Monday, November 16, 2009

Week 11 Rankings

Little late with the rankings this week... busy busy. The power rankings will be up later today.

Things are getting pretty bunched up at the top. Alabama and Florida are still #1 & #2, but TCU has moved into the #3 slot, bumping Cincinnati & Texas to #4 & #5. All are within 24 points of each other, but the advantage will go to probably Texas and Alabama or Florida because of their conference championship games.

Something that obviously needs addressed is that USC is sitting at #13, only having dropped 2 spots. I was pretty shocked at that - these are achievement rankings, and getting plastered by Stanford at home isn't much of an achievement. They're even in front of 8-2 LSU, for crying out loud! What's going on here? Well, part of it is how far the top 15 are spread out. The top 5 are all at 360 or more, but then there's major drop-offs: Only Boise State, Georgia Tech, and Ohio State are over 300, and only Iowa, Pitt, and Oregon are over 250. So there's a wide difference to account for there.

Another thing is the fact that the Trojans have played a rough schedule (according to my rankings, of course) - of the top 40 teams, only Oregon and Virginia Tech have played tougher. They only dropped -15 points, and the loss to Stanford cost them -30, but their big road wins cushioned their fall. Ohio State beat Iowa, making the win in Sept look even better and gaining almost ten points for that game alone, & California beat Arizona, gaining the Trojans another 7+ points. The win over Ohio State is easily the best non-conference win by any team (the next closest is Houston's over Oklahoma State), and it's also the biggest point-gaining win overall (Northwestern over Iowa is the only other game that's earned 70+ points). In comparison, LSU's best win was at Georgia, and that only earned them 47+ points - USC has four wins that have earned that much. As far as losses go, LSU has lost far fewer points, losing to Florida & Alabama, but it's the Trojans big road wins that are keeping them up.

