Week 7 Power Rankings
Alrighty, time to break out the first batch of power rankings for this year. But as usual, there's ground rules, the first of which is that these are NOT a measure of who would beat who, or have anything to do with the future. Like my normal rankings, they're based on achievement.
Second, games against I-AA teams aren't taken into account, mainly because there's no good way to account for cupcake averages. Does it affect the overall numbers? Not really, since by now in the season there's plenty of other games to look at.
Third, these are pretty close to as unbiased as rankings get. They're not based on any personal thoughts or views, and they're not based on any complex mathematical formulas. It's simple - let's take the top team thus far, TCU. Against all of the other, non-TCU teams it has played, Oregon State's defense allowed an average of 460 yards and 31 points per game. Against TCU, they allowed 453 yards and 30 points - a shade under the Beavers' average. So TCU gained 98% and 96% of what Oregon State usually allows. Same with defense - Oregon State usually gains 362 yards and 31 points per game. TCU held them to 255 yards (70% of their average) and 21 points (69% of their average).
| TCU 2010 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oConf | Opponent | o-dYPG | TCU Yds | Yds% | o-dPPG | TCU Pts | Pts% | o-YPG | TCU dYds | dYds% | o-PPG | TCU dPts | dPts% |
| Pac10 | Oregon St | 460.4 | 453 | 98.4% | 31.0 | 30 | 96.8% | 362.2 | 255 | 70.4% | 30.6 | 21 | 68.6% |
| Big12 | Baylor | 385.0 | 558 | 144.9% | 19.2 | 45 | 234.4% | 535.4 | 263 | 49.1% | 37.6 | 10 | 26.6% |
| CUSA | SMU | 356.5 | 375 | 105.2% | 23.3 | 41 | 175.7% | 417.0 | 361 | 86.6% | 29.0 | 24 | 82.8% |
| MtnWest | Colorado St | 400.5 | 474 | 118.4% | 33.2 | 27 | 81.4% | 371.7 | 161 | 43.3% | 20.8 | 0 | 0.0% |
| MtnWest | Wyoming | 457.4 | 578 | 126.4% | 30.0 | 45 | 150.0% | 216.2 | 191 | 88.3% | 10.6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| MtnWest | BYU | 406.7 | 381 | 93.7% | 27.5 | 31 | 112.7% | 329.3 | 147 | 44.6% | 16.7 | 3 | 18.0% |
| Averages | 411.1 | 469.8 | 114.5% | 27.4 | 36.5 | 141.8% | 372.0 | 229.7 | 63.7% | 24.4 | 9.7 | 32.7% |
That's all there is to it - easy. Higher percentages are good for offensive numbers, while lower percentages are good for defensive numbers. If you want to see how this simple math automatically takes strength of schedule into account, go back and read the write-up from last year.
So what do we see here? Well, TCU and Boise State are well ahead of everyone else. Three other teams (Nebraska, Ohio State, & South Carolina) are all Top 20 (shown by the blue) in both total offense and defense. Top offenses belong to Oregon, Auburn, and Oklahoma - no surprise there. Top defenses belong to TCU, Boise State, LSU, and Alabama.
As far as tops & bottoms go, Houston and East Carolina have top 20 offenses to go with bottom 20 defenses, while Rutgers is the opposite. Possibly underrated teams (with 3 losses) are Oregon State, California, and Pittsburgh, while overrated teams would probably include Temple, Northwestern, and Wisconsin.
Any questions?
