Rankings: Week 8
Not too many changes this week. We've got two 8-0 teams, but Iowa is way ahead of Alabama right now. Why? It's not because the computer isn't factoring in their close calls - my program does contain margin of victory. So let's take a look at what they've each done, going from their best win to worse.
Iowa: @ Penn St (187.15) 21-10, vs Arizona (123.43) 27-17, @ Wisconsin (94.55) 20-10, vs Michigan (58.61) 30-28
Bama: v VA Tech (137.01) 34-24, vs S Carolina (126.56) 20-6, @ Ole Miss (82.03) 22-3, @ Kentucky (50.05) 38-20
Iowa: @ Iowa St (58.32) 35-3, @ Michigan St (12.29) 15-13, vs Arkansas St (-60.96) 24-21, vs N Iowa (I-AA) 17-16
Bama: vs Arkansas (-10.03) 35-7, vs Tennessee (-22.69) 12-10, vs Fla Intl (-154.44) 40-14, vs N Texas (-154.88) 53-7
Iowa has the best win overall, Penn State over Virginia Tech. Things are pretty even for wins 2-4, but then Bama gets into their negative opponents while Iowa still has two wins at opponents in positive territory. Significant advantage Iowa. Overall, Iowa has four wins on the road while Alabama only has two (plus one neutral site win). Big advantage Iowa. Iowa has 1 win by more than 2 TD's, 3 wins by less than 2 TD's, and 4 wins by less than one TD: Alabama has 5 wins by more than 2 TD's, 2 wins by less than 2 TD's, and 1 win by less than one TD. Advantage Bama.
So that's where they're coming from. This'll cease to matter though, since Alabama is headed for a championship game and one more opportunity to gain points while Iowa doesn't have that option.
Florida retakes #3 from Cincinnati, then there's a big jumble for spots #4-7, all between 7-0 teams within 4 points of each other. Pitt takes over the "best one-loss team" designation from USC, barely, but the Trojans have played one less game than the Panthers. On the bottom this week are Western Kentucky, Rice, and Eastern Michigan, all winless.
Washington still leads the nation in SoS, it's average opponent coming in at well over 100 points earned.
Week 8 Achievement Rankings | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Conf | Team | Pts | W | L | W% | oPts | oW | oL | oW% | rank∆ |
1 | Big10 | Iowa | 312.33 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | 381.97 | 52 | 33 | 61.2% | 0 |
2 | SEC | Alabama | 279.54 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | 1.14 | 42 | 38 | 52.5% | 0 |
3 | SEC | Florida | 245.25 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | -199.19 | 40 | 42 | 48.8% | 1 |
4 | BigEast | Cincinnati | 236.38 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | -157.93 | 41 | 39 | 51.3% | -1 |
5 | MtnWest | TCU | 233.20 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | -446.49 | 39 | 43 | 47.6% | 2 |
6 | WAC | Boise St | 232.76 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | -662.38 | 38 | 51 | 42.7% | -1 |
7 | Big12 | Texas | 231.15 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | 293.66 | 48 | 37 | 56.5% | -1 |
8 | BigEast | Pittsburgh | 209.45 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | 302.43 | 49 | 31 | 61.3% | 1 |
9 | Pac10 | USC | 203.27 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | 466.25 | 48 | 38 | 55.8% | 1 |
10 | ACC | Georgia Tech | 200.05 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | -195.05 | 41 | 41 | 50.0% | -2 |
11 | Big10 | Penn St | 187.15 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | -40.25 | 46 | 39 | 54.1% | 6 |
12 | Pac10 | Oregon | 182.22 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | 689.81 | 52 | 35 | 59.8% | 3 |
13 | MAC | Central Michigan | 174.63 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | -915.66 | 34 | 52 | 39.5% | -1 |
14 | SEC | LSU | 173.87 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | 371.95 | 49 | 40 | 55.1% | -1 |
15 | CUSA | Houston | 165.46 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | -631.49 | 37 | 46 | 44.6% | 3 |
16 | BigEast | West Virginia | 152.08 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | 306.91 | 49 | 32 | 60.5% | 5 |
