Rankings: Week 9
With the Sunday night game, the rankings are a bit late this week. Power rankings will be up tomorrow. Here we go.
Iowa stays at #1 and has a huge lead, but they're also the only team that has played nine games. Another thing working against them is that they don't have a conference championship game to possibly earn points from, as Texas, Florida, and Alabama do. So it'll be interesting to see if they can hold on. Alabama has dropped down to #5 because of their bye week.
Washington's ridiculously hard SoS is the main reason they're still in positive territory even at 3-5, while Mississippi State's schedule is 2nd hardest. Everyone else is way behind. Of the top twenty teams though, Oregon has had the roughest road, which can only help them in the long run. Bottom of the pile are four winless teams (W. Kentucky, E. Michigan, New Mexico, and Rice) and Ball State.
| Week 9 Achievement Rankings | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Conf | Team | Pts | W | L | W% | oPts | oW | oL | oW% | rank∆ |
| 1 | Big10 | Iowa | 334.34 | 9 | 0 | 100.0% | 239.61 | 56 | 39 | 58.9% | 0 |
| 2 | SEC | Florida | 288.40 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | -146.68 | 47 | 46 | 50.5% | 1 |
| 3 | BigEast | Cincinnati | 285.05 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | -103.19 | 48 | 42 | 53.3% | 1 |
| 4 | Big12 | Texas | 284.92 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | 201.65 | 53 | 44 | 54.6% | 3 |
| 5 | SEC | Alabama | 273.27 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | 37.58 | 49 | 42 | 53.8% | -3 |
| 6 | MtnWest | TCU | 264.59 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | -510.13 | 44 | 48 | 47.8% | -1 |
| 7 | WAC | Boise St | 262.79 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% | -732.71 | 43 | 57 | 43.0% | -1 |
| 8 | Pac10 | Oregon | 244.22 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | 672.73 | 56 | 40 | 58.3% | 4 |
| 9 | ACC | Georgia Tech | 241.18 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% | -132.29 | 47 | 46 | 50.5% | 1 |
| 10 | Big10 | Penn St | 222.43 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% | -171.05 | 51 | 45 | 53.1% | 1 |
| 11 | BigEast | Pittsburgh | 208.71 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | 277.45 | 54 | 36 | 60.0% | -3 |
| 12 | SEC | LSU | 198.25 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | 334.66 | 53 | 46 | 53.5% | 2 |
| 13 | Pac10 | USC | 193.89 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 512.82 | 53 | 42 | 55.8% | -4 |
| 14 | CUSA | Houston | 189.03 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | -744.76 | 41 | 52 | 44.1% | 1 |
| 15 | MtnWest | Utah | 178.49 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% | -202.97 | 46 | 52 | 46.9% | 2 |
| 16 | ACC | Miami (FL) | 169.54 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 361.47 | 55 | 36 | 60.4% | 7 |
| 17 | Big10 | Ohio St | 166.75 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% | 528.94 | 61 | 44 | 58.1% | 2 |
| 18 | WAC | Idaho | 145.19 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% | -326.08 | 44 | 53 | 45.4% | 6 |
| 19 | MAC | Central Michigan | 142.55 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% | -1135.88 | 36 | 58 | 38.3% | -6 |
| 20 | Indy | Notre Dame | 128.37 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 426.92 | 55 | 46 | 54.5% | 7 |
| 21 | Big12 | Oklahoma St | 127.38 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 57.13 | 50 | 41 | 54.9% | -3 |
| 22 | Big10 | Wisconsin | 125.41 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 12.07 | 54 | 44 | 55.1% | 6 |
| 23 | BigEast | South Florida | 123.88 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -203.30 | 47 | 37 | 56.0% | 9 |
| 24 | BigEast | West Virginia | 122.33 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 344.76 | 55 | 36 | 60.4% | -8 |
| 25 | Pac10 | California | 121.50 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 23.42 | 46 | 43 | 51.7% | 4 |
| 26 | ACC | Virginia Tech | 121.17 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 730.23 | 61 | 38 | 61.6% | -6 |