| Week 7 Power Rankings | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Conf | Team | YPG | YPG% | PPG | PPG% | dYPG | dYPG% | dPPG | dPPG% | Offense | Defense | Total |
| 7 | 0 | MtnWest | TCU | 469.8 | 114% | 36.5 | 142% | 229.7 | 64% | 9.7 | 33% | 128% | 48% | 136% |
| 6 | 0 | WAC | Boise St | 523.8 | 125% | 47.5 | 167% | 210.2 | 67% | 12.3 | 46% | 146% | 57% | 123% |
| 5 | 1 | Big12 | Nebraska | 465.8 | 132% | 40.8 | 173% | 282.0 | 75% | 16.2 | 58% | 152% | 67% | 102% |
| 6 | 1 | Big10 | Ohio St | 443.7 | 127% | 39.6 | 150% | 250.6 | 68% | 16.0 | 62% | 138% | 65% | 92% |
| 4 | 2 | SEC | S Carolina | 394.0 | 129% | 29.6 | 175% | 380.2 | 87% | 21.2 | 57% | 152% | 72% | 91% |
| 7 | 0 | SEC | LSU | 336.3 | 100% | 25.8 | 149% | 246.0 | 69% | 15.2 | 57% | 124% | 63% | 83% |
| 5 | 1 | Big10 | Iowa | 416.0 | 106% | 33.8 | 150% | 315.2 | 79% | 14.4 | 51% | 128% | 65% | 81% |
| 6 | 1 | SEC | Alabama | 427.1 | 115% | 33.3 | 126% | 288.0 | 77% | 12.9 | 50% | 120% | 63% | 78% |
| 6 | 0 | Big12 | Missouri | 410.0 | 119% | 31.4 | 135% | 345.4 | 90% | 11.8 | 46% | 127% | 68% | 75% |
| 6 | 0 | Big12 | Oklahoma | 460.0 | 137% | 36.0 | 183% | 373.5 | 100% | 19.0 | 76% | 160% | 88% | 74% |
| 5 | 2 | ACC | Virginia Tech | 424.0 | 122% | 39.3 | 173% | 374.7 | 94% | 22.0 | 65% | 147% | 79% | 73% |
| 5 | 1 | Pac10 | Arizona | 396.6 | 103% | 27.2 | 138% | 291.0 | 82% | 14.8 | 49% | 120% | 66% | 73% |
| 4 | 2 | SEC | Arkansas | 472.2 | 150% | 29.8 | 153% | 359.0 | 83% | 27.4 | 83% | 151% | 83% | 71% |
| 5 | 1 | Pac10 | Stanford | 459.4 | 119% | 41.6 | 173% | 398.2 | 91% | 25.0 | 68% | 146% | 80% | 71% |
| 7 | 0 | SEC | Auburn | 481.1 | 132% | 40.7 | 188% | 368.9 | 95% | 24.4 | 86% | 160% | 90% | 71% |
| 6 | 0 | Pac10 | Oregon | 550.8 | 137% | 51.4 | 183% | 378.2 | 107% | 19.6 | 80% | 160% | 93% | 67% |
| 7 | 0 | Big10 | Michigan St | 433.5 | 118% | 32.7 | 139% | 334.8 | 87% | 18.2 | 70% | 129% | 78% | 56% |
| 3 | 3 | Pac10 | Oregon St | 344.3 | 116% | 29.0 | 198% | 459.2 | 105% | 30.8 | 98% | 157% | 102% | 55% |
| 5 | 2 | ACC | NC State | 443.7 | 129% | 34.0 | 165% | 377.3 | 98% | 26.5 | 89% | 147% | 94% | 54% |
| 5 | 2 | Big10 | Michigan | 533.2 | 153% | 35.0 | 157% | 441.3 | 114% | 27.0 | 89% | 155% | 102% | 53% |
| 6 | 0 | Big12 | Oklahoma St | 535.3 | 132% | 49.5 | 171% | 404.5 | 99% | 27.2 | 98% | 152% | 98% | 53% |
| 3 | 3 | Pac10 | California | 350.4 | 100% | 28.2 | 140% | 358.6 | 81% | 24.8 | 74% | 120% | 78% | 49% |
| 3 | 3 | BigEast | Pittsburgh | 347.6 | 111% | 26.6 | 144% | 341.2 | 86% | 22.4 | 80% | 127% | 83% | 48% |
