Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Florida State non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Florida State 1998-2007
Average Rank = 12.2
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
37 21 12 4 56.8% 26 10 1 70.3% 7.4 23 62.2% 19 51.4% 7 18.9%
NCAA Ranks 56 7 1 3 1 5

Analysis: The Seminoles have faced some juggernaut non-conf schedules over the years (1998 & 2003 we just brutal), evidenced by their Top 5 ranking in 4 out of 6 categories. Sure a lot of their BCS games have been because their rivals are Florida & Miami, and they’ve scheduled some easier ones in recent years (Troy, Rice, Western Michigan, etc), but their overall schedule is still a good deal harder than most teams’. A founding member of the AAA club – Anyone, Anywhere, Anytime.

Fact: Over half the teams Florida State has scheduled have been elite, finishing in the Top 10 sometime in the previous 5 seasons – astounding.

Fact: In the years before 2005, Florida State’s opponents’ average wins was at a whopping 8.1, the lowest being 7.1 in 2004. In the last 4 years (including 2008) they’ve averaged 5.2 – still above average, but a major downward trend.

2008 Outlook: 2008 is the least challenging non-conf schedule the Seminoles have had in the BCS years. Florida is brutal and Colorado might be tough, but Western Carolina and Chattanooga continue their move towards an easier, more balanced schedule. Average for the year.

[Legend]

Florida State Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
9/6/08 vs zAA Western Carolina zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/13/08 vs zAA Tennessee-Chattanooga zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/27/08 v Big12 Colorado BCS 5.6 8 -,31,-,-,-
11/29/08 vs SEC Florida BCS 9.2 13 25,25,16,1,16
9/8/07 vs CUSA UAB non 5 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/15/07 @ Big12 Colorado BCS 6.2 9 21,-,31,-,-
9/29/07 v SEC Alabama BCS 7.2 10 -,-,-,8,-
11/24/07 @ SEC Florida BCS 9 13 24,25,25,16,1
9/9/06 vs SunBelt Troy non 4.2 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/23/06 vs CUSA Rice non 4.2 8 -,-,-,-,-
11/18/06 vs MAC W Michigan non 4.4 7 -,-,-,-,-
11/25/06 vs SEC Florida BCS 8.4 10 3,24,25,25,16
9/10/05 vs zAA Citadel zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/1/05 vs BigEast Syracuse BCS 6.4 10 -,14,-,-,-
11/26/05 @ SEC Florida BCS 8.6 10 11,3,24,25,25
9/18/04 vs CUSA UAB non 5.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/9/04 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 6.6 10 35,-,14,-,-
11/20/04 vs SEC Florida BCS 9 10 14,11,3,24,25
9/20/03 vs Big12 Colorado BCS 7.4 10 28,29,-,9,21
10/11/03 vs BigEast Miami FL BCS 10.6 12 21,15,2,1,2
11/1/03 @ Indy Notre Dame BCS 7.6 10 22,-,16,-,17
11/29/03 @ SEC Florida BCS 9.4 10 6,14,11,3,24
8/24/02 v Big12 Iowa St BCS 4.8 9 -,-,-,23,40
9/26/02 @ CUSA Louisville non 7 11 -,-,-,32,16
10/12/02 @ BigEast Miami FL BCS 9.2 12 -,21,15,2,1
10/26/02 vs Indy Notre Dame BCS 7 9 41,22,-,16,-
11/30/02 vs SEC Florida BCS 9.8 10 6,6,14,11,3
9/8/01 vs CUSA UAB non 5.2 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/13/01 vs BigEast Miami FL BCS 8.6 11 14,-,21,15,2
11/17/01 @ SEC Florida BCS 10.2 12 1,6,6,14,11
8/26/00 v MtnWest BYU non 8.8 14 -,5,-,-,32
9/23/00 vs CUSA Louisville non 5.4 7 35,-,-,-,-
10/7/00 @ BigEast Miami FL BCS 8 9 -,14,-,21,15
11/18/00 vs SEC Florida BCS 10.6 12 3,1,6,6,14
8/28/99 vs Indy Louisiana Tech non 5.8 9 -,-,-,29,-
10/9/99 vs BigEast Miami FL BCS 8.2 10 6,-,14,-,21
11/20/99 @ SEC Florida BCS 10.8 12 7,3,1,6,6
8/31/98 v Big12 Texas A&M BCS 8.8 10 8,-,15,-,21
9/26/98 vs Pac10 USC BCS 7.4 9 25,15,11,-,-
10/10/98 @ BigEast Miami FL BCS 8.2 10 15,6,-,14,-
11/21/98 vs SEC Florida BCS 11 12 4,7,3,1,6

No comments: