Monday, June 1, 2009

Miami (FL) - Wisconsin

Champs Sports Bowl
December 29, 8:00pm
Orlando, FL
Miami (FL)
(9-3) _____________ ACC ___________ 274.34
____
__________YPG = 407.6 (118%) → +3%
___________PPG = 30.2 (132%) → +6%
dYPG = 326.6 (88%)
_________dPPG = 22.9 (87%) → -3%
____
Wk Opponent oPts Score
1 Florida St 71.14 W, 38-34
3 Georgia Tech 356.59 W, 33-17
4 Virginia Tech 292.07 L, 7-31
5 Oklahoma 102.05 W, 21-20
6 Florida A&M -504.98 W, 48-16
7 UCF 122.39 W, 27-7
8 Clemson 149.95 L, 37-40
9 Wake Forest -53.61 W, 28-27
10 Virginia -207.42 W, 52-17
11 North Carolina 195.12 L, 24-33
12 Duke -142.00 W, 34-16
13 South Florida 79.25 W, 31-10
Wisconsin
(9-3) ______________ Big10 __________ 189.12
____
YPG = 414.6 (115%)
PPG = 31.7 (126%)
-3% ← dYPG = 315.1 (85%)_________
dPPG = 23.2 (90%)
____
Wk Opponent oPts Score
1 Northern Illinois 0.53 W, 28-20
2 Fresno St 116.89 W, 34-31
3 Wofford -532.82 W, 44-14
4 Michigan St 11.18 W, 38-30
5 Minnesota 7.50 W, 31-28
6 Ohio St 335.31 L, 13-31
7 Iowa 322.42 L, 10-20
9 Purdue -27.94 W, 37-0
10 Indiana -166.84 W, 31-28
11 Michigan -106.70 W, 45-24
12 Northwestern 126.96 L, 31-33
14 Hawaii -68.79 W, 51-10

The Hurricanes started out the season on a tear and looked to be the class of the ACC, but a few stumbles did them in. Losses to VA Tech, UNC, and Clemson were somewhat understandable, but they beat all others behind them as well as ACC champ Georgia Tech. So they do have the goods to play with the best.

Wisconsin has had a quiet season, starting 5-0 against pretty easy competition them dropping out of the picture with losses to Ohio State and Iowa. Other than Fresno State, who finished on a solid run, the Badgers haven't beaten anyone of note - that could come back to haunt them against a seasoned Miami team.

The stats are all pretty much even, though they got there by very different routes - whoever is able to play their game and disrupt the other the most will win.

The Line: Wisconsin +3.5

The Call: Miami by 7

The Result: Wisconsin 20-14

Well, except for the first minute and the last two, the Badgers couldn't have scripted that any better - that was their game to a T. A little bit of excitement at the end there, but the Canes just struggled all night long after their first quick TD.

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