Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Week 12 Power Ranks

Okay, let's break these numbers down a bit more, focusing on the front-runners for the title game.

Well well, it appears that Boise State is catching up to TCU in more areas than one. The Broncos and Horned Frogs are heads and shoulders above everyone else in the FBS in total power, the only two teams over 140% on offense and at 50% on defense. The defensive stats pop out - they're either first or second in all defensive categories, followed by Ohio State and Alabama. On offense they continue to put up top-10 numbers, gaining around 150% of what their opponents usually allow. Solid.

A lot has been made of the Oregon and Auburn defenses, and if they're stout enough to get it done when it counts. First off, both are better than average. They allow 93.3% & 90.4% of their opponents' average yards, and 83.5% and 86.2% of their opponents average points, respectively. So Oregon's ypg rank is #44, while their ppg rank is just outside the top-20 at #21 - not much to worry about there. Same with Auburn, ranked #31 in ypg and #35 in ppg. Are they offense-killers like TCU and Boise State? No, but they don't need to be with their top-5 offenses. And they're certainly not as bad as some people are making them out to be.

Other interesting notes...

● Alabama is just ahead of Auburn, being 40% worse on offense but 23% better on defense. Should be a great game Friday.

● Arkansas is right between the Alabama schools, and a bit better than LSU.

● 7-4 Iowa and Miami (FL) and 7-3 West Virginia are better than advertised...

● Nevada, Michigan State, and Northwestern are probably overrated...

● Georgia is the highest ranked sub-.500 team at 29th overall, a good 30+ spots higher than Georgia Tech.

