Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Cincinnati non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Cincinnati 1998-2007
Average Rank = 40
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
44 25 19 0 56.8% 20 19 5 45.5% 5.7 20 45.5% 8 18.2% 16 36.4%
NCAA Ranks 58 55 30 16 50 31

Analysis: The Bearcats have averaged over 4.5 non-conf games during the BCS era, mainly because they’ve played in conferences that never had full numbers. They’ve done a good job creating challenging schedules, though they are playing fewer BCS teams since they’ve been in the Big East. The usual schedule includes Miami (OH), an above average BCS team, an average BCS team, and a below average non-BCS or I-AA team. They’re ranked in the top half of all categories, being in the top 25% of 3 of 6.

Fact: Having Miami (OH) on the schedule definitely helps Cincinnati – the Red Hawks average wins has never been under 6 during the BCS era, and they account for 9 of the Bearcats 20 opponents with a 10+ win season.

Fact: For a non-BCS team (they were in the CUSA until 2005), Cincinnati had a decent amount of pull, getting BCS programs to agree to travel to their field. They had visits from Ohio State, Miami (FL), Syracuse, Purdue, Indiana, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.

2008 Outlook: Good balance as usual, with a hearty six non-conf games on the slate. @ Oklahoma is their only BCS opponent, but it’s a doozy, @ Hawaii, @ Akron, and @ Marshall are all winnable but might be tricky road contests, Miami (OH) is usually a tough rivalry, and I-AA Eastern Kentucky is easy. Solid for 2008.

[Legend]

Cincinnati Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/28/08 vs zAA Eastern Kentucky zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/6/08 @ Big12 Oklahoma BCS 10.8 12 3,3,22,11,8
9/20/08 vs MAC Miami OH non 7.2 13 12,-,-,-,-
9/27/08 @ MAC Akron non 5.8 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/3/08 @ CUSA Marshall non 5.2 8 38,-,-,-,-
12/6/08 @ WAC Hawaii non 9 12 34,41,-,24,17
8/30/07 vs zAA SE Missouri St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/6/07 vs Pac10 Oregon St BCS 7.6 10 -,31,33,-,22
9/15/07 @ MAC Miami OH non 7.4 13 -,12,-,-,-
9/22/07 vs CUSA Marshall non 6.8 11 19,38,-,-,-
9/29/07 @ MtnWest San Diego St non 4.4 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/06 vs zAA E Kentucky zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/16/06 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 10 14 29,1,4,19,4
9/23/06 @ ACC Virginia Tech BCS 9.4 11 18,14,-,10,7
9/30/06 vs MAC Miami OH non 8.4 13 -,-,12,-,-
10/7/06 vs MAC Akron non 5.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/05 vs MAC E Michigan non 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/10/05 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 5.2 9 -,-,15,-,-
9/17/05 vs zAA W Carolina zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/28/05 @ MAC Miami OH non 8.2 13 -,-,-,12,-
9/4/04 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 9.2 14 35,28,29,1,4
9/11/04 vs MAC Miami OH non 8 13 -,-,-,-,12
9/18/04 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 6.6 10 35,-,14,-,-
9/13/03 @ BigEast West Virginia BCS 6.2 9 30,-,35,-,20
9/20/03 vs BigEast Temple BCS 3.2 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/27/03 @ MAC Miami OH non 7.4 10 34,-,-,-,-
11/8/03 vs zAA Rhode Island zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/14/02 vs BigEast West Virginia BCS 5.8 8 39,30,-,35,-
9/21/02 vs Big10 Ohio St BCS 8.4 11 12,2,35,28,29
9/28/02 @ BigEast Temple BCS 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
10/5/02 vs MAC Miami OH non 7.6 10 -,34,-,-,-
11/23/02 @ WAC Hawaii non 4.8 9 -,-,30,-,32
9/2/01 vs Big10 Purdue BCS 7.2 9 -,15,23,27,13
9/22/01 @ MAC Miami OH non 7.4 10 -,-,34,-,-
11/3/01 vs Indy Connecticut non 0.6 3 -,-,-,-,-
12/1/01 vs SunBelt LA Monroe non 4.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/00 vs BigEast Syracuse BCS 8.4 9 16,19,20,24,35
9/16/00 @ Big10 Wisconsin BCS 8.2 11 -,31,35,5,4
9/23/00 @ Big10 Indiana BCS 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
10/28/00 vs MAC Miami OH non 7.8 10 -,-,-,34,-
9/4/99 vs MAC Kent non 1.6 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/11/99 vs zAA Troy zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/99 vs Big10 Wisconsin BCS 7.8 11 26,-,31,35,5
9/25/99 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 10.4 11 9,8,2,12,2
10/30/99 @ MAC Miami OH non 7.6 10 -,-,-,-,34
9/12/98 vs BigEast Miami FL BCS 8.2 10 15,6,-,14,-
9/26/98 vs Big10 Indiana BCS 4.4 8 26,-,-,-,-
10/10/98 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 8 9 -,30,16,19,20
10/24/98 vs MAC Miami OH non 6.4 8 -,-,-,-,-
11/21/98 @ Indy Arkansas St non 3 6 -,-,-,-,-

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