| 27 | Pac10 | Arizona | 120.54 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | 597.81 | 56 | 35 | 61.5% | -5 |
| 28 | MtnWest | Brigham Young | 120.49 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -225.37 | 47 | 52 | 47.5% | -3 |
| 29 | SunBelt | Troy | 118.78 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -600.39 | 39 | 55 | 41.5% | 1 |
| 30 | SEC | Auburn | 105.58 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | 35.97 | 50 | 41 | 54.9% | 5 |
| 31 | ACC | Boston College | 102.85 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | -71.77 | 49 | 43 | 53.3% | 13 |
| 32 | BigEast | Rutgers | 102.40 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -416.68 | 44 | 39 | 53.0% | 2 |
| 33 | Big12 | Texas Tech | 94.48 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | -67.31 | 49 | 41 | 54.4% | 4 |
| 34 | SEC | South Carolina | 87.97 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | 144.42 | 49 | 40 | 55.1% | -13 |
| 35 | MAC | Temple | 87.79 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | -1139.47 | 39 | 57 | 40.6% | 12 |
| 36 | ACC | Clemson | 86.90 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 271.49 | 55 | 39 | 58.5% | 7 |
| 37 | Indy | Navy | 84.13 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | -629.59 | 47 | 52 | 47.5% | -11 |
| 38 | Big12 | Oklahoma | 79.26 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 554.94 | 59 | 33 | 64.1% | 2 |
| 39 | Big12 | Texas A&M | 69.04 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -18.86 | 49 | 50 | 49.5% | 14 |
| 40 | Pac10 | Oregon St | 65.10 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 355.84 | 51 | 38 | 57.3% | 8 |
| 41 | Big12 | Nebraska | 62.25 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 16.77 | 49 | 48 | 50.5% | 10 |
| 42 | CUSA | East Carolina | 61.12 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -439.52 | 44 | 47 | 48.4% | 13 |
| 43 | ACC | North Carolina | 60.74 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -20.52 | 49 | 35 | 58.3% | 23 |
| 44 | Big12 | Missouri | 60.14 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -61.31 | 49 | 42 | 53.8% | 13 |
| 45 | MAC | Ohio | 59.83 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% | -1172.24 | 35 | 58 | 37.6% | 9 |
| 46 | SEC | Mississippi | 57.19 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -302.68 | 46 | 40 | 53.5% | -15 |
| 47 | WAC | Nevada | 56.46 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -168.85 | 48 | 51 | 48.5% | 3 |
| 48 | WAC | Fresno St | 55.19 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -225.45 | 47 | 44 | 51.6% | 4 |
| 49 | Pac10 | Stanford | 53.11 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 442.67 | 51 | 44 | 53.7% | -13 |
| 50 | SunBelt | Mid Tenn St | 45.43 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -935.52 | 35 | 60 | 36.8% | 17 |
| 51 | Big12 | Kansas | 42.40 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | 141.40 | 54 | 39 | 58.1% | -18 |
| 52 | CUSA | UCF | 41.23 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -257.89 | 46 | 45 | 50.5% | 13 |
| 53 | Big10 | Minnesota | 40.83 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | 386.72 | 58 | 37 | 61.1% | 10 |
| 54 | MAC | Northern Illinois | 36.86 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -1048.48 | 40 | 57 | 41.2% | 7 |
| 55 | Big12 | Iowa St | 33.57 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | 106.17 | 53 | 39 | 57.6% | -16 |
| 56 | SEC | Georgia | 30.96 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 601.44 | 59 | 34 | 63.4% | -14 |
| 57 | MtnWest | Air Force | 29.81 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -293.60 | 49 | 45 | 52.1% | 13 |
| 58 | ACC | Florida St | 23.65 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 614.98 | 59 | 34 | 63.4% | 17 |
| 59 | CUSA | Marshall | 22.60 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -414.41 | 43 | 47 | 47.8% | -14 |
| 60 | Big12 | Kansas St | 21.31 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -395.57 | 45 | 39 | 53.6% | -19 |