Week 11 Achievement Rankings
Rank Conf Team Pts W L W% oPts oW oL oW% rank∆
1 SEC Alabama 388.55 10 0 100.0% 113.16 61 51 54.5% 0
2 SEC Florida 379.89 10 0 100.0% -79.81 58 56 50.9% 0
3 MtnWest TCU 372.56 10 0 100.0% -602.45 55 58 48.7% 2
4 BigEast Cincinnati 366.12 10 0 100.0% -87.97 57 52 52.3% -1
5 Big12 Texas 364.42 10 0 100.0% 83.84 63 57 52.5% -1
6 WAC Boise St 336.75 10 0 100.0% -1037.65 52 71 42.3% 1
7 ACC Georgia Tech 324.13 10 1 90.9% -82.94 57 57 50.0% 1
8 Big10 Ohio St 308.96 9 2 81.8% 444.53 70 57 55.1% 1
9 Big10 Iowa 292.22 9 2 81.8% 328.82 68 49 58.1% -3
10 BigEast Pittsburgh 275.40 9 1 90.0% 187.57 62 47 56.9% 0
11 Pac10 Oregon 253.25 8 2 80.0% 943.39 69 51 57.5% 2
12 Big10 Penn St 225.26 9 2 81.8% -148.81 62 56 52.5% 3
13 Pac10 USC 212.47 7 3 70.0% 699.10 64 55 53.8% -2
14 SEC LSU 209.28 8 2 80.0% 509.80 66 56 54.1% 3
15 ACC Virginia Tech 205.10 7 3 70.0% 875.68 73 48 60.3% 3
16 Big12 Oklahoma St 202.32 8 2 80.0% 23.19 61 51 54.5% 4
17 CUSA Houston 197.12 8 2 80.0% -974.85 49 63 43.8% -5
18 Big10 Wisconsin 194.03 8 2 80.0% 173.35 67 53 55.8% 1
19 ACC Miami (FL) 186.86 7 3 70.0% 465.99 66 46 58.9% -3
20 MtnWest Utah 178.54 8 2 80.0% -268.69 57 64 47.1% -6
21 MtnWest Brigham Young 174.29 8 2 80.0% -307.05 58 64 47.5% 2
22 MAC Central Michigan 171.15 8 2 80.0% -1293.55 46 67 40.7% 2
23 Pac10 Stanford 170.78 7 3 70.0% 353.02 59 60 49.6% 11
24 Pac10 Oregon St 162.49 7 3 70.0% 457.69 62 49 55.9% 5
25 Indy Navy 159.95 8 3 72.7% -588.76 61 63 49.2% 1
26 ACC Clemson 159.77 7 3 70.0% 283.84 65 50 56.5% 4
27 Pac10 Arizona 142.10 6 3 66.7% 651.19 66 47 58.4% -5
28 ACC North Carolina 139.12 7 3 70.0% -70.97 58 44 56.9% 13
29 BigEast Rutgers 139.00 7 2 77.8% -605.30 52 49 51.5% 8
30 ACC Boston College 134.62 7 3 70.0% -129.04 58 54 51.8% 6
31 Pac10 California 134.00 7 3 70.0% 43.73 56 55 50.5% 9
32 Big12 Nebraska 132.81 7 3 70.0% -110.57 59 61 49.2% 7
33 SunBelt Troy 131.02 7 3 70.0% -507.18 54 64 45.8% -12
34 MAC Temple 130.12 8 2 80.0% -1507.79 45 69 39.5% -2
35 BigEast West Virginia 119.84 7 3 70.0% 331.44 64 45 58.7% -10
36 SEC Mississippi 113.06 7 3 70.0% -373.67 55 51 51.9% 6
37 WAC Nevada 110.66 7 3 70.0% -388.34 56 65 46.3% 6
38 SEC Auburn 106.13 7 4 63.6% 213.02 63 49 56.3% -11
39 BigEast South Florida 98.43 6 3 66.7% -248.18 56 46 54.9% -11
40 SEC Georgia 95.37 6 4 60.0% 769.54 72 44 62.1% 11
41 SEC Arkansas 92.81 6 4 60.0% 682.63 70 43 61.9% 6
42 SunBelt Mid Tenn St 87.99 7 3 70.0% -1225.56 43 75 36.4% 3
43 Indy Notre Dame 85.39 6 4 60.0% 684.41 68 55 55.3% -8
44 WAC Idaho 83.10 7 4 63.6% -492.05 54 65 45.4% -13
45 Big10 Northwestern 82.94 7 4 63.6% -668.14 53 65 44.9% 1
46 WAC Fresno St 77.48 6 4 60.0% -258.55 59 53 52.7% -13
47 MtnWest Air Force 76.94 7 4 63.6% -344.59 60 55 52.2% 3
48 MAC Ohio 75.86 7 3 70.0% -1456.53 43 69 38.4% 4
49 Big12 Oklahoma 72.66 6 4 60.0% 529.30 70 43 61.9% 0
50 Big12 Missouri 72.57 6 4 60.0% 87.45 64 50 56.1% 8
51 SEC Kentucky 67.41 6 4 60.0% 87.01 61 55 52.6% 4
52 MAC Northern Illinois 65.16 7 3 70.0% -1324.48 47 68 40.9% -4
53 Big12 Texas Tech 64.72 6 4 60.0% -146.41 60 52 53.6% -15
54 CUSA UCF 64.46 6 4 60.0% -368.20 56 55 50.5% 7
55 CUSA East Carolina 61.60 6 4 60.0% -388.70 56 55 50.5% 1
56 SEC South Carolina 50.65 6 5 54.5% 534.55 66 45 59.5% -12
57 ACC Florida St 50.18 5 5 50.0% 824.78 72 41 63.7% 9
58 Big10 Michigan St 41.45 6 5 54.5% 375.54 70 48 59.3% 6
59 CUSA Southern Miss 37.99 6 4 60.0% -808.52 51 61 45.5% 9
60 Big10 Minnesota 34.55 6 5 54.5% 661.15 72 46 61.0% 3
