Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Baylor non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Baylor 1998-2007
Average Rank = 96
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
34 21 12 1 61.8% 7 20 7 20.6% 3.4 4 11.8% 4 11.8% 23 67.6%
NCAA Ranks 68 105 114 108 77 104

Analysis: Baylor is at the bottom of the pile in most rankings, appearing in the Bottom 20 in 4 of 6 categories. Standard fare for the last few years has been a cupcake, a couple easy non-BCS teams, and maybe one tough team, BCS or non.

Fact: In 1998, Baylor played 3 BCS teams who combined to average 5.5 wins per season. From 1999-2007, they played 4 BCS teams who combined to average 5.1 wins per season.

Fact: Only 4 of Baylor’s 34 opponents have averaged more than 6 wins per season, and only 4 had a 10+ win season in the previous five.

2008 Outlook: Could the Bears be turning it around? 2008 is looking a lot more challenging than they're used to – three BCS opponents in Wake Forest, @ Connecticut, and Washington State, all averaging over 6 wins a season. I-AA Northwestern State is a cupcake, but they're allowed that one for a bit of balance. Mid-range for 2008.

[Legend]

Baylor Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 vs ACC Wake Forest BCS 6.6 11 -,-,-,17,28
9/6/08 vs zAA Northwestern St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/13/08 vs Pac10 Washington St BCS 6 10 9,-,-,-,-
9/19/08 @ BigEast Connecticut BCS 7 9 41,36,-,-,32
9/1/07 @ MtnWest TCU non 9.6 11 22,24,-,9,21
9/8/07 vs CUSA Rice non 4 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/15/07 vs zAA Texas St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/22/07 @ MAC Buffalo non 1.4 2 -,-,-,-,-
9/3/06 vs MtnWest TCU non 8.6 11 -,22,24,-,9
9/9/06 vs zAA Northwestern LA zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/16/06 v Pac10 Washington St BCS 7.8 10 11,10,9,-,-
9/23/06 vs Indy Army non 2 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/3/05 @ CUSA SMU non 2.6 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/10/05 vs zAA Samford zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/17/05 @ Indy Army non 1.4 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/04 @ CUSA UAB non 5.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/11/04 vs zAA Texas St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/25/04 vs SunBelt North Texas non 5.4 9 -,-,-,37,41
8/30/03 vs CUSA UAB non 5.4 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/6/03 @ SunBelt North Texas non 4.2 8 -,-,-,-,37
9/13/03 vs WAC SMU non 3.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/20/03 vs zAA Sam Houston St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/02 @ Pac10 California BCS 3.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/7/02 vs zAA Samford zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/14/02 @ MtnWest New Mexico non 5.4 9 35,-,-,-,-
9/21/02 vs WAC Tulsa non 2.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/01 vs SunBelt Arkansas St non 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/22/01 vs MtnWest New Mexico non 5.4 9 -,35,-,-,-
11/24/01 vs zAA S Illinois zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/00 @ BigWest North Texas non 3.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/16/00 vs Big10 Minnesota BCS 4.6 8 -,-,-,-,17
9/23/00 vs Indy South Florida non 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/99 @ BigEast Boston College BCS 4.8 7 22,-,-,-,-
9/11/99 vs MtnWest UNLV non 2.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/2/99 vs BigWest North Texas non 2.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/12/98 @ Pac10 Oregon St BCS 2.8 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/19/98 vs ACC NC State BCS 5.6 9 35,17,-,-,-
10/31/98 @ Indy Notre Dame BCS 8.2 11 2,-,13,21,41

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