.5%	10
15	MtnWest	Colorado St	81.76	3	0	100.0%	-211.80	15	18	45.5%	5
16	Big10	Wisconsin	80.34	3	0	100.0%	152.45	22	13	62.9%	10
17	Big10	Penn St	79.71	3	0	100.0%	73.91	19	12	61.3%	11
18	CUSA	Southern Miss	77.94	3	0	100.0%	-192.00	15	17	46.9%	14
19	Big12	Missouri	77.89	3	0	100.0%	-8.70	17	14	54.8%	2
20	BigEast	South Florida	76.93	3	0	100.0%	-69.15	18	14	56.3%	-4
21	SEC	Florida	76.50	3	0	100.0%	-14.46	17	15	53.1%	14
22	ACC	Miami (FL)	69.96	2	0	100.0%	153.06	21	12	63.6%	18
23	CUSA	Houston	62.84	2	0	100.0%	-104.62	17	16	51.5%	-11
24	SEC	Kentucky	58.91	2	0	100.0%	51.46	19	14	57.6%	17
25	SEC	Mississippi	57.10	2	0	100.0%	-53.74	18	13	58.1%	17
26	MtnWest	TCU	54.66	2	0	100.0%	-131.08	17	17	50.0%	17
27	Big12	Texas A&M	50.98	2	0	100.0%	-60.57	16	17	48.5%	17
28	Pac10	Arizona St	49.95	2	0	100.0%	193.52	22	13	62.9%	19
29	BigEast	Connecticut	40.74	2	1	66.7%	323.21	23	8	74.2%	24
30	ACC	Clemson	39.63	2	1	66.7%	48.39	19	13	59.4%	22
31	SEC	Georgia	38.95	2	1	66.7%	294.50	22	8	73.3%	29
32	ACC	Virginia Tech	37.39	2	1	66.7%	168.33	21	14	60.0%	22
33	CUSA	Tulsa	36.65	2	1	66.7%	-158.59	15	16	48.4%	-32
34	SEC	South Carolina	36.62	2	1	66.7%	145.26	19	10	65.5%	15
35	Pac10	USC	36.26	2	1	66.7%	313.29	23	12	65.7%	-30
36	Pac10	Washington	33.66	2	1	66.7%	506.62	26	9	74.3%	41
37	SunBelt	Mid Tenn St	32.65	2	1	66.7%	-287.67	12	21	36.4%	31
38	Pac10	Oregon	32.21	2	1	66.7%	440.56	25	10	71.4%	17
39	WAC	Idaho	32.20	2	1	66.7%	-71.25	16	18	47.1%	11
40	Pac10	Stanford	31.98	2	1	66.7%	312.16	23	12	65.7%	11
41	Big10	Minnesota	31.94	2	1	66.7%	222.40	22	10	68.8%	-33
42	MtnWest	Utah	31.59	2	1	66.7%	-60.46	16	17	48.5%	-36
43	MAC	Northern Illinois	31.48	2	1	66.7%	-374.47	13	21	38.2%	22
44	SEC	Mississippi St	31.14	2	1	66.7%	426.11	24	6	80.0%	35
45	WAC	Hawaii	31.04	2	1	66.7%	-246.85	16	20	44.4%	-28
46	Big12	Oklahoma	30.70	2	1	66.7%	267.44	22	10	68.8%	24
47	ACC	Florida St	30.70	2	1	66.7%	285.45	24	10	70.6%	48
48	Pac10	Arizona	30.51	2	1	66.7%	353.62	24	9	72.7%	-23
49	Pac10	Oregon St	29.45	2	1	66.7%	353.58	24	9	72.7%	-34
50	MtnWest	Brigham Young	29.45	2	1	66.7%	-6.68	17	16	51.5%	-43
51	MAC	Central Michigan	28.97	2	1	66.7%	-444.18	12	23	34.3%	-3
52	ACC	Georgia Tech	28.92	2	1	66.7%	42.77	19	15	55.9%	-18
53	MtnWest	Air Force	27.92	2	1	66.7%	-78.36	18	16	52.9%	10
54	Big12	Nebraska	27.90	2	1	66.7%	183.48	20	13	60.6%	-31
55	Indy	Notre Dame	27.32	2	1	66.7%	149.63	20	15	57.1%	1
56	Big10	Ohio St	27.10	2	1	66.7%	340.22	24	11	68.6%	31
57	Big12	Oklahoma St	26.18	2	1	66.7%	184.66	20	10	66.7%	31
58	CUSA	SMU	25.27	2	1	66.7%	-268.14	13	18	41.9%	-44
59	BigEast	West Virginia	25.07	2	1	66.7%	215.49	22	11	66.7%	-28
60	Big12	Iowa St	24.97	2	1	66.7%	157.45	21	11	65.6%	32
61	CUSA	UCF	24.92	2	1	66.7%	-82.99	16	15	51.6%	5
62	SunBelt	LA-Lafayette	24.37	2	1	66.7%	-303.37	12	19	38.7%	-29
63	MAC	Ohio	24.04	2	1	66.7%	-500.24	10	23	30.3%	-4
64	Big12	Texas Tech	23.74	2	1	66.7%	45.60	18	13	58.1%	-28
65	ACC	Boston College	23.53	2	1	66.7%	-6.94	19	15	55.9%	-35
66	CUSA	Marshall	23.26	2	1	66.7%	-165.08	16	17	48.5%	17
67	MtnWest	UNLV	21.71	2	1	66.7%	-55.30	17	15	53.1%	24