61 CUSA SMU 33.18 6 4 60.0% -591.06 54 58 48.2% 1
62 SunBelt LA-Monroe 30.65 6 4 60.0% -918.46 49 61 44.5% -2
63 SEC Tennessee 27.09 5 5 50.0% 464.83 68 55 55.3% -9
64 Big12 Iowa St 21.77 6 5 54.5% -84.78 62 51 54.9% 3
65 Pac10 UCLA 18.05 5 5 50.0% 662.70 65 55 54.2% 5
66 MAC Bowling Green 16.74 5 5 50.0% -365.58 59 62 48.8% 5
67 Big12 Kansas St 3.68 6 5 54.5% -628.00 54 50 51.9% -14
68 BigEast Connecticut -3.83 4 5 44.4% 678.04 70 39 64.2% 4
69 Big12 Texas A&M -3.91 5 5 50.0% 87.06 63 59 51.6% -12
70 CUSA UAB -8.54 5 5 50.0% -333.47 57 62 47.9% 8
71 CUSA Marshall -10.01 5 5 50.0% -411.55 56 55 50.5% -12
72 SEC Mississippi St -22.20 4 6 40.0% 1353.37 81 33 71.1% -3
73 Big12 Kansas -25.22 5 5 50.0% 22.01 64 49 56.6% -8
74 MtnWest Wyoming -28.84 5 5 50.0% -187.89 60 53 53.1% 12
75 SunBelt LA-Lafayette -49.12 5 5 50.0% -852.08 51 59 46.4% -1
76 MAC Kent St -51.10 5 5 50.0% -1192.77 48 67 41.7% 6
77 ACC Duke -51.96 5 5 50.0% -526.37 54 50 51.9% -4
78 Big10 Purdue -53.41 4 7 36.4% 649.20 73 53 57.9% -2
79 BigEast Louisville -54.92 4 6 40.0% 586.69 68 39 63.6% 10
80 Pac10 Washington -55.21 3 7 30.0% 1167.74 73 47 60.8% -5
81 Pac10 Arizona St -55.82 4 6 40.0% 499.86 63 48 56.8% -2
82 Big12 Baylor -56.24 4 6 40.0% 379.60 67 46 59.3% -2
83 Big10 Michigan -61.12 5 6 45.5% -5.05 63 55 53.4% -6
84 MAC Western Michigan -78.50 5 6 45.5% -1582.30 44 71 38.3% 7
85 ACC Wake Forest -78.81 4 7 36.4% 393.38 66 47 58.4% -1
86 ACC NC State -79.83 4 6 40.0% -159.05 59 46 56.2% -5
87 MtnWest San Diego St -84.79 4 6 40.0% -367.91 60 55 52.2% -4
88 CUSA Tulsa -97.70 4 6 40.0% -867.03 51 60 45.9% -3
89 WAC Hawaii -101.16 4 6 40.0% -475.79 62 62 50.0% 10
90 MtnWest UNLV -101.53 4 7 36.4% -31.86 63 49 56.3% -3
91 SunBelt Florida Atl -101.91 3 6 33.3% -609.07 55 65 45.8% 12
92 Big10 Indiana -109.69 4 7 36.4% -14.69 64 55 53.8% -4
93 MAC Toledo -110.63 4 6 40.0% -731.36 54 70 43.5% -3
94 BigEast Syracuse -124.95 3 7 30.0% 654.22 71 40 64.0% -2
95 Indy Army -127.75 4 6 40.0% -1284.75 49 65 43.0% 7
96 WAC Louisiana Tech -128.83 3 7 30.0% -25.16 64 50 56.1% -2
97 MtnWest Colorado St -129.39 3 7 30.0% -156.08 63 52 54.8% 4
98 Big10 Illinois -135.09 3 7 30.0% 585.83 72 47 60.5% -5
99 ACC Virginia -138.44 3 7 30.0% 854.91 73 40 64.6% -3
100 MAC Buffalo -140.92 3 7 30.0% -498.91 59 55 51.8% -3
101 Big12 Colorado -141.84 3 7 30.0% 619.42 72 50 59.0% -6
102 SunBelt Florida Intl -155.40 3 7 30.0% 95.16 63 54 53.8% 5
103 WAC Utah St -161.16 3 7 30.0% -134.71 62 50 55.4% 7
104 CUSA UTEP -167.49 3 7 30.0% -567.80 55 65 45.8% -4
105 SunBelt Arkansas St -176.73 2 7 22.2% -714.12 53 58 47.7% -1
106 CUSA Tulane -184.66 3 7 30.0% -375.83 59 52 53.2% -8
107 WAC New Mexico St -204.01 3 7 30.0% -716.73 57 65 46.7% -2
108 CUSA Memphis -206.31 2 8 20.0% -101.64 62 49 55.9% -2
109 ACC Maryland -211.77 2 8 20.0% 155.94 63 48 56.8% 0
110 WAC San Jose St -217.55 1 8 11.1% 140.81 65 48 57.5% -2
111 SunBelt North Texas -225.71 2 8 20.0% -637.49 55 63 46.6% 0
112 SEC Vanderbilt -226.00 2 9 18.2% 422.39 67 46 59.3% 1
113 MAC Akron -230.40 2 8 20.0% -536.74 59 54 52.2% -1
114 Pac10 Washington St -247.35 1 9 10.0% 999.53 70 49 58.8% 0
115 MAC Miami (OH) -267.07 1 10 9.1% 759.98 77 45 63.1% 0
116 CUSA Rice -285.14 1 9 10.0% 98.97 65 57 53.3% 1
117 MAC Ball St -342.81 1 9 10.0% -698.93 58 55 51.3% -1
118 MtnWest New Mexico -367.55 0 10 0.0% 216.87 67 55 54.9% 0
119 MAC Eastern Michigan -384.47 0 10 0.0% -460.10 62 61 50.4% 0
120 SunBelt Western Kentucky -397.84 0 10 0.0% -551.08 55 55 50.0% 0

