Tuesday, January 15, 2008

South Florida non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

South Florida 1998-2007
Average Rank = 81.2
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
20 11 8 1 55.0% 9 5 6 45.0% 3.7 3 15.0% 3 15.0% 13 65.0%
NCAA Ranks 51 58 109 104 62 103

Analysis: The Bulls’ overall ranking is brought down by the three categories they’re in the Bottom 20 of – Average Wins, 10+Win percentage, and zero votes percentage. They have scheduled BCS teams and played away from Tampa about half the time, so that’s not too bad. They’ve scheduled more games in recent years, being in the Big East, but the usual fare is an average to above average BCS team, a below average BCS team, a below average non-BCS team, and a I-AA team.

Fact: South Florida is still feeling out their non-conf schedule – the only teams they’ve played more than once are North Carolina and Central Florida, and they’ve played teams from 7 of the 11 conferences (including 5 of the 6 BCS conferences).

Fact: Of the 11 teams South Florida has played at home, only 1 had an average win over 5 (Pittsburgh 2004 – 7.2). All 11 combined for an average win of 1.8.

2008 Outlook: Three road games make it a bit tougher, but they’re @ NC State, @ Central Florida, and @ Florida International – not exactly a murderer’s row. Kansas at home might be tricky, but I-AA Tennessee-Martin is easy.

[Legend]

South Florida Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
8/30/08 vs zAA Tennessee-Martin zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/5/08 @ CUSA UCF non 5 10 -,-,-,-,37
9/13/08 vs Big12 Kansas BCS 7 12 -,-,-,-,7
9/20/08 @ SunBelt Florida Intl non 0.2 1 -,-,-,-,-
9/27/08 @ ACC NC State BCS 5.6 8 30,-,38,-,-
9/1/07 vs zAA Elon zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/8/07 @ SEC Auburn BCS 10 13 16,29,2,14,8
9/22/07 vs ACC North Carolina BCS 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
10/6/07 @ SunBelt FL Atlantic non 1 5 -,-,-,-,-
10/13/07 vs CUSA UCF non 4.4 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/2/06 vs zAA McNeese St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/9/06 vs SunBelt Florida Intl non 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/16/06 @ CUSA UCF non 4.8 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/23/06 @ Big12 Kansas BCS 4.4 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/14/06 @ ACC North Carolina BCS 4.8 8 27,-,-,-,-
9/3/05 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 5.2 9 -,-,15,-,-
9/10/05 vs zAA Florida A&M zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/17/05 vs CUSA UCF non 4.6 7 -,-,-,-,-
10/1/05 @ ACC Miami FL BCS 11 12 2,1,2,5,11
9/11/04 vs zAA Tennessee Tech zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/18/04 @ SEC South Carolina BCS 5.4 9 -,21,13,-,-
12/4/04 vs BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 7.2 9 -,40,36,18,36
8/30/03 v SEC Alabama BCS 7.4 10 -,8,-,34,-
9/6/03 vs zAA Nicholls St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/18/03 vs zAA Charleston So zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-

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