Tuesday, January 15, 2008

North Carolina non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

North Carolina 1998-2007
Average Rank = 42.2
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
35 20 14 1 57.1% 19 12 4 54.3% 5.6 12 34.3% 6 17.1% 13 37.1%
NCAA Ranks 59 31 35 39 55 34

Analysis: The Tar Heels schedule average to above average teams, they prefer BCS teams, and they’re willing to travel. Their opponents’ average wins are above the norm, and the usual schedule consists of 2 above average BCS teams, an above average non-BCS team, and a below average non-BCS or I-AA team.

Fact: 21 of North Carolina’s 35 games were against teams averaging over 6 wins per season.

Fact: The only conference North Carolina hasn’t played a team from in the last ten years is (not very arguably) the weakest one – the Sun Belt.

2008 Outlook: A good mix, as usual. @ Rutgers should be tough, and Notre Dame & Connecticut will probably be a challenge, but I-AA McNeese State is a cupcake. Middle of the road for 2008.

[Legend]

North Carolina Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 vs zAA McNeese St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/11/08 @ BigEast Rutgers BCS 7 11 -,-,35,12,-
10/4/08 vs BigEast Connecticut BCS 7 9 41,36,-,-,32
10/11/08 vs Indy Notre Dame BCS 6.6 10 -,-,11,19,-
9/1/07 vs zAA James Madison zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/07 @ CUSA East Carolina non 3.8 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/22/07 @ BigEast South Florida BCS 7 9 29,-,-,-,-
10/13/07 vs SEC South Carolina BCS 6.2 8 -,-,-,32,30
9/2/06 vs BigEast Rutgers BCS 3.8 7 -,-,-,-,35
9/16/06 vs zAA Furman zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/14/06 vs BigEast South Florida BCS 6.8 9 -,29,-,-,-
11/4/06 @ Indy Notre Dame BCS 7 10 -,17,-,-,11
9/17/05 vs Big10 Wisconsin BCS 7.6 9 24,-,35,-,18
10/1/05 vs MtnWest Utah non 7.8 12 -,35,-,21,5
10/8/05 @ BigEast Louisville BCS 9.4 11 32,16,-,-,7
9/4/04 vs zAA William & Mary zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/25/04 vs CUSA Louisville non 8.6 11 -,32,16,-,-
10/16/04 @ MtnWest Utah non 7.2 10 31,-,35,-,21
9/6/03 vs BigEast Syracuse BCS 7 10 24,35,-,14,-
9/20/03 @ Big10 Wisconsin BCS 8.6 11 5,4,24,-,35
10/11/03 @ CUSA East Carolina non 6.6 9 -,26,34,-,-
10/18/03 vs Pac10 Arizona St BCS 5.8 8 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/02 vs MAC Miami OH non 7.6 10 -,34,-,-,-
9/7/02 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 8 10 20,24,35,-,14
9/14/02 vs Big12 Texas BCS 8.4 11 -,16,23,12,5
10/5/02 @ Pac10 Arizona St BCS 6 9 14,-,-,-,-
8/25/01 @ Big12 Oklahoma BCS 6.4 13 -,-,-,38,1
9/8/01 @ Big12 Texas BCS 7.8 9 23,-,16,23,12
10/6/01 vs CUSA East Carolina non 7.2 9 30,-,-,26,34
12/1/01 vs WAC SMU non 4.6 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/00 v WAC Tulsa non 3.2 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/23/00 vs MAC Marshall non 7 13 -,-,40,27,10
11/4/00 @ BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/11/99 @ Big10 Indiana BCS 3.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/16/99 vs CUSA Houston non 3.2 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/30/99 vs zAA Furman zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/5/98 vs MAC Miami OH non 6.4 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/19/98 @ Pac10 Stanford BCS 5.2 7 -,-,31,29,-
10/10/98 vs BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 3.6 6 -,-,-,-,-

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