Nothing changes in the conference race - I'll have more to say about that later this week...

Here's the breakdown at 2009 Non-Conference Games.

Week 11 Conference Achievement Rankings
Rank Avg Points Conference non-conf W non-conf L non-conf W% non-conf oPts non-conf oW non-conf oL non-conf oW%
1 78.43 BigEast 30 7 81.1% -4346.29 134 154 46.5%
2 65.96 SEC 37 6 86.0% -5583.16 147 200 42.4%
3 45.40 Big10 31 10 75.6% -4521.44 154 182 45.8%
4 41.58 Big12 35 13 72.9% -4799.82 183 219 45.5%
5 39.28 Pac10 20 9 69.0% -220.35 146 116 55.7%
6 29.55 ACC 29 15 65.9% -2849.91 192 127 60.2%
7 9.67 MtnWest 21 15 58.3% -2771.44 151 161 48.4%
8 -14.09 WAC 17 19 47.2% -1969.29 160 149 51.8%
9 -33.58 CUSA 19 29 39.6% -1165.65 231 172 57.3%
10 -60.60 MAC 16 36 30.8% -1714.31 253 205 55.2%
11 -65.37 SunBelt 8 26 23.5% 684.47 184 124 59.7%

(For the following, great & bad losses are ones that have earned or lost more than 50 points.)

#1 BigEast
Great Wins: Cincy @ 7-3 Oregon St
Bad Losses: None

#2 SEC
Great Wins: Alabama v 7-3 Virginia Tech
Bad Losses: None

#3 Big10
Great Wins: None
Bad Losses: None

#4 Big12
Great Wins: Missouri @ 7-3 Nevada
Bad Losses: Colorado vs 3-7 Colorado St

#5 Pac10
Great Wins: USC @ 9-2 Ohio State
Bad Losses: Washington State vs 4-6 Hawaii

#6 ACC
Great Wins: NC State vs 9-1 Pittsburgh, Florida State @ 8-2 BYU, Boston College vs 8-2 Central Michigan
Bad Losses: Virginia vs I-AA William & Mary, Duke vs I-AA Richmond

#7 MtnWest
Great Wins: TCU @ 7-3 Clemson
Bad Losses: New Mexico vs 3-7 New Mexico State

#8 WAC
Great Wins: Boise State @ 8-2 Oregon
Bad Losses: New Mexico State vs 3-7 UTEP

#9 CUSA
Great Wins: Houston @ 8-2 Oklahoma State
Bad Losses: SMU @ 1-9 Washington St, Rice vs 2-9 Vanderbilt, UTEP vs 3-7 Buffalo

#10 MAC
Great Wins: Temple @ 8-3 Navy
Bad Losses: Ball State vs I-AA New Hampshire, Temple vs I-AA Villanova, Ball State vs 2-8 North Texas, Eastern Michigan vs 4-6 Army, Akron vs 4-7 Indiana

#11 SunBelt
Great Wins: None
Bad Losses: Western Kentucky vs I-AA Central Arkansas

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