the 2000 Season

Versions / 1998 / 1999 / 2000 / 2001 / 2002 / 2003 / 2004 / 2005 / 2006 / 2007 / Conclusions

There were no changes to the rankings between 1999 & 2000 - Version B was still all the rage. Here's the Official Rankings from December 2000.

Version B: 2000
Rank	Team	AP	Coach	Poll Avg	CompAvg	SoS	SoS Rank	Loss	Total
1	Oklahoma	1	1	1	1.86	11	0.44	0	3.30
2	Florida State	3	3	3	1.29	2	0.08	1	5.37
3	Miami (FL)	2	2	2	2.57	3	0.12	1	5.69
4	Washington	4	4	4	5.43	6	0.24	1	10.67
5	Virginia Tech	6	5	5.5	5.14	14	0.56	1	12.20
6	Oregon State	5	6	5.5	6.5	42	1.68	1	14.68
7	Florida	7	7	7	5.71	1	0.04	2	14.75
8	Nebraska	9	8	8.5	7	18	0.72	2	18.22
9	Kansas State	11	9	10	10.14	29	1.16	3	24.30
10	Oregon	8	11	9.5	11.86	24	0.96	2	24.32
11	Notre Dame	10	10	10	12.07	25	1	2	25.07
12	Texas	12	12	12	9.86	84	3.36	2	27.22
13	Georgia Tech	15	17	16	9.86	44	1.76	2	29.62
14	TCU	13	16	14.5	13.71	95	3.8	1	33.01
15	Clemson	16	13	14.5	14.43	56	2.24	2	33.17

If we look at what Version A would have produced, we get the following.

Version A: 2000
Rank	Team	AP	Coach	Poll Avg	A&H	J.S.	NYT	CompAvg	SoS	SoS Rank	Loss	Total
1	Oklahoma	1	1	1	1	3	3	2.33	11	0.44	0	3.77
2	Florida State	3	3	3	1.5	1	1	1.17	2	0.08	1	5.25
3	Miami (FL)	2	2	2	3	2	2	2.33	3	0.12	1	5.45
4	Washington	4	4	4	2	5.25	5	4.08	6	0.24	1	9.32
5	Virginia Tech	6	5	5.5	6	5	4	5.00	14	0.56	1	12.06
6	Oregon State	5	6	5.5	5	7	8.5	6.83	42	1.68	1	15.01
7	Florida	7	7	7	7	6	6	6.33	1	0.04	2	15.37
8	Nebraska	9	8	8.5	9	4	9.75	7.58	18	0.72	2	18.80
9	Notre Dame	10	10	10	10	13.88	8.5	10.79	25	1.00	2	23.79
10	Oregon	8	11	9.5	8	14	15	12.33	24	0.96	2	24.79
11	Kansas State	11	9	10	12	9	12	11.00	29	1.16	3	25.16
12	Texas	12	12	12	15	10	11	12.00	84	3.36	2	29.36
13	Georgia Tech	15	17	16	11	11	7	9.67	44	1.76	2	29.43
14	Clemson	16	13	14.5	13	15	19	15.67	56	2.24	2	34.41
16	Michigan	17	15	16	17	13	17	15.67	35	1.40	3	36.07

So far, we've got #1 Oklahoma, comfortably ahead, as an undefeated should be. Neck and neck behind in the #2 and #3 spots are Florida State and Miami (FL). Florida State wins the first two rounds, but it's close. As we go to round 3 and Version C...

Version C: 2000
Rank	Team	Poll Avg	Lo Comp	Hi Comp	SoS Pts	Loss	Lo-Sub	Hi-Sub	Hi-QW	Lo-QW	Lo-Tot	Hi-Tot
1	Oklahoma	1	1.5	1.83	0.44	0	2.94	3.27	-1.8	-1.6	1.14	1.67
3	Miami (FL)	2	3	3.33	0.12	1	6.12	6.45	-2.5	-2.5	3.62	3.95
2	Florida State	3	1.33	1.67	0.08	1	5.41	5.75	-1.5	-1.4	3.91	4.35
4	Washington	4	4.33	5.67	0.24	1	9.57	10.91	-2.3	-2.3	7.27	8.61
5	Virginia Tech	5.5	5.33	5.83	0.56	1	12.39	12.89			12.39	12.89
6	Oregon State	5.5	5.83	6.33	1.68	1	14.01	14.51	-0.7	-0.7	13.31	13.81
7	Florida	7	6.17	7	0.04	2	15.21	16.04			15.21	16.04
8	Nebraska	8.5	6.5	7.5	0.72	2	17.72	18.72	-0.6	-0.5	17.12	18.22
10	Oregon	9.5	10.33	11.33	0.96	2	22.79	23.79	-1.2	-1.2	21.59	22.59
9	Kansas State	10	9.83	10.67	1.16	3	23.99	24.83	-0.8	-0.8	23.19	24.03
11	Notre Dame	10	11.67	12.83	1	2	24.67	25.83			24.67	25.83
12	Texas	12	11.17	13.5	3.36	2	28.53	30.86			28.53	30.86
13	Georgia Tech	16	10.83	11.67	1.76	2	30.59	31.43	-0.2	-0.2	30.39	31.23
15	Clemson	14.5	13.17	13.67	2.24	2	31.91	32.41			31.91	32.41
14	TCU	14.5	13.83	15.17	3.8	1	33.13	34.47			33.13	34.47

Ahh, now we're getting somewhere. Florida State retains its slim lead...until the Quality Win component is added in. Miami chalks up (or down, as it were) -2.5 points by virtue of their wins over #2 FSU and #5 Virginia Tech. Florida State, meanwhile, will earn anywhere from -1.5 to -1.4 because of their wins over #7 Florida, #14 Clemson, and #12/#13 Georgia Tech. (The bottom of the rankings are in limbo too - Georgia Tech and Texas will fill the #12 & #13 spots, but in which order is unknown.)