| 4 | 2 | ACC | Miami (FL) | 389.6 | 121% | 26.0 | 132% | 344.0 | 88% | 23.6 | 78% | 127% | 83% | 47% |
| 4 | 3 | SEC | Florida | 329.0 | 102% | 27.6 | 147% | 297.9 | 89% | 18.7 | 75% | 124% | 82% | 46% |
| 3 | 3 | BigEast | Cincinnati | 428.4 | 121% | 28.4 | 124% | 388.4 | 93% | 23.8 | 69% | 123% | 81% | 46% |
| 3 | 3 | Big10 | Illinois | 322.6 | 103% | 18.6 | 117% | 317.6 | 76% | 21.6 | 73% | 110% | 75% | 44% |
| 3 | 3 | Big12 | Texas A&M | 440.6 | 117% | 27.2 | 109% | 342.2 | 75% | 25.6 | 78% | 113% | 77% | 44% |
| 5 | 2 | SEC | MissSt | 363.3 | 107% | 25.2 | 98% | 333.3 | 88% | 16.0 | 55% | 103% | 71% | 43% |
| 4 | 2 | CUSA | UCF | 345.0 | 89% | 27.0 | 91% | 273.8 | 72% | 15.2 | 58% | 90% | 65% | 42% |
| 3 | 4 | SEC | Georgia | 395.3 | 106% | 29.7 | 111% | 290.1 | 78% | 17.4 | 74% | 109% | 76% | 40% |
| 4 | 2 | ACC | N Carolina | 376.8 | 111% | 28.7 | 124% | 332.0 | 91% | 19.3 | 74% | 117% | 83% | 39% |
| 5 | 2 | Pac10 | USC | 494.0 | 130% | 37.4 | 139% | 402.4 | 104% | 24.3 | 91% | 134% | 97% | 37% |
| 5 | 1 | BigEast | West Virginia | 371.6 | 102% | 27.6 | 112% | 257.8 | 86% | 14.8 | 70% | 107% | 78% | 35% |
| 6 | 1 | ACC | Florida St | 411.2 | 108% | 30.8 | 121% | 309.5 | 85% | 17.8 | 82% | 114% | 84% | 34% |
| 6 | 0 | MtnWest | Utah | 437.0 | 100% | 45.8 | 133% | 253.0 | 90% | 14.0 | 81% | 116% | 85% | 34% |
| 5 | 2 | WAC | Hawaii | 441.2 | 119% | 32.8 | 139% | 364.2 | 90% | 29.5 | 104% | 129% | 97% | 32% |
| 3 | 3 | Pac10 | Arizona St | 432.0 | 117% | 25.5 | 108% | 403.8 | 97% | 26.8 | 74% | 113% | 86% | 30% |
| 5 | 2 | Big12 | Baylor | 490.0 | 139% | 33.0 | 118% | 413.8 | 111% | 23.5 | 88% | 128% | 99% | 29% |
| 4 | 3 | Indy | Notre Dame | 399.6 | 111% | 27.1 | 118% | 385.9 | 98% | 23.0 | 78% | 114% | 88% | 28% |
| 4 | 3 | CUSA | SMU | 409.0 | 109% | 28.3 | 129% | 359.1 | 89% | 25.9 | 97% | 119% | 93% | 27% |
| 4 | 2 | Big12 | Texas | 345.2 | 86% | 24.0 | 92% | 245.5 | 71% | 18.8 | 75% | 89% | 73% | 25% |
| 3 | 3 | BigEast | Louisville | 470.6 | 113% | 32.2 | 103% | 374.0 | 98% | 23.4 | 81% | 108% | 89% | 20% |
| 4 | 2 | MtnWest | San Diego St | 446.4 | 119% | 30.8 | 151% | 382.6 | 114% | 20.8 | 118% | 135% | 116% | 19% |
| 3 | 3 | ACC | Clemson | 333.2 | 92% | 25.4 | 107% | 373.4 | 100% | 19.0 | 67% | 100% | 84% | 19% |
| 4 | 3 | SEC | Kentucky | 429.3 | 118% | 35.3 | 133% | 361.9 | 98% | 29.9 | 116% | 126% | 107% | 19% |
| 5 | 1 | Big12 | Kansas St | 358.0 | 99% | 29.4 | 114% | 373.6 | 104% | 22.0 | 76% | 107% | 90% | 18% |