68	ACC	Wake Forest	21.68	2	1	66.7%	30.40	18	14	56.3%	18
69	Big10	Northwestern	17.89	2	1	66.7%	-28.84	18	15	54.5%	-31
70	BigEast	Rutgers	17.73	2	1	66.7%	-24.25	18	12	60.0%	23
71	Indy	Army	17.38	2	1	66.7%	-471.24	10	21	32.3%	13
72	ACC	NC State	14.40	2	1	66.7%	51.04	20	12	62.5%	25
73	Big12	Baylor	4.66	1	1	50.0%	257.22	23	10	69.7%	-34
74	BigEast	Louisville	-2.10	1	1	50.0%	356.36	24	8	75.0%	-29
75	Big10	Illinois	-2.42	1	1	50.0%	275.88	24	10	70.6%	0
76	SunBelt	Arkansas St	-3.55	1	1	50.0%	-255.10	13	18	41.9%	2
77	SEC	Arkansas	-9.64	1	1	50.0%	323.73	23	9	71.9%	-32
78	MAC	Bowling Green	-24.90	1	2	33.3%	-123.65	17	19	47.2%	-20
79	Indy	Navy	-25.14	1	2	33.3%	-137.19	18	17	51.4%	-5
80	MAC	Western Michigan	-25.66	1	2	33.3%	-292.10	14	19	42.4%	24
81	MAC	Buffalo	-26.46	1	2	33.3%	-279.21	14	19	42.4%	-17
82	SunBelt	North Texas	-27.93	1	2	33.3%	-205.75	14	19	42.4%	-1
83	Big12	Kansas St	-28.23	1	2	33.3%	171.03	22	8	73.3%	-21
84	CUSA	East Carolina	-28.66	1	2	33.3%	48.39	20	14	58.8%	-15
85	SunBelt	LA-Monroe	-28.82	1	2	33.3%	-153.03	14	15	48.3%	-12
86	MtnWest	San Diego St	-28.97	1	2	33.3%	51.99	20	13	60.6%	-15
87	BigEast	Syracuse	-29.18	1	2	33.3%	343.02	24	8	75.0%	21
88	ACC	Duke	-30.47	1	2	33.3%	61.60	20	10	66.7%	-3
89	SunBelt	Troy	-31.87	1	2	33.3%	-220.24	13	19	40.6%	16
90	SEC	Tennessee	-32.43	1	2	33.3%	372.85	24	10	70.6%	0
91	Big10	Purdue	-32.56	1	2	33.3%	336.87	24	11	68.6%	-34
92	WAC	Fresno St	-33.46	1	2	33.3%	-72.83	16	15	51.6%	-31
93	MAC	Akron	-34.84	1	2	33.3%	-152.44	16	17	48.5%	-13
94	SEC	Vanderbilt	-35.02	1	2	33.3%	194.32	21	11	65.6%	-27
95	ACC	Maryland	-35.03	1	2	33.3%	50.03	20	14	58.8%	-19
96	WAC	Louisiana Tech	-35.16	1	2	33.3%	-112.91	16	17	48.5%	10
97	Big10	Michigan St	-35.77	1	2	33.3%	255.24	23	10	69.7%	-1
98	CUSA	Memphis	-36.50	1	2	33.3%	48.62	19	13	59.4%	17
99	CUSA	UTEP	-36.91	1	2	33.3%	15.44	18	16	52.9%	19
100	MAC	Kent St	-37.43	1	2	33.3%	-408.22	11	21	34.4%	-18
101	Pac10	Washington St	-37.80	1	2	33.3%	503.94	26	9	74.3%	16
102	Big12	Colorado	-38.05	1	2	33.3%	378.61	25	10	71.4%	10
103	CUSA	UAB	-39.81	1	2	33.3%	-16.76	17	16	51.5%	-14
104	MAC	Toledo	-40.26	1	2	33.3%	-437.92	10	24	29.4%	-32
105	MtnWest	Wyoming	-42.97	1	2	33.3%	-29.00	18	15	54.5%	-11
106	WAC	New Mexico St	-49.89	1	2	33.3%	-367.96	13	22	37.1%	-8
107	SunBelt	Florida Intl	-52.54	0	2	0.0%	-61.35	17	17	50.0%	-7
108	WAC	Nevada	-52.66	0	2	0.0%	104.36	20	15	57.1%	-6
109	WAC	Utah St	-52.94	0	2	0.0%	-119.30	16	16	50.0%	-10
110	SunBelt	Florida Atl	-54.06	0	2	0.0%	-218.45	14	20	41.2%	-9
111	CUSA	Tulane	-67.01	0	2	0.0%	175.37	21	11	65.6%	5
112	MAC	Temple	-67.58	0	2	0.0%	-397.57	13	21	38.2%	-9
113	MAC	Eastern Michigan	-86.00	0	3	0.0%	-143.57	16	18	47.1%	0
114	WAC	San Jose St	-87.37	0	3	0.0%	-92.47	16	16	50.0%	-5
115	CUSA	Rice	-88.23	0	3	0.0%	-32.95	17	17	50.0%	-8
116	MAC	Miami (OH)	-90.95	0	3	0.0%	102.66	19	15	55.9%	-5
117	MtnWest	New Mexico	-93.83	0	3	0.0%	236.63	22	12	64.7%	-7
118	ACC	Virginia	-100.66	0	3	0.0%	367.74	24	8	75.0%	1
119	MAC	Ball St	-107.25	0	3	0.0%	-150.13	16	17	48.5%	1
120	SunBelt	Western Kentucky	-112.51	0	3	0.0%	-220.31	14	18	43.8%	-6