Thw worst Miami can do is 3.95, while Florida State's best possible total is 3.91. In order for Florida State to squeak in at 3.91 and Miami to be all the way at 3.95, at three of the following things need to happen in the missing ranking:
1) Florida State has to be #1
2) Miami has to be #4 or lower
3) Georgia Tech has to be #12 (making Texas #13).

Each of those is possible, but all at once? Another limb, but I'm calling this one for Miami.

Version D: 2000
Rank	Team	Poll Avg	Lo Comp	Hi Comp	SoS Pts	Loss	Lo-Sub	Hi-Sub	Hi-QW	Lo-QW	Lo-Tot	Hi-Tot
1	Oklahoma	1	1.67	2	0.44	0	3.11	3.44	-0.5	-0.3	2.61	3.14
3	Miami (FL)	2	2.5	3	0.12	1	5.62	6.12	-1.5	-1.5	4.12	4.62
2	Florida State	3	1.17	1.5	0.08	1	5.25	5.58	-0.5	-0.4	4.75	5.18
4	Washington	4	4	5.5	0.24	1	9.24	10.74	-1.3	-1.2	7.94	9.54
5	Virginia Tech	5.5	4	4.83	0.56	1	11.06	11.89			11.06	11.89
6	Oregon State	5.5	5.67	6.92	1.68	1	13.85	15.10	-0.2	0.0	13.65	15.10
7	Florida	7	5.17	6.17	0.04	2	14.21	15.21			14.21	15.21
8	Nebraska	8.5	6	7.5	0.72	2	17.22	18.72	-0.2	0.0	17.02	18.72
10	Oregon	9.5	9.5	11.83	0.96	2	21.96	24.29	-0.7	-0.7	21.26	23.59
11	Notre Dame	10	9.58	12.08	1.00	2	22.58	25.08			22.58	25.08
9	Kansas State	10	8.83	10.83	1.16	3	22.99	24.99	-0.3	-0.3	22.69	24.69
12	Texas	12	9.5	13.17	3.36	2	26.86	30.53			26.86	30.53
13	Georgia Tech	16	8.17	9.83	1.76	2	27.93	29.59			27.93	29.59
15	Clemson	14.5	11.17	14.17	2.24	2	29.91	32.91			29.91	32.91
14	TCU	14.5	12.5	15.67	3.80	1	31.80	34.97			31.80	34.97

Miami has Version D locked up mathematically. With 2 versions in favor of each team, let's see who wins the deciding version.

Version E: 2000
Rank	Team	AP	Votes	AP%	Coach	Votes	Coach%	HiComp%	LoComp%	Hi-Tot	Lo-Tot
1	Oklahoma	1	1768	0.9961	1	1471	0.9973	0.980	0.960	0.9911	0.9844
2	Florida State	3	1640	0.9239	3	1366	0.9261	0.990	0.970	0.9467	0.9400
3	Miami (FL)	2	1693	0.9538	2	1400	0.9492	0.920	0.900	0.9410	0.9343
4	Washington	4	1571	0.8851	4	1284	0.8705	0.860	0.780	0.8719	0.8452
5	Virginia Tech	6	1396	0.7865	5	1200	0.8136	0.850	0.830	0.8167	0.8100
6	Oregon State	5	1473	0.8299	6	1192	0.8081	0.790	0.760	0.8093	0.7993
7	Florida	7	1349	0.7600	7	1119	0.7586	0.800	0.770	0.7729	0.7629
8	Nebraska	9	1160	0.6535	8	1005	0.6814	0.790	0.730	0.7083	0.6883
10	Oregon	8	1084	0.6107	9	938	0.6020	0.620	0.560	0.6340	0.6140
9	Kansas State	11	1207	0.6800	11	888	0.6359	0.640	0.590	0.6289	0.6122
11	Notre Dame	10	1086	0.6118	10	894	0.6061	0.560	0.490	0.5926	0.5693
12	Texas	12	941	0.5301	12	822	0.5573	0.590	0.450	0.5591	0.5125
13	Georgia Tech	15	803	0.4524	17	540	0.3661	0.630	0.610	0.4828	0.4762
15	Clemson	16	867	0.4885	16	628	0.4800	0.530	0.500	0.4824	0.4724
14	TCU	13	776	0.4372	13	708	0.4258	0.500	0.420	0.4714	0.4447

Another close one, but this time the chips fall in favor of Florida State, mainly by virtue of having the computers in their corner. The highest percentage Miami could garner is .9410, while the lowest Florida State could have is .9400. So this version most likely would have matched up Florida State with Oklahoma.

Well, 2000 was exciting (and controversial), but things seemed to work out pretty well. Both Florida State and Miami could make solid cases for the #2 spot, and the closeness of each version upholds them both.

1999 < Top > 2001