Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Toledo non-conf scheduling

[Legend]

Toledo 1998-2007
Average Rank = 78.8
Gms vs @ v %vs BCS non AA %BCS avW 10+ 10+% T10 T% 0 0%
35 20 15 0 57.1% 19 8 8 54.3% 4.3 5 14.3% 2 5.7% 18 51.4%
NCAA Ranks 59 31 93 105 105 80

Analysis: The Rockets are contrary to most of their MAC compatriots – their schedule is erratic in the categories of home games & BCS teams played and as certain as you’ll get in opponents’ average wins. Their usual fare includes an above average team, an average team, and a few below average teams – whatever it takes to get their opponents’ average wins between 4 & 5.

Fact: Toledo is ranked #105 in two categories: elite teams played (only 2 – Ohio State 1998 & Penn State 2000) and opponents with 10+win seasons (the aforementioned Ohio State & Penn State, plus Minnesota 2004, Syracuse 2003, and Fresno State 2005).

Fact: Strangely for a MAC team, Toledo has played more games at home than on the road – 20 to 15.

2008 Outlook: @ Michigan will probably be tricky, same with @ Arizona, same with Fresno State at home. Florida International is a breather. Tough for 2008. Incidentally, the game @ Arizona will be only the second meeting between a MAC team & a Pac 10 team during the BCS era. The first was when Central Florida (who’s no longer in the MAC) visited Arizona State in 2002.

[Legend]

Toledo Year-by-Year Opponents over the last 5 years...
Date vs/@ oConf Opponent Type Avg Wins Hi Wins Final Ranking
9/6/08 @ Pac10 Arizona BCS 3.8 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/20/08 vs WAC Fresno St non 7.8 9 34,22,-,-,30
9/27/08 vs SunBelt Florida Intl non 0.2 1 -,-,-,-,-
10/11/08 @ Big10 Michigan BCS 9.2 11 7,12,28,9,19
9/1/07 vs Big10 Purdue BCS 7.2 9 -,19,35,-,-
9/15/07 @ Big12 Kansas BCS 5 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/22/07 vs Big12 Iowa St BCS 5.4 7 -,-,34,-,-
10/6/07 vs zAA Liberty zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
8/31/06 @ Big12 Iowa St BCS 6 7 40,-,-,34,-
9/15/06 vs Big12 Kansas BCS 4.4 7 -,-,-,-,-
9/23/06 vs zAA McNeese St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/30/06 @ BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 7.4 9 36,18,36,28,-
9/1/05 vs zAA W Illinois zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/17/05 @ Indy Temple non 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
9/27/05 @ WAC Fresno St non 9 11 42,28,31,34,22
9/4/04 @ Big10 Minnesota BCS 7.2 10 17,-,-,34,17
9/11/04 @ Big12 Kansas BCS 4 6 -,-,-,-,-
9/25/04 vs BigEast Temple BCS 3 4 -,-,-,-,-
8/29/03 @ MtnWest UNLV non 4 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/6/03 vs zAA Liberty zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/20/03 vs BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 6 9 -,-,40,36,18
9/27/03 @ BigEast Syracuse BCS 7 10 24,35,-,14,-
8/29/02 vs zAA Cal Poly SLO zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/14/02 @ Big10 Minnesota BCS 5.2 8 -,-,17,-,-
9/21/02 vs MtnWest UNLV non 3.6 8 -,-,-,-,-
9/28/02 @ BigEast Pittsburgh BCS 5.4 7 -,-,-,40,36
8/30/01 vs Big10 Minnesota BCS 5.2 8 -,-,-,17,-
9/8/01 @ BigEast Temple BCS 2.4 4 -,-,-,-,-
10/27/01 vs Indy Navy non 5 9 27,-,-,-,-
9/2/00 @ Big10 Penn St BCS 9.6 11 12,7,17,15,11
9/9/00 vs zAA Weber St zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
9/16/00 vs zAA E Illinois zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/28/00 @ Indy Navy non 5.8 9 -,27,-,-,-
9/2/99 vs BigEast Syracuse BCS 8.4 9 30,16,19,20,24
9/25/99 vs zAA Massachusetts zAA 0 0 -,-,-,-,-
10/30/99 vs Indy Louisiana Tech non 5.8 9 -,-,-,29,-
9/5/98 vs BigEast Temple BCS 1.6 3 -,-,-,-,-
9/12/98 @ Big10 Ohio St BCS 10.2 11 10,9,8,2,12
10/3/98 vs Indy UCF non 2 5 -,-,-,-,-

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