| 3 | 3 | SEC | Mississippi | 376.2 | 111% | 29.6 | 115% | 355.0 | 97% | 27.4 | 97% | 113% | 97% | 16% |
| 6 | 1 | WAC | Nevada | 502.0 | 128% | 38.3 | 138% | 351.0 | 121% | 19.3 | 120% | 133% | 121% | 13% |
| 1 | 6 | SunBelt | North Texas | 348.7 | 89% | 16.9 | 52% | 360.7 | 108% | 27.7 | 121% | 64% | 118% | 13% |
| 5 | 2 | MtnWest | Air Force | 445.8 | 115% | 27.8 | 113% | 350.2 | 100% | 19.2 | 103% | 114% | 101% | 12% |
| 6 | 1 | Big10 | Wisconsin | 403.2 | 108% | 30.7 | 126% | 334.0 | 96% | 21.5 | 121% | 117% | 109% | 9% |
| 4 | 3 | CUSA | Tulsa | 483.7 | 119% | 38.0 | 114% | 464.0 | 125% | 31.3 | 101% | 116% | 113% | 3% |
| 3 | 3 | Pac10 | Washington | 412.0 | 115% | 26.7 | 119% | 416.8 | 108% | 31.3 | 121% | 117% | 114% | 3% |
| 3 | 3 | CUSA | Houston | 440.8 | 121% | 32.8 | 147% | 403.6 | 121% | 31.8 | 146% | 134% | 133% | 0% |
| 5 | 2 | ACC | Georgia Tech | 418.0 | 106% | 30.3 | 110% | 359.8 | 100% | 25.3 | 115% | 108% | 108% | 0% |
| 3 | 3 | Big12 | Colorado | 350.2 | 99% | 19.3 | 83% | 372.5 | 90% | 25.3 | 91% | 91% | 91% | 0% |
| 5 | 1 | Big10 | Northwestern | 424.0 | 111% | 25.8 | 93% | 375.6 | 110% | 21.4 | 96% | 102% | 103% | -1% |
| 4 | 2 | BigEast | Rutgers | 294.4 | 80% | 19.2 | 73% | 319.8 | 87% | 18.4 | 68% | 77% | 78% | -2% |
| 4 | 2 | Indy | Navy | 403.6 | 98% | 22.6 | 76% | 366.0 | 97% | 20.4 | 81% | 87% | 89% | -2% |
| 4 | 3 | Indy | Army | 351.1 | 93% | 30.6 | 104% | 313.9 | 92% | 23.9 | 111% | 98% | 102% | -3% |
| 5 | 2 | MAC | N Illinois | 399.7 | 105% | 32.0 | 110% | 340.2 | 110% | 20.5 | 112% | 108% | 111% | -3% |
| 5 | 2 | CUSA | Sou. Miss | 412.5 | 94% | 30.3 | 85% | 301.5 | 83% | 24.7 | 105% | 90% | 94% | -5% |
| 4 | 2 | CUSA | E Carolina | 417.5 | 112% | 36.8 | 145% | 460.7 | 121% | 39.5 | 149% | 129% | 135% | -6% |
| 1 | 6 | Big10 | Minnesota | 366.5 | 103% | 22.7 | 102% | 409.3 | 105% | 30.2 | 114% | 102% | 110% | -7% |
| 3 | 4 | Big12 | Iowa St | 323.8 | 96% | 22.2 | 116% | 477.8 | 118% | 38.3 | 110% | 106% | 114% | -8% |
| 3 | 3 | Pac10 | UCLA | 318.5 | 82% | 22.7 | 89% | 369.8 | 99% | 25.7 | 94% | 86% | 97% | -13% |
| 4 | 2 | Big10 | Purdue | 353.4 | 88% | 20.8 | 73% | 332.0 | 96% | 20.2 | 86% | 80% | 91% | -14% |
| 3 | 3 | Big10 | Penn St | 328.0 | 101% | 13.0 | 56% | 325.0 | 95% | 18.8 | 81% | 78% | 88% | -14% |
| 4 | 2 | WAC | Fresno St | 341.4 | 85% | 33.4 | 119% | 353.2 | 101% | 30.4 | 133% | 102% | 117% | -15% |
| 4 | 2 | Big10 | Indiana | 433.0 | 108% | 30.8 | 99% | 402.4 | 110% | 31.0 | 127% | 104% | 119% | -15% |
| 3 | 3 | Big12 | Texas Tech | 430.2 | 110% | 33.5 | 120% | 434.8 | 120% | 32.0 | 141% | 115% | 130% | -15% |
