Monday, October 1, 2007

Weekly Rankings: Week 5, Sept 29

Quite the shakeup this week, with a ton of good teams taking their first loss. Our previous #1, West Virginia, dropped all the way to #18 after losing to South Florida (who jumped up to #12 themselves). Taking over the top spot is LSU, and they have a healthy lead over #2 Arizona State. The top 15 teams are the only ones still undefeated, with Illinois, Oklahoma, and West Virginia the tops of the 4-1 teams. (Hawaii is last among the 5-0 undefeateds and even behind some of the 4-0 undefeateds mainly because of their weak SoS, ranked 116th out of 120.)

As far as schedule strength goes, Washington still has the toughest road by far, with their season-long opponents earning over 700 points while going 43-19 so far. The toughest schedule to date belongs to Akron though, who's faced 5-0 Ohio State, 5-0 Connecticut, and 4-1 Indiana already this season. The road is about to get really tough for Florida, who's next 5 opponents are 21-3. Good luck, Gators.

Week 5 Rankings
RankConfTeamPointsWLW%oPtsoWoLoW%
1SECLouisiana State214.2750100%71.05322556.15%
2Pac10Arizona State197.2750100%84.55322556.15%
3Pac10California196.8650100%50.27292652.73%
4Big10Ohio State193.3350100%104.9342260.72%
5BigEastCincinnati192.5550100%-277.21272551.93%
6BigEastConnecticut187.5150100%-142.13292553.71%
7SECKentucky184.3250100%262.25361866.67%
8Big10Purdue184.3150100%-392.53272948.22%
9Big10Wisconsin177.0250100%-75.49312555.36%
10ACCBoston College173.4350100%-172.38292454.72%
11Pac10Southern California165.9740100%37.1322754.24%
12BigEastSouth Florida154.8240100%121.93332161.12%
13Big12Missouri152.3940100%119.23342062.97%
14WACHawaii144.3250100%-834.55183037.5%
15Big12Kansas144.2240100%-371.44282850%
16Big10Illinois119.354180%91.69332260%
17Big12Oklahoma112.204180%19.51332457.9%
18BigEastWest Virginia110.064180%103.41332457.9%
19Big10Michigan State103.804180%196.7352360.35%
20Pac10Oregon102.944180%294.93342260.72%
21SECFlorida98.424180%539.28391868.43%
22Pac10UCLA96.844180%158.16322655.18%
23SECGeorgia95.464180%139.36342161.82%
24Big12Texas Tech93.854180%-192.9302455.56%
25SECSouth Carolina92.484180%127.39332161.12%
26Big10Indiana88.534180%77.37332358.93%
27ACCMiami (Florida)85.344180%-75.16302851.73%
28Big12Nebraska84.294180%476.91371768.52%
29ACCVirginia82.534180%-45.04302851.73%
30Big12Texas78.634180%129.36342260.72%
31Big12Kansas State76.813175%70.61332062.27%
32Big12Texas A&M74.394180%312.97361669.24%
33ACCVirginia Tech72.064180%198.93342161.82%
34ACCClemson67.874180%-181.52282552.84%
35ACCFlorida State63.683175%200.11352360.35%
36SECAuburn63.383260%326.73351668.63%
37SECVanderbilt49.863175%41.94322259.26%
38BigEastRutgers42.033175%101.99332260%
39Big10Penn State36.643260%88.96332755%
40SECMississippi State34.923260%74.05312258.5%
41MtnWestWyoming34.103175%-323.02263145.62%
42Big12Oklahoma State33.363260%452.67401474.08%
43SECAlabama32.043260%-61.93282354.91%
44BigEastLouisville30.703260%165.34332161.12%
45Big12Baylor25.833260%69.4332062.27%
46WACBoise State24.323175%-498.48232845.1%
47ACCGeorgia Tech24.183260%-29.93322457.15%
48Big12Colorado22.003260%496.24371867.28%
49MtnWestBrigham Young19.153260%-287.37262550.99%
50CUSACentral Florida18.763175%-553.77223240.75%
51ACCMaryland18.333260%-59.04302356.61%
52Big10Michigan17.443260%267.56362064.29%
53MACBowling Green State16.023175%-443.55263443.34%
54MACBall State15.493260%-334.39293148.34%
55IndyNavy15.353260%-880.22173532.7%
56MtnWestTexas Christian14.233260%-332.28263046.43%
57SECTennessee13.622250%382.76371966.08%
58SECArkansas11.452250%-39.26292454.72%
59ACCWake Forest6.012250%149.79342458.63%
60MtnWestNew Mexico3.493260%-434.91252946.3%