| 61 | SEC | Arkansas | 18.28 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 615.43 | 59 | 33 | 64.1% | 13 |
| 62 | ACC | Duke | 17.35 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% | -358.86 | 45 | 39 | 53.6% | 10 |
| 63 | SEC | Kentucky | 16.46 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 26.85 | 50 | 44 | 53.2% | -17 |
| 64 | SEC | Tennessee | 16.20 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 247.42 | 54 | 46 | 54.0% | 15 |
| 65 | Big10 | Michigan | 11.92 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | 40.00 | 53 | 43 | 55.2% | -27 |
| 66 | BigEast | Connecticut | 9.27 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 574.37 | 59 | 31 | 65.6% | -17 |
| 67 | CUSA | Southern Miss | 6.44 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -476.22 | 44 | 47 | 48.4% | -9 |
| 68 | Pac10 | Washington | 1.40 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 1022.22 | 62 | 34 | 64.6% | 3 |
| 69 | MAC | Kent St | 0.44 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -987.34 | 38 | 57 | 40.0% | 11 |
| 70 | CUSA | SMU | -6.20 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -459.52 | 44 | 47 | 48.4% | 16 |
| 71 | SunBelt | LA-Monroe | -8.12 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -735.53 | 39 | 49 | 44.3% | -12 |
| 72 | SEC | Mississippi St | -11.10 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | 944.74 | 64 | 28 | 69.6% | 21 |
| 73 | Big10 | Northwestern | -11.33 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% | -456.78 | 45 | 51 | 46.9% | -17 |
| 74 | Pac10 | Arizona St | -13.40 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | 245.79 | 49 | 40 | 55.1% | -14 |
| 75 | MtnWest | San Diego St | -22.60 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -306.29 | 49 | 46 | 51.6% | 10 |
| 76 | Big10 | Michigan St | -23.20 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | 413.72 | 60 | 37 | 61.9% | -12 |
| 77 | CUSA | Tulsa | -25.07 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -638.46 | 41 | 49 | 45.6% | -15 |
| 78 | MtnWest | Wyoming | -28.38 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -205.13 | 48 | 44 | 52.2% | -9 |
| 79 | Pac10 | UCLA | -39.08 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 605.80 | 55 | 41 | 57.3% | -2 |
| 80 | MAC | Bowling Green | -39.15 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -200.38 | 52 | 51 | 50.5% | 7 |
| 81 | SunBelt | LA-Lafayette | -43.70 | 4 | 4 | 50.0% | -684.50 | 40 | 48 | 45.5% | -13 |
| 82 | ACC | Wake Forest | -44.18 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | 189.35 | 53 | 39 | 57.6% | -9 |
| 83 | MAC | Western Michigan | -47.53 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | -1151.01 | 39 | 58 | 40.2% | -7 |
| 84 | Big10 | Indiana | -47.60 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | -17.55 | 53 | 43 | 55.2% | -6 |
| 85 | BigEast | Louisville | -56.78 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 558.45 | 58 | 31 | 65.2% | 13 |
| 86 | CUSA | UAB | -58.69 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -216.80 | 47 | 50 | 48.5% | 14 |
| 87 | ACC | NC State | -62.83 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -152.82 | 49 | 37 | 57.0% | -4 |
| 88 | Big12 | Baylor | -69.54 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 430.68 | 58 | 36 | 61.7% | -4 |
| 89 | MAC | Buffalo | -72.19 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -395.77 | 48 | 47 | 50.5% | 7 |
| 90 | Big10 | Purdue | -76.14 | 3 | 6 | 33.3% | 447.93 | 60 | 43 | 58.3% | 1 |
| 91 | CUSA | UTEP | -76.81 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -308.40 | 46 | 52 | 46.9% | -10 |
| 92 | WAC | Louisiana Tech | -77.23 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 7.72 | 52 | 41 | 55.9% | -2 |
| 93 | BigEast | Syracuse | -77.77 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 518.65 | 59 | 33 | 64.1% | -5 |
| 94 | ACC | Virginia | -80.45 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | 625.24 | 60 | 33 | 64.5% | -5 |
| 95 | MAC | Toledo | -84.52 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% | -796.66 | 41 | 61 | 40.2% | -13 |