| 5 | 2 | MAC | Temple | 301.5 | 81% | 23.8 | 97% | 378.8 | 108% | 23.5 | 101% | 89% | 105% | -17% |
| 3 | 4 | WAC | LA Tech | 407.2 | 116% | 24.0 | 94% | 480.2 | 122% | 30.0 | 122% | 105% | 122% | -17% |
| 3 | 3 | BigEast | S Florida | 265.0 | 78% | 16.8 | 63% | 310.0 | 93% | 17.2 | 69% | 70% | 81% | -19% |
| 3 | 3 | BigEast | Connecticut | 358.2 | 95% | 27.0 | 111% | 395.2 | 120% | 25.8 | 124% | 103% | 122% | -19% |
| 4 | 2 | ACC | Maryland | 310.4 | 87% | 20.8 | 90% | 407.6 | 113% | 24.0 | 99% | 89% | 106% | -19% |
| 3 | 3 | WAC | Idaho | 416.0 | 105% | 29.8 | 102% | 403.8 | 112% | 28.4 | 134% | 104% | 123% | -19% |
| 2 | 5 | SunBelt | Arkansas St | 402.7 | 103% | 27.7 | 96% | 460.3 | 117% | 32.4 | 122% | 100% | 120% | -20% |
| 2 | 4 | SunBelt | Florida Intl | 368.8 | 103% | 23.5 | 89% | 340.7 | 102% | 27.2 | 138% | 96% | 120% | -24% |
| 2 | 4 | CUSA | UAB | 422.2 | 117% | 21.5 | 81% | 374.8 | 105% | 28.8 | 142% | 99% | 123% | -24% |
| 2 | 5 | MAC | C Michigan | 410.2 | 105% | 24.2 | 81% | 392.0 | 123% | 26.7 | 113% | 93% | 118% | -25% |
| 2 | 4 | ACC | Boston Coll | 272.6 | 75% | 15.0 | 64% | 319.2 | 80% | 26.2 | 89% | 70% | 85% | -25% |
| 2 | 4 | SEC | Tennessee | 278.8 | 87% | 18.0 | 87% | 428.8 | 110% | 33.0 | 111% | 87% | 111% | -26% |
| 2 | 4 | SEC | Vanderbilt | 315.2 | 86% | 20.8 | 70% | 378.8 | 104% | 25.5 | 97% | 78% | 101% | -29% |
| 1 | 5 | CUSA | Marshall | 293.8 | 98% | 18.3 | 88% | 412.8 | 117% | 35.3 | 125% | 93% | 121% | -29% |
| 4 | 3 | MAC | Toledo | 288.3 | 89% | 21.9 | 98% | 346.1 | 105% | 28.0 | 140% | 94% | 123% | -29% |
| 4 | 2 | BigEast | Syracuse | 345.5 | 90% | 19.0 | 65% | 310.3 | 95% | 24.5 | 111% | 78% | 103% | -32% |
| 2 | 4 | CUSA | Tulane | 342.6 | 89% | 20.0 | 74% | 391.4 | 102% | 35.2 | 117% | 82% | 110% | -32% |
| 2 | 4 | ACC | Virginia | 338.8 | 97% | 14.8 | 64% | 443.0 | 110% | 32.0 | 109% | 80% | 109% | -34% |
| 2 | 5 | MtnWest | BYU | 303.3 | 83% | 14.7 | 64% | 403.0 | 96% | 28.0 | 103% | 73% | 100% | -36% |
| 4 | 3 | MAC | Miami (OH) | 322.4 | 86% | 20.1 | 78% | 371.9 | 107% | 28.9 | 125% | 82% | 116% | -37% |
| 2 | 5 | MtnWest | Colorado St | 341.6 | 94% | 17.9 | 69% | 411.0 | 102% | 32.3 | 127% | 81% | 115% | -38% |
| 4 | 3 | MAC | Ohio | 294.3 | 71% | 26.7 | 75% | 323.7 | 106% | 23.2 | 98% | 73% | 102% | -39% |
| 2 | 5 | CUSA | Rice | 317.9 | 86% | 23.4 | 93% | 438.1 | 110% | 34.6 | 144% | 89% | 127% | -39% |
| 2 | 4 | WAC | Utah St | 321.2 | 81% | 18.4 | 73% | 413.4 | 108% | 30.6 | 114% | 77% | 111% | -40% |
