Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Air Force non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Air Force 1998-2007
Average Rank = 73.8
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
41 23 15 3 56.1% 13 22 6 31.7% 4.0 12 29.3% 3 7.3% 17 41.5%
NCAA Ranks 53 89 97 60 99 45

Analysis: Air Force doesn’t really have much to plan when it comes to their non-conf schedule. Army & Navy are automatically on there, add a BCS team, sometimes good sometimes not, and throw in a home game with a I-AA team. Stir well and simmer for an hour. They’re towards the bottom of 3 rankings and average in the other 3.

Fact: Most would assume that playing Army & Navy brings down Air Force’s non-conf schedule, but in fact it doesn’t really, mainly because their other opponents are just as weak overall. Army & Navy’s average wins comes in at 4.0 and they have 7 10+win seasons, while Air Force’s other opponents average just 4.1 wins and only have 5 10+win seasons.

Fact: The 6 I-AA teams that have traveled to Air Force have gone quite a distance – 4 of them are basically east coast, the furthest west being Tennessee Tech, and the 2 in the west have two states between them and Colorado.

2008 Outlook: No BCS team this year, the first time they’ve done that in the BCS era. And it certainly doesn’t help their schedule difficulty – it’s clost to the bottom for 2008. Navy & @ Army this year, I-AA Southern Utah, and @ Houston is probably the trickiest, which tell you all you need to know.

[Legend]

Air Force Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 vs zAA Southern Utah zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/13/08 @ CUSA Houston non 6.8 10 -,-,-,31,-
10/4/08 vs Indy Navy non 8.6 10 -,24,30,-,-
11/1/08 @ Indy Army non 2.4 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/07 vs zAA S Carolina St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/29/07 @ Indy Navy non 7.4 10 -,-,24,30,-
11/3/07 vs Indy Army non 2 4 -,-,-,-,-
11/10/07 @ Indy Notre Dame BCS 8 10 17,-,-,11,19
9/9/06 @ SEC Tennessee BCS 8.8 11 4,37,16,15,-
10/7/06 vs Indy Navy non 5.6 10 -,-,-,24,30
11/3/06 @ Indy Army non 2 4 -,-,-,-,-
11/11/06 vs Indy Notre Dame BCS 7 10 -,17,-,-,11
9/3/05 @ Pac10 Washington BCS 6.6 11 3,19,-,-,-
10/8/05 @ Indy Navy non 4.2 10 -,-,-,-,24
11/5/05 vs Indy Army non 1.4 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/04 vs Pac10 California BCS 4.6 8 -,-,-,-,41
9/11/04 vs zAA E Washington zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/30/04 vs Indy Navy non 3.2 8 -,-,-,-,-
11/6/04 @ CUSA Army non 1.6 3 -,-,-,-,-
8/30/03 vs zAA Wofford zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/6/03 @ Big10 Northwestern BCS 4.2 8 -,-,26,-,-
9/13/03 vs SunBelt North Texas non 4.2 8 -,-,-,-,37
10/4/03 v Indy Navy non 2.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
11/8/03 vs CUSA Army non 2.2 3 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/02 vs Big10 Northwestern BCS 4.6 8 -,-,-,26,-
9/21/02 @ Pac10 California BCS 3.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
10/5/02 vs Indy Navy non 3.2 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/19/02 vs Indy Notre Dame BCS 7 9 41,22,-,16,-
11/9/02 @ CUSA Army non 2.8 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/01 vs Big12 Oklahoma BCS 6.4 13 -,-,-,38,1
9/8/01 vs zAA Tennessee Tech zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/6/01 v Indy Navy non 5 9 27,-,-,-,-
11/3/01 vs CUSA Army non 4.2 10 24,-,-,-,-
11/24/01 @ WAC Hawaii non 3.4 9 -,-,-,30,-
9/2/00 vs zAA CS Northridge zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/7/00 vs Indy Navy non 5.8 9 -,27,-,-,-
10/28/00 @ Indy Notre Dame BCS 7.6 9 13,21,41,22,-
11/4/00 @ CUSA Army non 5 10 -,24,-,-,-
9/4/99 vs zAA Villanova zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/99 @ Pac10 Washington BCS 7.4 9 -,27,15,18,-
10/9/99 v Indy Navy non 5.4 9 -,-,27,-,-
11/6/99 vs CUSA Army non 5.2 10 -,-,24,-,-
9/5/98 vs ACC Wake Forest BCS 2.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
10/10/98 vs Indy Navy non 5.6 9 -,-,-,27,-
11/7/98 @ CUSA Army non 5.8 10 -,-,-,24,-

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