Week 11 Power Rankings
W L Conf Team YPG YPG% PPG PPG% dYPG dYPG% dPPG dPPG% Offense Defense Total
10 0 WAC Boise St 528.8 136% 47.9 174% 229.2 062% 11.5 039% 155% 050% a153%
11 0 MtnWest TCU 493.5 133% 39.2 156% 230.5 060% 11.3 038% 144% 049% aa148%
10 1 Big10 Ohio St 446.2 123% 39.6 153% 241.1 063% 13.9 051% 138% 057% aaa114%
10 0 Pac10 Oregon 530.4 137% 48.7 184% 334.9 093% 19.1 074% 161% 084% aaaa80%
9 2 SEC Alabama 430.3 115% 32.5 125% 306.3 082% 13.4 045% 120% 064% aaaaa77%
11 0 SEC Auburn 492.9 145% 40.9 176% 358.6 090% 25.0 082% 161% 086% b77%
9 2 SEC Arkansas 488.8 138% 37.3 162% 359.6 091% 24.7 083% 150% 087% bb65%
7 4 Big10 Iowa 390.0 106% 28.8 119% 326.6 079% 16.3 053% 112% 066% bbb65%
10 1 Pac10 Stanford 460.3 125% 39.4 157% 348.1 091% 19.7 072% 141% 082% bbbb63%
10 1 SEC LSU 341.5 098% 29.0 128% 293.7 076% 17.2 059% 113% 067% bbbbb62%
8 3 SEC S Carolina 404.0 113% 33.2 143% 348.8 086% 21.6 065% 128% 075% c61%
9 2 Big12 Nebraska 434.0 111% 34.3 129% 300.3 076% 18.1 066% 120% 071% cc60%
10 1 Big12 Oklahoma St 552.0 143% 45.3 165% 396.9 098% 26.0 091% 154% 095% ccc60%
9 2 ACC Virginia Tech 415.7 115% 36.5 153% 366.0 095% 18.7 064% 134% 079% cccc60%
9 2 Big12 Oklahoma 471.2 124% 36.6 148% 369.0 092% 20.4 073% 136% 083% ccccc57%
7 4 ACC Miami (FL) 431.3 125% 26.0 126% 340.2 088% 21.3 074% 125% 081% d49%
9 2 Big12 Missouri 397.8 107% 27.9 116% 382.2 096% 16.9 053% 112% 075% dd45%
8 3 Big12 Texas A&M 446.6 112% 31.0 114% 366.5 084% 22.0 068% 113% 076% ddd45%
7 3 BigEast West Virginia 359.6 101% 24.3 097% 251.7 076% 14.3 062% 099% 069% dddd44%
10 1 Big10 Wisconsin 422.5 112% 38.0 150% 344.1 093% 22.0 089% 131% 091% ddddd41%
8 3 ACC NC State 396.6 108% 31.2 135% 348.9 091% 22.5 078% 122% 085% e40%
7 4 SEC Florida 345.9 099% 29.6 130% 302.8 084% 21.2 077% 114% 080% ee39%
7 3 Pac10 Arizona 429.4 115% 27.4 111% 326.2 090% 19.4 070% 113% 080% eee38%
9 2 MtnWest Utah 414.6 108% 37.3 128% 322.1 089% 20.2 078% 118% 084% eeee38%
6 4 BigEast Pittsburgh 351.2 103% 26.6 126% 303.1 085% 19.6 078% 114% 082% eeeee37%
6 5 Indy Notre Dame 385.7 106% 26.3 112% 361.5 090% 20.9 068% 109% 079% f36%
10 1 WAC Nevada 536.2 136% 43.6 146% 368.8 113% 21.5 098% 141% 105% ff36%
8 3 ACC Florida St 387.5 108% 29.0 128% 352.0 095% 20.1 076% 118% 086% fff35%
5 6 SEC Georgia 385.0 104% 31.4 116% 336.7 086% 23.6 076% 110% 081% ffff34%
8 3 WAC Hawaii 456.8 115% 33.5 116% 363.5 090% 24.3 080% 115% 085% fffff33%
8 3 CUSA UCF 385.6 094% 34.7 104% 330.3 084% 20.3 068% 099% 076% g31%
9 2 MAC N Illinois 426.8 115% 37.7 139% 339.8 101% 20.2 092% 127% 097% gg30%
10 1 Big10 Michigan St 401.7 106% 30.3 119% 339.1 089% 21.2 085% 113% 087% ggg27%
6 5 Big10 Illinois 382.3 103% 32.7 130% 353.6 086% 26.3 095% 117% 091% gggg27%
7 4 Big10 Michigan 513.5 147% 36.3 155% 445.8 124% 33.2 127% 151% 125% ggggg26%
7 4 SEC MissSt 366.8 100% 24.5 088% 364.1 088% 20.5 064% 094% 076% h25%
7 4 Pac10 USC 443.1 121% 32.6 135% 413.3 105% 28.5 101% 128% 103% hh25%
6 5 ACC Clemson 339.5 093% 22.1 087% 328.3 087% 16.3 061% 090% 074% hhh24%
7 4 MtnWest San Diego St 426.7 117% 32.5 149% 382.2 107% 25.9 114% 133% 110% hhhh22%
8 3 MAC Temple 347.2 096% 26.6 101% 309.3 092% 18.2 069% 098% 081% hhhhh22%