17 | MtnWest | Utah | 149.63 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | -182.22 | 41 | 46 | 47.1% | 3 |
18 | Big12 | Oklahoma St | 149.43 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% | 26.67 | 44 | 37 | 54.3% | 4 |
19 | Big10 | Ohio St | 143.74 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 620.80 | 56 | 37 | 60.2% | 4 |
20 | ACC | Virginia Tech | 137.01 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 549.52 | 54 | 35 | 60.7% | -6 |
21 | SEC | South Carolina | 126.56 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 231.39 | 45 | 34 | 57.0% | 6 |
22 | Pac10 | Arizona | 123.43 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 641.59 | 52 | 30 | 63.4% | 7 |
23 | ACC | Miami (FL) | 120.79 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 207.99 | 47 | 33 | 58.8% | -7 |
24 | WAC | Idaho | 118.27 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -258.00 | 39 | 47 | 45.3% | -13 |
25 | MtnWest | Brigham Young | 115.90 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -194.18 | 41 | 46 | 47.1% | -6 |
26 | Indy | Navy | 113.58 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -581.31 | 42 | 48 | 46.7% | 4 |
27 | Indy | Notre Dame | 101.34 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 561.80 | 53 | 39 | 57.6% | 12 |
28 | Big10 | Wisconsin | 94.55 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 151.98 | 49 | 38 | 56.3% | 3 |
29 | Pac10 | California | 85.59 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 69.00 | 43 | 39 | 52.4% | 9 |
30 | SunBelt | Troy | 84.80 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | -554.32 | 33 | 50 | 39.8% | 10 |
31 | SEC | Mississippi | 82.03 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | -309.89 | 40 | 37 | 51.9% | 12 |
32 | BigEast | South Florida | 79.58 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | -164.51 | 42 | 33 | 56.0% | -7 |
33 | Big12 | Kansas | 76.78 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 164.43 | 48 | 34 | 58.5% | -9 |
34 | BigEast | Rutgers | 67.74 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | -358.86 | 40 | 36 | 52.6% | 16 |
35 | SEC | Auburn | 67.40 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 132.72 | 46 | 35 | 56.8% | -7 |
36 | Pac10 | Stanford | 61.51 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 454.45 | 47 | 38 | 55.3% | 13 |
37 | Big12 | Texas Tech | 60.16 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -18.67 | 44 | 36 | 55.0% | -11 |
38 | Big10 | Michigan | 58.61 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 79.54 | 47 | 38 | 55.3% | -6 |
39 | Big12 | Iowa St | 58.32 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 177.82 | 48 | 34 | 58.5% | 19 |
40 | Big12 | Oklahoma | 56.67 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 562.95 | 54 | 28 | 65.9% | 23 |
41 | Big12 | Kansas St | 55.66 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -280.76 | 40 | 34 | 54.1% | 14 |
42 | SEC | Georgia | 52.01 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 591.03 | 53 | 29 | 64.6% | -1 |
43 | ACC | Clemson | 51.58 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 230.22 | 49 | 34 | 59.0% | 23 |
44 | ACC | Boston College | 51.46 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -55.04 | 44 | 38 | 53.7% | -11 |
45 | CUSA | Marshall | 50.07 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -323.90 | 39 | 41 | 48.8% | 9 |
46 | SEC | Kentucky | 50.05 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -9.21 | 44 | 40 | 52.4% | 13 |
47 | MAC | Temple | 49.98 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | -1009.05 | 35 | 52 | 40.2% | 13 |
48 | Pac10 | Oregon St | 45.84 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 389.53 | 48 | 33 | 59.3% | -11 |
49 | BigEast | Connecticut | 37.33 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 460.80 | 52 | 28 | 65.0% | -13 |
50 | WAC | Nevada | 33.46 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -107.89 | 43 | 44 | 49.4% | 25 |
51 | Big12 | Nebraska | 32.53 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 249.25 | 46 | 39 | 54.1% | -16 |