| 96 | MtnWest | Colorado St | -89.36 | 3 | 6 | 33.3% | -130.37 | 51 | 42 | 54.8% | -2 |
| 97 | SunBelt | Arkansas St | -95.84 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -580.03 | 42 | 47 | 47.2% | -2 |
| 98 | SunBelt | Florida Atl | -97.05 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | -530.27 | 43 | 53 | 44.8% | -6 |
| 99 | Indy | Army | -99.85 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% | -970.74 | 40 | 53 | 43.0% | 2 |
| 100 | MtnWest | UNLV | -104.34 | 3 | 6 | 33.3% | -179.20 | 49 | 42 | 53.8% | -3 |
| 101 | Big12 | Colorado | -129.43 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 621.08 | 61 | 39 | 61.0% | -2 |
| 102 | WAC | Utah St | -133.08 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 33.49 | 52 | 39 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 103 | WAC | New Mexico St | -135.97 | 3 | 6 | 33.3% | -518.90 | 47 | 51 | 48.0% | 0 |
| 104 | CUSA | Tulane | -136.10 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | -233.86 | 49 | 42 | 53.8% | 1 |
| 105 | ACC | Maryland | -137.40 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 106.34 | 52 | 39 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 106 | CUSA | Memphis | -138.03 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | -51.19 | 51 | 40 | 56.0% | -4 |
| 107 | Big10 | Illinois | -139.79 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 353.99 | 59 | 38 | 60.8% | 5 |
| 108 | WAC | San Jose St | -140.22 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | 102.78 | 53 | 39 | 57.6% | -1 |
| 109 | WAC | Hawaii | -140.33 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | -367.19 | 51 | 50 | 50.5% | -3 |
| 110 | SunBelt | Florida Intl | -142.19 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | 31.28 | 51 | 44 | 53.7% | 0 |
| 111 | SunBelt | North Texas | -144.94 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | -609.21 | 43 | 53 | 44.8% | 0 |
| 112 | SEC | Vanderbilt | -172.29 | 2 | 7 | 22.2% | 216.90 | 53 | 39 | 57.6% | -3 |
| 113 | Pac10 | Washington St | -195.48 | 1 | 7 | 12.5% | 729.14 | 56 | 39 | 58.9% | 0 |
| 114 | MAC | Akron | -204.89 | 1 | 7 | 12.5% | -314.33 | 50 | 44 | 53.2% | 0 |
| 115 | MAC | Miami (OH) | -208.98 | 1 | 8 | 11.1% | 494.51 | 61 | 40 | 60.4% | 0 |
| 116 | CUSA | Rice | -275.10 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 122.22 | 53 | 46 | 53.5% | 4 |
| 117 | MtnWest | New Mexico | -287.33 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 351.18 | 58 | 43 | 57.4% | -1 |
| 118 | MAC | Eastern Michigan | -290.25 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | -447.22 | 50 | 53 | 48.5% | 0 |
| 119 | MAC | Ball St | -296.93 | 1 | 8 | 11.1% | -539.75 | 47 | 47 | 50.0% | -2 |
| 120 | SunBelt | Western Kentucky | -322.83 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | -453.46 | 44 | 45 | 49.4% | -1 |
Just one switch in the conference race - the Big10 takes over the #3 spot from the Big12 because of Ohio State's demolition of New Mexico State.
Here's the breakdown at 2009 Non-Conference Games.
| Week 9 Conference Achievement Rankings | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Avg Points | Conference | non-conf W | non-conf L | non-conf W% | non-conf oPts | non-conf oW | non-conf oL | non-conf oW% |
| 1 | 72.54 | BigEast | 29 | 7 | 80.6% | -3755.54 | 103 | 126 | 45.0% |
| 2 | 53.25 | SEC | 30 | 6 | 83.3% | -3092.15 | 107 | 144 | 42.6% |
| 3 | 43.57 | Big10 | 29 | 10 | 74.4% | -2918.45 | 127 | 138 | 47.9% |
| 4 | 39.85 | Big12 | 34 | 13 | 72.3% | -3860.71 | 144 | 176 | 45.0% |
| 5 | 38.73 | Pac10 | 20 | 9 | 69.0% | 113.57 | 124 | 88 | 58.5% |
| 6 | 25.69 | ACC | 28 | 15 | 65.1% | -2417.72 | 157 | 102 | 60.6% |
| 7 | 7.88 | MtnWest | 20 | 15 | 57.1% | -2093.04 | 118 | 129 | 47.8% |
| 8 | -7.81 | WAC | 17 | 18 | 48.6% | -1605.59 | 128 | 117 | 52.2% |
| 9 | -26.97 | CUSA | 18 | 26 | 40.9% | -1279.39 | 170 | 128 | 57.0% |
| 10 | -54.92 | MAC | 16 | 35 | 31.4% | -1475.12 | 204 | 163 | 55.6% |
| 11 | -58.73 | SunBelt | 8 | 24 | 25.0% | 277.92 | 142 | 96 | 59.7% |
(For the following, good & bad losses are ones that have earned or lost more than 40 points.)