5 6 BigEast Louisville 369.5 101% 24.9 097% 309.6 086% 19.8 077% 099% 081% i21%
8 4 MtnWest Air Force 421.2 115% 29.3 109% 355.5 096% 22.4 089% 112% 093% ii20%
5 5 Pac10 Oregon St 331.4 099% 27.3 138% 393.1 102% 24.7 096% 118% 099% iii19%
6 5 SEC Kentucky 435.5 122% 33.3 126% 354.8 098% 29.7 112% 124% 105% iiii19%
4 6 BigEast Cincinnati 439.0 138% 28.7 137% 376.9 110% 29.2 127% 138% 119% iiiii19%
7 5 Big12 Baylor 479.9 128% 32.5 122% 448.4 111% 32.3 105% 125% 108% j17%
6 5 ACC N Carolina 364.2 100% 25.4 109% 360.0 093% 23.9 085% 104% 089% jj17%
7 4 Big10 Penn St 372.2 106% 22.9 088% 363.5 091% 22.9 076% 097% 084% jjj17%
5 6 Pac10 California 320.4 083% 24.5 099% 339.7 080% 25.2 079% 091% 080% jjjj16%
5 6 Big12 Texas 384.6 095% 24.4 088% 294.2 076% 23.5 087% 091% 081% jjjjj13%
8 3 CUSA Sou. Miss 447.1 109% 36.7 115% 350.1 090% 29.0 109% 112% 099% k13%
6 5 CUSA SMU 420.4 106% 26.7 095% 358.9 089% 26.2 091% 101% 090% kk12%
8 3 CUSA Tulsa 486.9 117% 37.9 116% 442.9 112% 29.5 097% 117% 104% kkk12%
4 6 Pac10 Arizona St 390.1 105% 25.9 101% 384.0 099% 26.0 086% 103% 092% kkkk11%
8 3 Indy Navy 436.2 107% 32.8 109% 407.6 108% 24.4 095% 108% 102% kkkkk6%
5 6 CUSA Houston 468.4 121% 36.4 131% 436.1 118% 32.3 125% 126% 121% l5%
6 5 Big12 Kansas St 358.9 094% 30.6 118% 439.0 112% 27.7 102% 106% 107% ll-1%
7 4 ACC Maryland 333.1 090% 26.8 104% 371.8 099% 23.4 098% 097% 098% lll-1%
4 7 SEC Mississippi 399.3 111% 29.6 114% 393.7 104% 34.2 124% 113% 114% llll-2%
7 4 MAC Toledo 347.1 096% 26.3 101% 358.5 100% 27.8 103% 098% 102% lllll-3%
6 5 Indy Army 333.9 089% 28.4 106% 337.7 093% 26.4 109% 098% 101% m-3%
6 5 MtnWest BYU 359.7 090% 24.7 079% 342.9 092% 21.8 083% 085% 088% mm-4%
6 5 ACC Georgia Tech 407.8 106% 25.6 096% 384.7 107% 26.2 107% 101% 107% mmm-6%
6 4 BigEast S Florida 283.7 085% 20.4 083% 333.1 096% 20.1 081% 084% 088% mmmm-6%
5 5 SunBelt Florida Intl 402.7 108% 28.2 096% 368.3 106% 27.1 114% 102% 110% mmmmm-8%
5 6 MAC W Michigan 401.4 107% 29.8 103% 401.7 117% 26.5 109% 105% 113% n-8%
4 6 WAC LA Tech 396.8 109% 26.6 102% 471.6 119% 32.1 109% 106% 114% nn-8%
8 3 MAC Ohio 321.9 086% 29.7 103% 336.6 104% 22.3 102% 095% 103% nnn-9%
4 6 Pac10 Washington 345.3 099% 21.4 098% 412.3 103% 33.3 111% 098% 107% nnnn-9%
6 5 Big12 Texas Tech 427.4 110% 28.6 105% 451.3 113% 32.3 122% 107% 118% nnnnn-10%
6 4 BigEast Connecticut 318.6 095% 22.7 098% 371.4 112% 22.4 103% 096% 107% o-11%
7 4 BigEast Syracuse 298.4 084% 18.3 076% 293.2 087% 20.0 089% 080% 088% oo-11%
6 4 WAC Fresno St 350.9 086% 30.4 101% 371.7 093% 32.2 116% 094% 105% ooo-12%
4 7 SunBelt Arkansas St 412.1 109% 30.5 106% 434.2 118% 30.7 121% 107% 120% oooo-12%
5 6 SEC Tennessee 312.3 087% 25.0 092% 405.1 108% 28.2 095% 090% 101% ooooo-13%
3 8 MAC C Michigan 386.5 102% 22.9 085% 397.9 111% 27.0 101% 093% 106% p-13%
6 5 CUSA E Carolina 444.9 116% 38.2 143% 481.5 127% 43.3 159% 130% 143% pp-13%
3 8 SunBelt North Texas 367.6 095% 22.4 069% 380.4 109% 27.9 118% 081% 112% ppp-13%
6 5 ACC Boston Coll 297.6 078% 17.3 067% 309.9 084% 20.7 078% 072% 081% pppp-14%
5 6 WAC Idaho 385.0 102% 25.5 093% 431.2 108% 32.2 116% 097% 112% ppppp-15%