61CUSATulsa1.163175%-617.84203337.74%
62IndyWestern Kentucky-7.433260%-1023.22141843.75%
63Pac10Washington-12.872340%704.3431969.36%
64SunBeltTroy-15.203260%-578.23223439.29%
65MACKent-15.733260%-523.54243143.64%
66CUSATexas-El Paso-16.533260%-489242648%
67Pac10Arizona-18.212340%316.32351964.82%
68WACNew Mexico State-21.033260%-584.06253045.46%
69MtnWestAir Force-21.663260%-570.53223240.75%
70Big10Iowa-23.692340%15.54332755%
71Pac10Washington State-26.442340%392.71362163.16%
72WACFresno State-28.832250%-259.52282552.84%
73BigEastPittsburgh-30.942340%402.15381670.38%
74Pac10Oregon State-34.152340%419.16361866.67%
75WACNevada-38.012250%-438.43262848.15%
76SunBeltFlorida Atlantic-38.203260%-402.65233341.08%
77CUSAHouston-40.642250%-789.79183236%
78MtnWestNevada-Las Vegas-45.422340%-15.29302653.58%
79IndyArmy-46.902340%-321.03272551.93%
80MtnWestUtah-49.332340%-265.73273047.37%
81SunBeltArkansas State-51.272250%-998.04174228.82%
82Big10Northwestern-53.432340%98.1332260%
83CUSASouthern Mississippi-59.252250%-719.85183037.5%
84Big10Minnesota-62.911420%412.28391670.91%
85Pac10Stanford-69.701325%301.23352459.33%
86WACSan Jose State-71.982340%-239.39262452%
87ACCDuke-72.951420%194.63352360.35%
88MACWestern Michigan-72.992340%-479.99253045.46%
89CUSAEast Carolina-74.192340%-447.37233043.4%
90ACCNorth Carolina-74.541420%21.39322259.26%
91MACAkron-76.332340%-68.86312852.55%
92MACOhio-76.932340%-784.23213438.19%
93MACMiami (Ohio)-79.172340%-268.26273146.56%
94SECMississippi-80.111420%240.54331864.71%
95MACCentral Michigan-83.052340%-164.93302554.55%
96WACLouisiana Tech-84.291325%-102.66292454.72%
97BigEastSyracuse-84.961420%391.26372163.8%
98MACEastern Michigan-88.272340%-605.13243044.45%
99CUSAAlabama-Birmingham-96.031325%-394.22242450%
100ACCNorth Carolina State-99.011420%173.42341964.16%
101Big12Iowa State-102.761420%333.56371669.82%
102MtnWestSan Diego State-103.091325%33.14312357.41%
103CUSAMemphis-106.571325%-1008.84143528.58%
104MtnWestColorado State-116.71040%-55.07302257.7%
105SunBeltMiddle Tennessee State-125.871420%-429.96243242.86%
106MACBuffalo-126.191420%-420.87263244.83%
107CUSASouthern Methodist-126.401420%-374.27242747.06%
108CUSATulane-130.581325%-509.28233043.4%
109WACIdaho-141.111420%-335.66252649.02%
110MACToledo-148.791420%-343.23262749.06%
111MACNorthern Illinois-150.101420%-522.3253144.65%
112IndyNotre Dame-165.96050%493.69391967.25%
113WACUtah State-168.91050%-52.98302554.55%
114SunBeltLouisiana-Monroe-176.70040%-591.38233043.4%
115CUSAMarshall-179.40040%-115.8282157.15%
116SunBeltNorth Texas-181.64040%-583.19243739.35%
117CUSARice-186.47040%-465.51252649.02%
118MACTemple-190.04050%-230.28293049.16%
119SunBeltFlorida International-204.42050%-322.38253045.46%
120SunBeltLouisiana-Lafayette-221.65050%-570.54213041.18%

The conference strength picture has found itself in a logjam. The top 4 conferences are all within about 4 points of each other, with the Big East barely leading the SEC. Way behind in 5th is the Pac 10, and way behind them in 6th is the ACC. Since most non-conference play has been finished, conference strength will really be sorted out by conference play.

Week 5 Conference Rankings
RankConfAvg.Ptsnc Wnc Lnc W%nc oPtsnc oWnc oLnc oW%
1BigEast54.9324875%-2,051.39749843.03%
2SEC53.3825486.21%-2,385.488710345.79%
3Big1251.84361176.6%-2,490.838411143.08%
4Big1050.6928780%-3,439.936312034.43%
5Pac1038.3620676.93%-973.03657446.77%
6ACC21.10231167.65%-1,547.4710310050.74%
7MtnWest-20.95141646.67%-781.03837253.55%
8WAC-30.47151845.46%-1,209.18786454.93%
9MAC-58.86132930.96%468.581639263.93%
10CUSA-61.12132633.34%-908.311128955.73%
11SunBelt-87.4042314.82%600.421146663.34%

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