52 | WAC | Fresno St | 32.42 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -217.23 | 41 | 39 | 51.3% | 18 |
53 | Big12 | Texas A&M | 29.42 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 47.02 | 44 | 43 | 50.6% | 26 |
54 | MAC | Ohio | 29.11 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -1168.99 | 29 | 55 | 34.5% | -20 |
55 | CUSA | East Carolina | 27.55 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -366.43 | 40 | 41 | 49.4% | -2 |
56 | Big10 | Northwestern | 27.16 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -418.11 | 39 | 46 | 45.9% | 15 |
57 | Big12 | Missouri | 24.29 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 50.04 | 45 | 36 | 55.6% | -9 |
58 | CUSA | Southern Miss | 24.09 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -366.32 | 39 | 41 | 48.8% | 11 |
59 | SunBelt | LA-Monroe | 23.53 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -580.09 | 34 | 43 | 44.2% | -12 |
60 | Pac10 | Arizona St | 23.15 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 301.73 | 46 | 35 | 56.8% | -18 |
61 | MAC | Northern Illinois | 21.34 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -861.42 | 36 | 50 | 41.9% | 13 |
62 | CUSA | Tulsa | 19.54 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -549.22 | 36 | 44 | 45.0% | -17 |
63 | Big10 | Minnesota | 14.98 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 362.36 | 51 | 33 | 60.7% | -11 |
64 | Big10 | Michigan St | 12.29 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 475.43 | 54 | 32 | 62.8% | -13 |
65 | CUSA | UCF | 12.09 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -284.66 | 41 | 41 | 50.0% | 16 |
66 | ACC | North Carolina | 11.70 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -59.07 | 43 | 31 | 58.1% | -22 |
67 | SunBelt | Mid Tenn St | 10.37 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -818.83 | 30 | 54 | 35.7% | 9 |
68 | SunBelt | LA-Lafayette | 9.26 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -582.20 | 34 | 43 | 44.2% | -22 |
69 | MtnWest | Wyoming | 2.72 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -119.41 | 43 | 39 | 52.4% | -2 |
70 | MtnWest | Air Force | 0.95 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -185.71 | 45 | 40 | 52.9% | -14 |
71 | Pac10 | Washington | -0.36 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 936.85 | 56 | 30 | 65.1% | -14 |
72 | ACC | Duke | -5.74 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -262.31 | 42 | 34 | 55.3% | 12 |
73 | ACC | Wake Forest | -9.82 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 106.05 | 47 | 36 | 56.6% | -12 |
74 | SEC | Arkansas | -10.05 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 557.17 | 53 | 29 | 64.6% | -10 |
75 | ACC | Florida St | -11.79 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 403.20 | 52 | 32 | 61.9% | 14 |
76 | MAC | Western Michigan | -12.87 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -886.14 | 36 | 51 | 41.4% | 10 |
77 | Pac10 | UCLA | -16.22 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 554.24 | 50 | 37 | 57.5% | -9 |
78 | Big10 | Indiana | -18.22 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 108.11 | 48 | 37 | 56.5% | -16 |
79 | SEC | Tennessee | -22.69 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 397.33 | 51 | 38 | 57.3% | -14 |
80 | MAC | Kent St | -24.71 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -902.11 | 34 | 51 | 40.0% | 11 |
81 | CUSA | UTEP | -26.93 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | -237.01 | 42 | 46 | 47.7% | 11 |
82 | MAC | Toledo | -27.54 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -702.21 | 36 | 55 | 39.6% | -10 |
83 | ACC | NC State | -32.48 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | -159.78 | 44 | 34 | 56.4% | 4 |
84 | Big12 | Baylor | -34.72 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 347.46 | 51 | 32 | 61.4% | -11 |
85 | MtnWest | San Diego St | -37.97 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | -190.24 | 45 | 40 | 52.9% | 10 |
86 | CUSA | SMU | -40.18 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | -325.75 | 40 | 41 | 49.4% | -6 |