7 4 Big10 Northwestern 399.1 105% 24.5 091% 416.6 118% 25.9 109% 098% 113% q-15%
2 9 Big10 Minnesota 349.2 098% 21.3 089% 404.4 105% 33.1 116% 094% 110% qq-17%
5 7 Big12 Iowa St 327.2 090% 21.2 089% 416.3 105% 31.5 106% 089% 105% qqq-17%
5 6 Big12 Colorado 368.4 091% 24.8 086% 399.4 104% 29.5 117% 089% 111% qqqq-23%
4 7 Big10 Indiana 388.7 104% 24.1 089% 422.0 110% 36.0 130% 096% 120% qqqqq-24%
4 7 CUSA Marshall 318.2 088% 19.3 074% 383.8 102% 29.3 103% 081% 103% r-26%
4 7 CUSA Tulane 381.7 098% 24.9 083% 414.4 107% 38.7 128% 091% 118% rr-28%
4 6 BigEast Rutgers 287.1 080% 21.3 088% 376.0 108% 27.0 114% 084% 111% rrr-29%
6 6 CUSA UTEP 362.6 085% 25.7 075% 415.6 107% 26.8 102% 080% 105% rrrr-30%
4 7 ACC Virginia 401.4 107% 23.9 084% 428.7 118% 31.3 133% 096% 125% rrrrr-30%
4 7 Big10 Purdue 302.7 081% 17.4 065% 361.9 091% 29.0 095% 073% 093% s-31%
4 6 Pac10 UCLA 300.0 078% 19.4 072% 397.2 102% 28.1 098% 075% 100% ss-33%
3 8 CUSA UAB 429.5 108% 26.6 090% 402.9 110% 35.2 158% 099% 134% sss-35%
4 6 SunBelt Mid Tenn St 305.9 074% 22.3 065% 399.9 111% 28.4 123% 084% 127% ssss-36%
2 9 SunBelt LA-Lafayette 349.7 091% 22.3 078% 404.4 109% 38.4 145% 082% 113% sssss-36%
7 4 MAC Miami (OH) 333.8 087% 19.8 067% 343.4 102% 25.5 113% 077% 107% t-37%
3 8 CUSA Rice 368.2 090% 28.7 093% 457.8 112% 39.9 145% 092% 128% tt-37%
2 9 SunBelt W Kentucky 323.6 085% 23.6 078% 370.1 100% 33.6 138% 081% 119% ttt-42%
2 9 Pac10 Wash St 323.8 087% 18.4 078% 462.6 116% 37.3 127% 082% 122% tttt-43%
3 8 ACC Duke 375.9 102% 24.3 094% 447.6 124% 37.4 158% 098% 141% ttttt-43%
4 7 MAC Kent St 312.0 083% 18.7 065% 330.4 100% 25.9 117% 074% 108% u-44%
5 5 SunBelt Troy 431.9 111% 32.3 113% 438.2 116% 35.1 134% 070% 117% uu-46%
4 7 WAC Utah St 333.5 084% 21.2 081% 441.8 115% 33.8 136% 082% 126% uuu-47%
4 6 SunBelt Florida Atl 300.5 080% 18.1 059% 388.8 106% 26.9 113% 070% 109% uuuu-53%
3 9 MtnWest Wyoming 279.2 077% 18.4 066% 415.6 109% 31.3 121% 071% 115% uuuuu-55%
2 9 MAC Bowl Green 286.1 075% 22.5 084% 431.1 120% 32.9 141% 080% 131% v-56%
5 6 SunBelt LA-Monroe 345.9 090% 20.7 071% 368.2 094% 34.6 130% 112% 125% vv-61%
3 8 Big12 Kansas 312.3 077% 19.5 067% 455.7 112% 37.2 133% 072% 123% vvv-62%
2 9 SEC Vanderbilt 285.1 075% 17.3 058% 430.2 116% 30.9 110% 067% 113% vvvv-63%
2 9 MtnWest UNLV 276.0 077% 18.5 072% 423.8 111% 37.2 147% 075% 129% vvvvv-63%
3 9 MtnWest Colorado St 335.2 088% 16.5 055% 424.2 114% 34.7 137% 071% 126% w-66%
2 9 ACC Wake Forest 282.0 075% 18.6 077% 436.3 116% 40.4 152% 076% 134% ww-66%
4 8 MAC Ball St 300.4 079% 21.4 071% 414.6 125% 32.8 154% 075% 140% www-73%
2 9 MAC E Michigan 334.1 091% 20.5 079% 419.0 123% 41.5 191% 085% 157% wwww-74%
2 9 MAC Buffalo 278.5 073% 12.5 046% 355.3 101% 31.2 123% 059% 112% wwwww-80%
1 10 WAC San Jose St 276.6 073% 13.2 045% 503.8 125% 39.4 134% 059% 130% x-99%
2 9 WAC New Mex St 302.6 072% 14.9 044% 439.5 120% 37.7 153% 058% 137% xx-109%
1 10 CUSA Memphis 284.1 069% 14.2 044% 470.2 125% 40.1 150% 057% 138% xxx-114%
1 10 MtnWest New Mexico 278.5 069% 15.7 055% 465.9 131% 42.4 177% 062% 154% xxxx-115%
0 11 MAC Akron 250.7 068% 12.8 045% 438.3 127% 36.9 151% 056% 139% xxxxx-116%

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