Tuesday, January 15, 2008

California non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

California 1998-2007
Average Rank = 31.8
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
33 18 14 1 54.5% 15 16 2 45.5% 6.1 14 42.4% 8 24.2% 10 30.3%
NCAA Ranks 50 55 15 23 29 19

Analysis: Two Top 20’s and four other top-half rankings puts the Bears near the top of the overall rankings and making them one of the highest rankings BCS teams. They like to mix it up, sometimes scheduling one BCS opponent, sometimes two, sometimes one or two non-BCS teams, and while their opponents’ average wins is high, it ranges from 8.0 to 3.1. About the only constant is that in the last three years they’ve gone with two home games and one road game. At least they’ve only played two I-AA opponents.

Fact: In addition to a solid slate of BCS teams, Cal has played some good non-BCS teams too. Overall their 18 non-BCS opponents average 5.8 wins per season, 10 of them being over 6, and 11 of them have a 9+win season to their credit.

Fact: 19 of Cal’s 33 opponents have been from the Big 10, Big 12, and Mtn West, and those opponents combined for a 7.1 win average.

2008 Outlook: @ Maryland might be tricky, but probably not. Michigan State at home is a solid opponent, and Colorado State at home is decent too. Top half of 2008.

[Legend]

California Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 vs Big10 Michigan St BCS 5.8 8 41,-,-,-,-
9/13/08 @ ACC Maryland BCS 7 10 20,-,-,32,-
9/27/08 vs MtnWest Colorado St non 4.8 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/07 vs SEC Tennessee BCS 8.4 10 37,16,15,-,23
9/8/07 @ MtnWest Colorado St non 6.2 10 27,-,-,-,-
9/15/07 vs WAC Louisiana Tech non 5 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/06 @ SEC Tennessee BCS 8.8 11 4,37,16,15,-
9/9/06 vs Big10 Minnesota BCS 7.2 10 -,34,17,32,-
9/16/06 vs zAA Portland St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/3/05 vs zAA CS Sacramento zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/17/05 vs Big10 Illinois BCS 4.8 10 -,12,-,-,-
9/23/05 @ WAC New Mexico St non 4.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/04 @ MtnWest Air Force non 7.2 9 -,33,-,35,-
9/11/04 vs SunBelt New Mexico St non 4.8 7 -,-,-,-,-
12/4/04 @ CUSA Southern Miss non 7.8 9 13,30,-,-,33
8/23/03 v Big12 Kansas St BCS 10 11 9,6,8,-,6
8/30/03 vs CUSA Southern Miss non 7.4 9 -,13,30,-,-
9/6/03 vs MtnWest Colorado St non 8.6 10 -,33,15,-,27
9/11/03 @ MtnWest Utah non 6.6 9 -,31,-,35,-
9/20/03 @ Big10 Illinois BCS 6.2 10 -,25,-,12,-
8/31/02 vs Big12 Baylor BCS 2 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/7/02 vs SunBelt New Mexico St non 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/14/02 @ Big10 Michigan St BCS 7 10 34,-,7,-,31
9/21/02 vs MtnWest Air Force non 8.6 12 25,10,-,33,-
9/1/01 vs Big10 Illinois BCS 3.6 8 -,-,-,25,-
9/8/01 vs MtnWest BYU non 8.6 14 5,-,-,32,-
11/23/01 @ BigEast Rutgers BCS 2.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/00 vs MtnWest Utah non 7.4 9 -,-,-,-,31
9/16/00 @ Big10 Illinois BCS 3.6 8 -,-,-,-,25
9/23/00 @ WAC Fresno St non 5.6 8 34,-,-,-,-
9/4/99 vs BigEast Rutgers BCS 3.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/11/99 @ Big12 Nebraska BCS 11.6 13 1,1,6,1,20
10/9/99 @ MtnWest BYU non 9.2 14 10,-,5,-,-
9/5/98 vs CUSA Houston non 2.8 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/12/98 vs Big12 Nebraska BCS 12 13 3,1,1,6,1
9/19/98 @ Big12 Oklahoma BCS 5.4 9 14,-,-,-,-

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