87 | MAC | Bowling Green | -44.00 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -179.27 | 46 | 46 | 50.0% | -5 |
88 | BigEast | Syracuse | -46.43 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 489.27 | 53 | 29 | 64.6% | 10 |
89 | ACC | Virginia | -48.33 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 453.93 | 53 | 30 | 63.9% | -12 |
90 | WAC | Louisiana Tech | -48.39 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% | 36.23 | 46 | 36 | 56.1% | -12 |
91 | Big10 | Purdue | -53.37 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 448.83 | 53 | 38 | 58.2% | 10 |
92 | SunBelt | Florida Atl | -53.46 | 2 | 4 | 33.3% | -445.46 | 37 | 47 | 44.0% | 11 |
93 | SEC | Mississippi St | -53.76 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 843.15 | 57 | 25 | 69.5% | -8 |
94 | MtnWest | Colorado St | -58.19 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -84.44 | 45 | 38 | 54.2% | -11 |
95 | SunBelt | Arkansas St | -60.96 | 2 | 4 | 33.3% | -516.30 | 35 | 43 | 44.9% | 7 |
96 | MAC | Buffalo | -65.07 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -345.62 | 43 | 43 | 50.0% | -8 |
97 | MtnWest | UNLV | -77.34 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -142.79 | 43 | 38 | 53.1% | 7 |
98 | BigEast | Louisville | -78.55 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | 620.94 | 54 | 25 | 68.4% | -5 |
99 | Big12 | Colorado | -79.77 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | 726.64 | 57 | 31 | 64.8% | -9 |
100 | CUSA | UAB | -93.24 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -183.69 | 42 | 44 | 48.8% | -4 |
101 | Indy | Army | -97.02 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -875.16 | 35 | 47 | 42.7% | -7 |
102 | CUSA | Memphis | -101.19 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -32.14 | 45 | 35 | 56.3% | 4 |
103 | WAC | New Mexico St | -102.90 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -404.18 | 41 | 45 | 47.7% | -6 |
104 | WAC | Utah St | -103.86 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | 20.74 | 46 | 35 | 56.8% | 8 |
105 | CUSA | Tulane | -105.48 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -155.22 | 45 | 38 | 54.2% | -6 |
106 | WAC | Hawaii | -107.73 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -251.20 | 46 | 43 | 51.7% | -6 |
107 | WAC | San Jose St | -118.57 | 1 | 5 | 16.7% | 159.76 | 48 | 34 | 58.5% | 2 |
108 | ACC | Maryland | -137.61 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 13.44 | 45 | 35 | 56.3% | -3 |
109 | SEC | Vanderbilt | -145.51 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 199.06 | 48 | 35 | 57.8% | -2 |
110 | SunBelt | Florida Intl | -154.44 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | 151.94 | 46 | 38 | 54.8% | -2 |
111 | SunBelt | North Texas | -154.88 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | -455.77 | 39 | 47 | 45.3% | 2 |
112 | Big10 | Illinois | -161.63 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | 378.30 | 53 | 33 | 61.6% | -2 |
113 | Pac10 | Washington St | -165.42 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | 661.86 | 51 | 35 | 59.3% | 1 |
114 | MAC | Akron | -169.51 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | -283.58 | 45 | 40 | 52.9% | -3 |
115 | MAC | Miami (OH) | -233.29 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 472.59 | 55 | 36 | 60.4% | 2 |
116 | MtnWest | New Mexico | -242.73 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 335.12 | 52 | 38 | 57.8% | -1 |
117 | MAC | Ball St | -254.80 | 1 | 7 | 12.5% | -472.93 | 42 | 43 | 49.4% | 3 |
118 | MAC | Eastern Michigan | -259.36 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | -264.79 | 46 | 46 | 50.0% | -2 |
119 | SunBelt | Western Kentucky | -271.70 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | -385.08 | 38 | 40 | 48.7% | 0 |
120 | CUSA | Rice | -271.96 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 136.46 | 47 | 40 | 54.0% | -2 |
No changes in the conference rankings this week, though the BigEast did pad their lead...
Here's the breakdown at 2009 Non-Conference Games.
