Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Missouri non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Missouri 1998-2007
Average Rank = 93.2
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
34 21 9 4 61.8% 9 19 6 26.5% 3.9 7 20.6% 3 8.8% 25 73.5%
NCAA Ranks 68 101 104 85 89 112

Analysis: When the Tigers schedule BCS teams, they’re usually average to above-average. The thing is that they rarely schedule BCS teams, averaging less than one per season in the BCS era. The usual schedule is said BCS team, an average non-BCS team, a well below-average BCS team (usually from the MAC), and a I-AA team.

Fact: The good news is that Missouri is ranked #104 in opponents’ average wins at 3.9. The bad news is that that both that ranking and number are dropping.

Fact: Only 1 of Missouri’s 25 non-BCS or I-AA teams has received any votes in the previous five seasons – Bowling Green got 4 votes in 1994, four seasons before Missouri played them.

2008 Outlook: More of the same. The tail end of a tougher-than-expected series with Illinois will be challenging, as might a home date with Nevada. Buffalo and I-AA Southeast Missouri State are cupcakes. Towards the bottom for 2008.

[Legend]

Missouri Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 v Big10 Illinois BCS 3.4 9 -,-,-,-,18
9/6/08 vs zAA Southeast Missouri St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/13/08 vs WAC Nevada non 6.8 9 -,-,27,-,-
9/20/08 vs MAC Buffalo non 2.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/07 v Big10 Illinois BCS 2.6 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/07 @ SEC Mississippi BCS 5.6 10 -,14,-,-,-
9/15/07 vs MAC W Michigan non 5 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/22/07 vs zAA Illinois St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/06 vs zAA Murray St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/06 vs SEC Mississippi BCS 6.2 10 -,-,14,-,-
9/16/06 @ MtnWest New Mexico non 6.8 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/23/06 vs MAC Ohio non 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/3/05 v SunBelt Arkansas St non 3.4 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/10/05 vs MtnWest New Mexico non 6.6 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/17/05 vs SunBelt Troy non 3.4 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/4/04 vs SunBelt Arkansas St non 3.6 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/04 @ SunBelt Troy non 2 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/04 vs MAC Ball St non 4 6 -,-,-,-,-
8/30/03 v Big10 Illinois BCS 6.2 10 -,25,-,12,-
9/6/03 @ MAC Ball St non 3.4 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/13/03 vs zAA E Illinois zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/20/03 vs SunBelt Middle Tenn St non 4.2 8 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/02 v Big10 Illinois BCS 5.2 10 -,-,25,-,12
9/7/02 vs MAC Ball St non 3.2 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/14/02 @ MAC Bowling Green non 4.6 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/28/02 vs Indy Troy non 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/1/01 vs MAC Bowling Green non 3.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/01 vs zAA Texas St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
12/1/01 @ Big10 Michigan St BCS 6.8 10 -,34,-,7,-
9/2/00 vs zAA W Illinois zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/00 @ ACC Clemson BCS 6.2 8 29,35,26,-,-
9/16/00 vs Big10 Michigan St BCS 7 10 33,-,34,-,7
9/4/99 vs CUSA UAB non 2.8 5 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/99 vs MAC W Michigan non 6.2 8 -,-,-,-,-
10/2/99 @ CUSA Memphis non 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/5/98 vs MAC Bowling Green non 5.4 9 -,33,-,-,-
9/19/98 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 10.2 11 10,9,8,2,12
10/3/98 vs zAA Northwestern LA zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-

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