#1 BigEast
Good Wins: Cincy @ 5-3 Oregon St, UConn at 6-3 Ohio
Bad Losses: None
#2 SEC
Good Wins: Florida vs 6-2 Troy, Alabama v 5-3 Virginia Tech, Auburn vs 6-2 West Virginia, Mississippi St @ 5-3 Middle TN State
Bad Losses: None
#3 Big10
Good Wins: Iowa @ 5-4 Iowa State, Iowa vs 5-2 Arizona, Michigan vs 6-2 Notre Dame, Penn State vs 6-2 Temple
Bad Losses: None
#4 Big12
Good Wins: Missouri @ 5-3 Nevada
Bad Losses: Colorado vs 3-6 Colorado St
#5 Pac10
Good Wins: USC @ 7-2 Ohio State, Washington vs 7-2 Idaho, Arizona vs 7-2 Central Michigan, USC @ 6-2 Notre Dame, Oregon @ 7-1 Utah, California @ 5-4 Minnesota.
Bad Losses: Washington State vs 2-6 Hawaii
#6 ACC
Good Wins: NC State vs 7-1 Pittsburgh, Florida State @ 6-2 BYU, Boston College vs 7-2 Central Michigan
Bad Losses: Virginia vs I-AA William & Mary, Duke vs I-AA Richmond, Wake Forest vs 3-5 Baylor
#7 MtnWest
Good Wins: TCU @ 5-3 Clemson
Bad Losses: New Mexico vs 3-6 New Mexico State, Wyoming @ 2-6 Colorado
#8 WAC
Good Wins: Boise State @ 7-1 Oregon
Bad Losses: New Mexico State vs 3-5 UTEP
#9 CUSA
Good Wins: Houston @ 6-2 Oklahoma State
Bad Losses: UTEP vs 3-5 Buffalo, SMU @ 1-7 Washington St, Rice vs 2-7 Vanderbilt
#10 MAC
Good Wins: Temple @ 6-3 Navy, Bowling Green vs 6-2 Troy
Bad Losses: Ball State vs I-AA New Hampshire, Temple vs I-AA Villanova, Ball State vs 2-6 North Texas, Eastern Michigan vs 3-5 Army, Akron vs 4-5 Indiana
#11 SunBelt
Good Wins: None
Bad Losses: Western Kentucky vs I-AA Central Arkansas, Florida Intl vs 4-5 Toledo, Arkansas State @ 2-6 Louisville
4 comments:
Love the work, as always, but given the softness of OOC schedules (especially among the SEC, Big East, Big 12, and Big Ten), I am not sure if you not comparing apples to oranges.
After all, should FCS wins count at all? I think games with FCS schools are an abomination and all such wins should not count. With teams such as Rutgers and Ole Miss and South Florida playing two FCS schools, their OOC records are inflated.
Sure teams like Nebraska attempted to inflate their records with three games versus Sun Belt schools (many of which are not that much better than FCS schools). But the achievement rankings putting the Pac-10 in 5th place when they play real OOC games and win most of them seems like it needs some adjustment.
Hey there Pete, you've hit upon the main thing I struggle with regarding my achievement rankings. On one hand I totally agree that wins against I-AA should be worth considerably less, and losses to I-AA teams penalized considerably more. But at the same time, enlarging the scale of how much a win is worth can screw up winning or losing's primary place in my rankings - you'd often see one and two loss teams ranked higher than undefeated teams just based on quality wins or bad losses.
I think the way they're added in to individual team's point total works well, but you're right - when it comes to adding up games for conference strength there's definitely problems. I'll have a post about that idea coming up, but it's definitely something I'll be looking at this off-season as I'm tinkering with my rankings.
I look forward to you assessment of this issue. You do some of the very best analysis on college football.
You're too kind, really. :)
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