Week 8 Conference Achievement Rankings | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Avg Points | Conference | non-conf W | non-conf L | non-conf W% | non-conf oPts | non-conf oW | non-conf oL | non-conf oW% |
1 | 70.72 | BigEast | 28 | 7 | 80.0% | -3204.82 | 89 | 111 | 44.5% |
2 | 53.00 | SEC | 28 | 5 | 84.8% | -2498.54 | 86 | 116 | 42.6% |
3 | 43.56 | Big12 | 34 | 13 | 72.3% | -2944.93 | 133 | 154 | 46.3% |
4 | 42.72 | Big10 | 28 | 10 | 73.7% | -2197.04 | 112 | 115 | 49.3% |
5 | 41.37 | Pac10 | 20 | 8 | 71.4% | 75.49 | 105 | 76 | 58.0% |
6 | 18.71 | ACC | 25 | 15 | 62.5% | -1669.31 | 134 | 83 | 61.8% |
7 | 9.21 | MtnWest | 20 | 15 | 57.1% | -1802.70 | 103 | 115 | 47.2% |
8 | -4.34 | WAC | 17 | 17 | 50.0% | -1531.95 | 108 | 105 | 50.7% |
9 | -23.73 | CUSA | 18 | 25 | 41.9% | -1063.78 | 150 | 111 | 57.5% |
10 | -51.79 | MAC | 15 | 33 | 31.3% | -1157.75 | 171 | 135 | 55.9% |
11 | -53.39 | SunBelt | 8 | 23 | 25.8% | 387.38 | 125 | 82 | 60.4% |
(For the following, good & bad losses are ones that have earned or lost more than 40 points.)
#1 BigEast
Went 2-0 this week, beating Army & Akron. Overall though, their opponents lost them some ground, going 13-23
Good Wins: Pittsburgh cs 6-2 Navy, Cincy @ 4-3 Oregon St
Bad Losses: None
#2 SEC
1-0 this weekend, beating LA-Monroe, but their opponents went 13-17 - the cupcakes are still dragging them down.
Good Wins: Alabama v 5-2 Virginia Tech, Auburn vs 6-1 West Virginia
Bad Losses: None
#3 Big12
Their opponents went 14-20 this week, dropping their total a bit.
Good Wins: Missouri @ 4-3 Nevada
Bad Losses: Colorado vs 3-5 Colorado St
#4 Big10
Their opponents were 20-10 this week, helping them slightly.
Good Wins: Iowa @ 5-3 Iowa State, Iowa vs 5-2 Arizona, Ohio State vs 6-2 Navy
Bad Losses: None
#5 Pac10
Their opponents were 13-8, which helps minutely.
Good Wins: USC @ 6-2 Ohio State, Washington vs 6-2 Idaho, Arizona vs 7-1 Central Michigan, USC @ 5-2 Notre Dame, Oregon @ 6-1 Utah.
Bad Losses: Washington State vs 2-5 Hawaii
#6 ACC
26-13 opponents will boost you a bit, but losing to Notre Dame and Navy hurts big.
Good Wins: NC State vs 7-1 Pittsburgh, Florida State @ 6-2 BYU,
Bad Losses: Virginia vs I-AA William & Mary, Duke vs I-AA Richmond
#7 MtnWest
Their opponents went 12-16 this weekend - not helping.
Good Wins: TCU @ 4-3 Clemson
Bad Losses: New Mexico vs 3-5 New Mexico State
#8 WAC
Their opponents went 15-11 this weekend, which is better than last week.
Good Wins: Boise State @ 5-1 Oregon
Bad Losses: None
#9 CUSA
0-0 this weekend, while their opponent went 15-18.
Good Wins: Houston @ 6-1 Oklahoma State
Bad Losses: UTEP vs 3-5 Buffalot, SMU @ 1-6 Washington St, Rice vs 2-6 Vanderbilt
#10 MAC
0-1, losing to Syracuse. Not good.
Good Wins: None
Bad Losses: Ball State vs I-AA New Hampshire, Temple vs I-AA Villanova, Ball State vs 1-6 North Texas, Eastern Michigan vs 3-5 Army
#11 SunBelt
And still at the bottom because of the loss to Kentucky.
Good Wins: None
Bad Losses: Western Kentucky vs I-AA Central Arkansas, Middle TN St vs 3-5 Mississippi St
No comments:
Post a Comment