| 2 | 4 | MAC | W Michigan | 343.4 | 89% | 23.2 | 85% | 404.8 | 114% | 33.6 | 137% | 87% | 126% | -41% |
| 2 | 4 | MAC | Buffalo | 342.0 | 91% | 15.8 | 59% | 359.4 | 92% | 34.8 | 128% | 75% | 110% | -43% |
| 5 | 2 | CUSA | UTEP | 391.7 | 90% | 28.3 | 75% | 386.5 | 119% | 23.7 | 125% | 83% | 122% | -43% |
| 1 | 6 | Pac10 | Wash St | 335.7 | 91% | 18.7 | 79% | 508.3 | 122% | 43.2 | 133% | 85% | 128% | -45% |
| 2 | 5 | ACC | Wake Forest | 330.8 | 86% | 24.3 | 93% | 469.8 | 118% | 41.8 | 158% | 89% | 138% | -50% |
| 4 | 2 | SunBelt | Troy | 469.3 | 117% | 34.8 | 116% | 398.8 | 103% | 27.8 | 106% | 65% | 118% | -53% |
| 1 | 5 | ACC | Duke | 370.4 | 102% | 22.2 | 83% | 440.2 | 127% | 40.0 | 168% | 93% | 147% | -55% |
| 2 | 4 | SunBelt | Mid Tenn St | 316.0 | 75% | 19.0 | 55% | 398.4 | 108% | 29.2 | 128% | 80% | 128% | -56% |
| 1 | 6 | MAC | Bowl Green | 318.7 | 80% | 27.1 | 94% | 463.7 | 125% | 37.3 | 161% | 87% | 143% | -58% |
| 1 | 6 | MtnWest | UNLV | 283.1 | 83% | 18.4 | 74% | 412.7 | 110% | 36.4 | 151% | 78% | 130% | -58% |
| 0 | 6 | SunBelt | W Kentucky | 304.7 | 86% | 20.3 | 73% | 408.2 | 109% | 39.5 | 171% | 80% | 140% | -66% |
| 2 | 4 | Big12 | Kansas | 339.2 | 87% | 20.0 | 68% | 435.6 | 115% | 37.2 | 157% | 77% | 136% | -66% |
| 1 | 4 | SunBelt | Florida Atl | 298.8 | 80% | 17.2 | 65% | 380.6 | 111% | 26.6 | 147% | 73% | 129% | -67% |
| 3 | 3 | SunBelt | LA-Monroe | 321.2 | 79% | 17.0 | 50% | 426.6 | 110% | 32.8 | 126% | 117% | 104% | -72% |
| 2 | 4 | SunBelt | LA-Lafayette | 332.2 | 82% | 22.0 | 77% | 417.8 | 106% | 37.5 | 150% | 71% | 115% | -74% |
| 2 | 5 | MtnWest | Wyoming | 212.0 | 76% | 8.8 | 42% | 477.5 | 118% | 32.5 | 98% | 59% | 108% | -78% |
| 1 | 6 | MAC | E Michigan | 307.3 | 85% | 20.9 | 83% | 415.1 | 125% | 43.4 | 210% | 84% | 167% | -87% |
| 2 | 5 | MAC | Ball St | 279.0 | 71% | 19.6 | 61% | 461.2 | 137% | 34.4 | 164% | 66% | 151% | -102% |
| 1 | 6 | CUSA | Memphis | 274.9 | 68% | 13.9 | 47% | 447.6 | 114% | 39.4 | 145% | 57% | 130% | -104% |
| 1 | 6 | WAC | San Jose St | 221.2 | 71% | 6.6 | 33% | 519.2 | 117% | 42.8 | 112% | 52% | 114% | -108% |
| 2 | 4 | MAC | Kent St | 250.6 | 66% | 16.6 | 51% | 324.8 | 115% | 25.6 | 182% | 58% | 148% | -119% |
| 0 | 6 | MtnWest | New Mexico | 262.0 | 65% | 12.5 | 48% | 444.3 | 116% | 46.5 | 177% | 57% | 147% | -123% |
| 1 | 5 | WAC | New Mex St | 263.3 | 71% | 12.2 | 39% | 465.8 | 128% | 38.5 | 157% | 55% | 142% | -124% |
| 0 | 7 | MAC | Akron | 233.8 | 63% | 12.3 | 44% | 446.3 | 134% | 37.8 | 163% | 54% | 149% | -135% |
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